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Brakon's Monday Night NBA Pick (no more "locks")
Although the Jazz have played 11 out of 19 games at home so far, the spurs are 1-4 on road which include games without Parker and Duncan. The Spurs last game was vs. the Nuggets in which Parker and Duncan were the only spurs players above 20 points. They lost to Denver and are 9-8 on the year. The Spurs have 3 straight losses all going under the posted total. The Spurs have only 1 game going over 195 in last 4 games as their offensive stats have declined as more injuries and problems plague the team.
Matching up the starting players for both teams the Jazz have an edge, but this is not a very bold determination. The big factor in this game is the other players other than Duncan and Parker putting up points and assisting on the boards when they are out resting. Bogans, Jefferson and McDyess all have avg stats vs. Utah in their last 2 seasons vs. Boozer, Williams, Okur and Kirelinko. However, Kirelinko doesn't look like hes going to be playing due to back injury. His status is still not 100% known but we should consider him for this game due to the type of back injury he has according to ESPN and Jazz.com.
Pick: Jazz -2 and Under 194
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Originally Posted by Jerm3462
