1. #1
    SBRforum Staff
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    Tom Stryker: Feel the Heat -4½ vs Raptors

    Feel the Heat -4½ vs Raptors

    Game Time: 4/3/2007 7:30:00 PM -
    By: Tom Stryker
    http://www.10starpicks.com

    It's payback time down in South Florida tonight when Shaquille O'Neal and the Miami Heat play host to Chris Bosh and the Toronto Raptors.

    Back on March 28, Toronto (-3½) got the best of Miami at home and knocked off the Heat, 96-83. You know what they say about payback, men.

    According to my NBA database, this is a great spot for Miami. The Heat are 11-4 straight up and against the spread in this series provided the Raptors enter off a straight up win. But even more important, at home running with rest and matched up against a foe that arrives off a straight up and against the spread victory, Miami is a blistering 44-18 against the spread.

    Those two team trends are nice but this next one really makes this play. At home with a winning percentage of .545 or better and matched up against a foe that enters off a straight up win of 10 points or more, the Heat are a blistering 64-39 against the spread.

    The Raptors got the best of Shaq and Company a few weeks ago. Not this time. Take Miami.

    Play: Heat -4½

  2. #2
    onlooker
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    Sorry Tom, I like the Raptors tonight.

  3. #3
    bigboydan
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    I too like the Raptors tonight looker.

  4. #4
    tevari
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    raptors yeehaw

  5. #5
    Razz
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    I don't play much NBA, but the Heat are an outstanding situational play tonight. If the line goes back down a little, I'll play them.

  6. #6
    cwsulzba
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    I would never bet on the Heat tonight.

  7. #7
    Razz
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    Raptors seem to be a bit of a square dog, so I'm making a small play on the Heat at -4.5. May the better team win I guess.

  8. #8
    onlooker
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    Nice cover on the Raptors guys.

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