PittVipers - 50 days - 100 plays - 60% Winners?

[MarkTX]

congrats 3-1 (nice day!!)

[pittviper]

*No NBA/CBK for Sunday. I'll be posting a NFL thread pretty soon after I make the wagers. See ya Monday*

After day 12:
NBA Record: 9-3
CBK Record: 10-2
Overall Record: 19-5 (79%)

Days [1-5]: 9-1 (90%)
Days [6-10]: 7-3 (70%)
Days [11-15]: 3-1 (75%)

BOL
PV

[Types]

keep up the good work PV

[easyaxess]

Thats a great record, keep it up.

[pittviper]

thank you guys. GL in the NFL today.

[pittviper]

Day Thirteen (Monday):
NBA: Miami Heat +2 (at bodog)
CBK: St. Josephs -7

-------------
After day 12:
NBA Record: 9-3
CBK Record: 10-2
Overall Record: 19-5 (79%)

Days [1-5]: 9-1 (90%)
Days [6-10]: 7-3 (70%)
Days [11-15]: 3-1 (75%)

BOL
PV

[djcliks]

Yes im liking the miami play too.. got an opinion on the orl memphis game?

[MrMike]

PV...would you still say the Miami play has value at +1 or even at PK?

[pittviper]

gl pitt, what's your reasoning behind taking Miami cuz I was leaning the other way?

Cleveland has won 4 in a row, 6 of their past 7 and are the top ranked team in the entire NBA. Miami has won 2 in a row, 5 of their past 7 and ranked 5th in the eastern conference at 23-20.

LETDOWN GAME FOR CLEVELAND. I expect this to be a bit letdown game for Cleveland. Delonte West is out for Cleveland and Mo Williams will be out for his third straight game. They just played three straight at home, beating Toronto by 8 (who are awful on the road), come from behind win vs. the Lakers, to win by 3 and scoring at the end of the game to beat OK City by 1. The game before all that was on the road, when they beat the Clippers by 2. I mention these games because if you've been watching them you'd notice, Cleveland has scrounged for ways to beat opponents lately, while finding a way to finish on the winning side every time. They are due for a letdown vs. a good opponent on the road, and this team is Miami.

MIAMI, PLAYING GREAT UNDER THE RADAR. Today they go on the road to fight a hungry Miami team, who may be in the middle of the pack, very underrated, but the perfect team to knock off Cleveland. Miami's roster is Dwyane Wade, Jermaine O'Neal, Rafer Alston, Quentin Richardson and Michael Beasley (a player I loved in college, and who is having a great rookie year). This team is a very tight-knit group of players and feed off each other for emotion. Like I said they've been very hot as of late. They average as a team 97.5 points a game but have scored 109 or more points 5 times in their last seven games (three times scoring 115 points). In their last 7 games Cleveland has only scored 109 points once. Miami also hit 40+ FG's in a game five times in their past 7, while Cleveland has only once. Miami is working great as a team, making great passes and every player is dangerous when hot.

LINE MOVEMENT. Cleveland opened as -2 favourites. Automatically I knew the public would love them, and they would be a huge square play, but I looked at this game without judging. After reading everything I did and reflecting on their recent games that I have seen, and weighing in the injuries, I had a feeling the line would be bet down by the sharps so I got on it at +2. The public has been pounding Cleveland like expected but the sharps have pounded Miami to -1 in some places .. I like seeing this sort of stuff after the wagers already been placed.

SHAQUILLE VS. OLD TEAM. Shaquille will be up against his old team for the 2nd times in three games (vs. Lakers now Heat). With the injury problems Shaquille has been looked at as the second scorer, after Lebron, recently. Oklahoma City were all over him in their last game, fouling him what seemed every possession (knowing that he can't hit FT shots consistantly). Miami management knows Shaq, and I expect them to do the same thing against him as OK City did .. putting Jermaine O'Neal on him and sliding over a second defender when he get close to the net to make him shoot FT's rather than an easy close shot or dunk.

Of course there are many factors which favour Cleveland but I feel these factors outweigh any other, thus I love Miami to win this game.


BOL
PV

[og4667]

great writeup. good luck

[cashil]

Cleveland has won 4 in a row, 6 of their past 7 and are the top ranked team in the entire NBA. Miami has won 2 in a row, 5 of their past 7 and ranked 5th in the eastern conference at 23-20.

LETDOWN GAME FOR CLEVELAND. I expect this to be a bit letdown game for Cleveland. Delonte West is out for Cleveland and Mo Williams will be out for his third straight game. They just played three straight at home, beating Toronto by 8 (who are awful on the road), come from behind win vs. the Lakers, to win by 3 and scoring at the end of the game to beat OK City by 1. The game before all that was on the road, when they beat the Clippers by 2. I mention these games because if you've been watching them you'd notice, Cleveland has scrounged for ways to beat opponents lately, while finding a way to finish on the winning side every time. They are due for a letdown vs. a good opponent on the road, and this team is Miami.

MIAMI, PLAYING GREAT UNDER THE RADAR. Today they go on the road to fight a hungry Miami team, who may be in the middle of the pack, very underrated, but the perfect team to knock off Cleveland. Miami's roster is Dwyane Wade, Jermaine O'Neal, Rafer Alston, Quentin Richardson and Michael Beasley (a player I loved in college, and who is having a great rookie year). This team is a very tight-knit group of players and feed off each other for emotion. Like I said they've been very hot as of late. They average as a team 97.5 points a game but have scored 109 or more points 5 times in their last seven games (three times scoring 115 points). In their last 7 games Cleveland has only scored 109 points once. Miami also hit 40+ FG's in a game five times in their past 7, while Cleveland has only once. Miami is working great as a team, making great passes and every player is dangerous when hot.

LINE MOVEMENT. Cleveland opened as -2 favourites. Automatically I knew the public would love them, and they would be a huge square play, but I looked at this game without judging. After reading everything I did and reflecting on their recent games that I have seen, and weighing in the injuries, I had a feeling the line would be bet down by the sharps so I got on it at +2. The public has been pounding Cleveland like expected but the sharps have pounded Miami to -1 in some places .. I like seeing this sort of stuff after the wagers already been placed.

SHAQUILLE VS. OLD TEAM. Shaquille will be up against his old team for the 2nd times in three games (vs. Lakers now Heat). With the injury problems Shaquille has been looked at as the second scorer, after Lebron, recently. Oklahoma City were all over him in their last game, fouling him what seemed every possession (knowing that he can't hit FT shots consistantly). Miami management knows Shaq, and I expect them to do the same thing against him as OK City did .. putting Jermaine O'Neal on him and sliding over a second defender when he get close to the net to make him shoot FT's rather than an easy close shot or dunk.

Of course there are many factors which favour Cleveland but I feel these factors outweigh any other, thus I love Miami to win this game.


BOL
PV

Nice writeup, good enough to convince me to backdoor you on this and get Miami at +1.5. Good luck to us both

[pittviper]

Thanks guys. GL tonight.

[vyomguy]

As usual, good work pittviper .

[pittviper]

St. Josephs dominated. Wade had a turnover, for Miami, at the end of the game to cost them the win .. but not the cover.

After day 13:
NBA Record: 10-3
CBK Record: 11-2
Overall Record: 21-5 (79%)

Days [1-5]: 9-1 (90%)
Days [6-10]: 7-3 (70%)
Days [11-15]: 5-1 (83%)

BOL
PV

[pittviper]

Correction. I am 80% not 79% overall.

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

Definitely going to keep an eye on this thread bro. Keep up the good work

And to you Mr. Wade learn from the King, King James. Idiot behind the back pass with 1 point lead, thanks a lot

[MrMike]

PV.....simply outstanding

[cashil]

Shit man youre on fire! Good on ya for the Miami cover

[riverja]

Your a badass, tailed you on St Joe's. Was a bit worried cuz of the steam movement....but EASY victory. Thanks bro.

[Types]

Congrats on the 2-0 record for today PV

[cashil]

Your a badass, tailed you on St Joe's. Was a bit worried cuz of the steam movement....but EASY victory. Thanks bro.

Sorry but Im new. What does steam movement mean?

[pittviper]

Thanks guys .. anyone who feels like sending me SBR points feel welcomed too haha

Day 14 (Tuesday):
NBA: Dallas +7.5
CBK: South Carolina +7

(bought half point from +6.5 -105, to +7 -115 .. Reason: 6 points is a two possession game, 7 points is a 3 possession game .. I see 7 as a key number (like 3 and 7 in NFL) as it can come in huge at the end of the game as far as fouling is concerned .. or not fouling because your're down 7 .. 7 is the "give up" number.)

After day 13:
NBA Record: 10-3
CBK Record: 11-2
Overall Record: 21-5 (79%)

Days [1-5]: 9-1 (90%)
Days [6-10]: 7-3 (70%)
Days [11-15]: 5-1 (83%)

BOL
PV

[mkasad23]

wow incredible work buddy keep it up!

[TNT17]

Thanks guys .. anyone who feels like sending me SBR points feel welcomed too haha

Day 14 (Tuesday):
NBA: Dallas +7.5
CBK: South Carolina +7

(bought half point from +6.5 -105, to +7 -115 .. Reason: 6 points is a two possession game, 7 points is a 3 possession game .. I see 7 as a key number (like 3 and 7 in NFL) as it can come in huge at the end of the game as far as fouling is concerned .. or not fouling because your're down 7 .. 7 is the "give up" number.)

After day 13:
NBA Record: 10-3
CBK Record: 11-2
Overall Record: 21-5 (79%)

Days [1-5]: 9-1 (90%)
Days [6-10]: 7-3 (70%)
Days [11-15]: 5-1 (83%)

BOL
PV

Dallas is a -7 most places, not a + though.

[pittviper]

*Actual Selections .. TYPO: NOT Dallas +7.5! I meant Milwaukee +7.5.

Day 14 (Tuesday):
NBA: Milwaukee Bucks +7.5
CBK: South Carolina +7


(bought half point from +6.5 -105, to +7 -115 .. Reason: 6 points is a two possession game, 7 points is a 3 possession game .. I see 7 as a key number (like 3 and 7 in NFL) as it can come in huge at the end of the game as far as fouling is concerned .. or not fouling because your're down 7 .. 7 is the "give up" number.)

After day 13:
NBA Record: 10-3
CBK Record: 11-2
Overall Record: 21-5 (79%)

Days [1-5]: 9-1 (90%)
Days [6-10]: 7-3 (70%)
Days [11-15]: 5-1 (83%)

BOL
PV

[ron.angeles]

wat are ur leans for lakers @ was and min @ nyk.. i wud appreciate ur leans

[pittviper]

thanks for the points oltex. Through my picks not only have I won money, but i've been able to cash out 150$ worth of money for bodog in the sportsbooks (1700 points). Have 600 points left, letting it ride on todays games and Venus Williams in tennis who's opponent is tiny, and whom I know she will have no problem overpowering. I love the SBR book rewards pages, its great.

BOL
PV

[ol'Tex]

no problem man, keep up the great work! i havent used the sbr book... didnt know the points were even worth anything LOL

[pittviper]

wat are ur leans for lakers @ was and min @ nyk.. i wud appreciate ur leans

Looked at both of these games.

Lakers at Washington .. I have not been betting Washington since the Gilbert Arenas gun in the locker room incident, and won't bet them until they give me reason too. Lakers just lost on the road to Toronto, then wen't to the white house yesterday for a meet and greet with the president to celebrate their championship last year, and I doubt they were very focused on basketball .. and I wonder how they play tomorrow .. a visit with the president is rare for the Lakers, but so is two losses in their past three games (which they currently have). I see no reason the Lakers shouldn't blow out Washington but my line has Washington +7.85, and the Lakers are -8. I do not like to be the Lakers often (gives me the same feelings as betting the Yankees in baseball) just feels like I am asking to lose, so I personally would not touch the game at all.

My rules with Minnesota/NYK .. there must be no other good plays on the board, a very good reason to bet them and they must be at home. Knicks lost by 50 earlier in the week, but if I had to pick a team it would be them. Minnesota has good management but you cannot bet them on the road, even as underdogs.

Hope this helps. haha.
BOL
PV

[ron.angeles]

hahahaha... thankz bro... u helped me realize its risky to take both of these games ?
but how bout their total spreads do u have any idea if lakers can get it over the total and nyk too?

[pittviper]

no problem man, keep up the great work! i havent used the sbr book... didnt know the points were even worth anything LOL

I didn't know either at first .. but check the SBR Store and you'll see the things you can purchase. Can't believe I turned 80 points into 2250 in 7 days. That means I could have turned 80$ into 2250$, if I was as careless as I have been on the points sportsbook haha.

[pittviper]

hahahaha... thankz bro... u helped me realize its risky to take both of these games ?
but how bout their total spreads do u have any idea if lakers can get it over the total and nyk too?

Its not often that there is a total that really stands out for me, thats why you won't see me play them much. I like to look at how many times teams score 100+ and allow 100+ in their past 5, and past 10 games as well as how many times they were able to score 40+ fg's, and allow opponents to score 40+ fgs. I remember for the Lakers game it was very close to even, and I actually did not handicap the total on the Knicks game.

For the Lakers game .. really, it comes down to whether or not Washington shows up. If Washington can cover the spread, then it will likely go over .. if Lakers blowout Washington then it will likely go under. IMO. I usually only bet totals if I have a really good feel on one of the sides in the match, as I feel I know how the game will play out .. so both of these games would be no bets for me. Better to bet the plays with value then to try and reach for plays without value because you wan't action.

GL with your picks bud.
PV

[ron.angeles]

thanks PV! BOL!!!

[pittviper]

no problem ron. Thanks for the points MrMike.

[kingsr]

On fire bro! Keep it up