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Normally at this time we’d take a look at how the Wise Guys had been betting the sides and totals in both of the playoff games set for the evening. In this case, that can be dispensed with in just a few words!
*The sharps haven’t bet Washington/Indiana or LA Clippers/Oklahoma City as of press time in terms of the team sides.
*A few sharps have been the Overs in both teams, consistent with the general Wise Guy strategy of betting Overs early in a playoff series, then Unders later in a series.
That’s it!
Indiana opened at -4.5 and is still at -4.5
Oklahoma City opened at -5.5 and is still at -5.5
Washington/Indiana opened at 185, and has nudged up to 185.5 of 186
LAC/Oklahoma City opened at 214.5 and has nudged up to 215
Doesn’t get much simpler than that! And, hardly worth a full report. Clearly the Wise Guys don’t like the favorites at the opening prices or they would have bet them right off the bat. They are waiting to fade any public moves…which would likely come on the must-win home favorites who lost Game One on their home floor (true in both instances).
*We’re hearing that sharps would take Washington at +5 because they’ve soured so much on Indiana in the postseason. Many Wise guys now see the Wizards as the superior team in the series, and will be looking for ways to invest accordingly in upcoming games depending on the prices.
*We’re hearing that sharps are less enthused about the Clippers immediately for this game because they’re coming off an extreme peak performance, while OKC experienced that very emotional Kevin Durant MVP speech on Tuesday. It would take LAC +6.5 to really bring in sharps to the market. Those who prefer LAC as a value side generally in this series are waiting for the site switch before re-investing.
Moving forward, we can tell you the following based on sources:
*Sharps like Washington to win the East, but haven’t decided yet if Indiana has thrown in the towel or is just going to get ground up over a full six or seven games. They expect Washington to be about -3 or -3.5 at home, unless they dominate Game Two in a way that drives the number up to -4 or higher. Some are actually hoping Indiana wins Game Two in a way that equalizes the line, allowing them to back the Wizards at -2.5 or -3 in a bounce back spot in Game Three.
*Sharps have a lot of respect for the offensive explosiveness of both teams in the LAC/OKC series, and will likely look at underdogs in bounce-back spots above all else. We don’t have that tonight. We would have if LAC had lost Game One and was now in a bounce-back spot as a dog in Game Two. It’s expected that the Clippers will be in the -2.5 to -3.5 range as a home favorite this weekend…though Game Two results could move that in either direction.
Back with you tomorrow at this time to see how sharps have been betting Game Two of the Brooklyn/Miami and Portland/San Antonio matchups. You probably watched the series favorites win Game One blowouts Tuesday night. Or, you watched until the fourth quarter when you switched to baseball or hockey on TV! Will the sharps be betting the bounce-back with the Nets and Blazers? We’ll discuss that Thursday.
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Originally Posted by RMStanley
