Feel the Heat -4½ vs Raptors
Game Time: 4/3/2007 7:30:00 PM -
By: Tom Stryker
http://www.10starpicks.com
It's payback time down in South Florida tonight when Shaquille O'Neal and the Miami Heat play host to Chris Bosh and the Toronto Raptors.
Back on March 28, Toronto (-3½) got the best of Miami at home and knocked off the Heat, 96-83. You know what they say about payback, men.
According to my NBA database, this is a great spot for Miami. The Heat are 11-4 straight up and against the spread in this series provided the Raptors enter off a straight up win. But even more important, at home running with rest and matched up against a foe that arrives off a straight up and against the spread victory, Miami is a blistering 44-18 against the spread.
Those two team trends are nice but this next one really makes this play. At home with a winning percentage of .545 or better and matched up against a foe that enters off a straight up win of 10 points or more, the Heat are a blistering 64-39 against the spread.
The Raptors got the best of Shaq and Company a few weeks ago. Not this time. Take Miami.
Play: Heat -4½