As I've mentioned more than once, I am essentially done for the NBA season and am running the numbers and tracking the results to see what can be learned.
At this point fundamental handicapping seems hit or miss at best, and completely meaningless at worst. All lottery-bound teams (and some playoff teams) have big conflicts of interest that are skewing the performance and the results.
Perhaps not surprisingly, the ugly-ducklings that this system picks are hanging in there ATS, but are not pulling anywhere near the rate of straight-up wins that they showed before the silly season started.
THROUGH TUESDAY 04.03.07
5%-OFF TEAMS vs. MONEYLINE (risking 1u on dogs; betting to win 1u on favorites)
Tuesday, 1-7, -6.00u
(MIN, CHA, TOR, MIL, IND, MEM, SAC, SEA)
YTD 284-540, +43.87u
(since the ASB: 75-175, -21.84u)
SAME TEAMS ATS (1.05u to win 1.00u)
Tuesday, 4-4, -0.20u
YTD 433-378 (.534) +36.10u
(since the ASB: 125-121 (.508) -2.05u)
POWER RATINGS OVER LAST TEN GAMES
1 SAN 68
2 LAC 67
3 DET 63
4 PHX 60
5 DAL 60
6 HOU 58
7 DEN 58
8 CLE 58
9 TOR 57
10 CHI 54
11 UTH 52
12 CHA 51
13 WAS 50
14 NJ 50
15 BOS 50
16 LAX 49
17 NOK 49
18 ORL 48
19 MIA 47
20 IND 47
21 PHI 46
22 GS 46
23 SEA 44
24 MEM 40
25 SAC 40
26 NY 39
27 POR 38
28 ATL 38
29 MIN 34
30 MIL 33
EDGAR LINES FOR 04.04.07
(favorite-spread/moneyline-dog)
ORL 4.8/174 over TOR
WAS 5.9/211 over CHA
NJ 7.5/303 over ATL
NY 1.8/117 over PHI
BOS 0.2/101 over MIL
DET 4.1/163 over CHI
NOK 3.0/138 over SEA
HOU 5.3/186 over GS
DEN 9.2/416 over SAC
UTH 1.2/106 over POR
LAC 8.9/379 over LAX
5%-OFF MARKER
TOR +209, ORL -145
CHA +257, WAS -175
ATL +386, NJ -245
PHI +138, NY +102
BOS +118, MIL +119
CHI +196, DET -137
SEA +164, NOK -116
GS +225, HOU -155
SAC +558, DEN -324
UTH +112, POR +125
LAX +500, LAC -299