1. 12-01-09 07:01 PM #1
    JohnAnthony
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    Help me hedge this bet live (O/U)

    I took Phoenix Suns/New York Knicks (U 225) for Game @ 2.02 (Pinnacle)

    I'm interested in hedging if things are way wrong by the end of the 1st half, what over should I take for 2nd half and at what price?

    Thanks!
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  2. 12-01-09 07:14 PM #2
    JohnAnthony
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    anyone?
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  3. 12-01-09 07:22 PM #3
    corona
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    this game is on pace for 265 right now.

    you can't hedge because you're on the wrong side. you're screwed unless the scoring absolutely dies.

    you could try to make back what you'll most likely lose with a second half bet, but you'll probably just lose that bet too and be kicking yourself even harder. in my short experience, its best to just take the loss and move on.
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  4. 12-01-09 07:27 PM #4
    Razz_Donkey
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    Quote Originally Posted by corona View Post
    this game is on pace for 265 right now.

    you can't hedge because you're on the wrong side. you're screwed unless the scoring absolutely dies.

    you could try to make back what you'll most likely lose with a second half bet, but you'll probably just lose that bet too and be kicking yourself even harder. in my short experience, its best to just take the loss and move on.
    Best advice you'll get here. Don't chase. Find a new game if u feel there is a +ev side play it.
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  5. 12-01-09 07:34 PM #5
    JohnAnthony
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    ok guys, thanks a lot for your advice!
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  6. 12-01-09 07:37 PM #6
    corona
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    betting phoenix at the half may be worth a look.

    but betting against new york always scares me because they randomly show up and beat good teams, or keep games close (ie. vs denver last week) even though they suck the vast majority of the time.
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  7. 12-01-09 08:11 PM #7
    SportsTerminator
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    The Under might actually cash because the Suns aren't scoring as much as the Knicks...
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  8. 12-01-09 08:31 PM #8
    JohnAnthony
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    lol...???
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  9. 12-01-09 08:35 PM #9
    SportsTerminator
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    The total is 189 with about 7 minutes to go...
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  10. 12-01-09 08:39 PM #10
    JohnAnthony
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    fouls are killing me
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  11. 12-01-09 08:47 PM #11
    plzkthx
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    its going to be close. I have a small parlay on that game under 227.
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  12. 12-01-09 08:51 PM #12
    JohnAnthony
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    had I just waited for it to go up, was so predictable.
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  13. 12-01-09 08:52 PM #13
    SportsTerminator
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    Quote Originally Posted by plzkthx View Post
    its going to be close. I have a small parlay on that game under 227.
    I was just about to post the same... it's going to be close...
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  14. 12-01-09 08:55 PM #14
    JohnAnthony
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    wow...push...
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  15. 12-01-09 08:55 PM #15
    plzkthx
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    lol talk about close. ggood game
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  16. 12-01-09 08:56 PM #16
    plzkthx
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    my bad, i thought you had under 226.
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  17. 12-01-09 08:58 PM #17
    JohnAnthony
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    nevermind, I marked it a loss after the 1h, so I'm happy. congrats on your parlay!
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  18. 12-01-09 09:04 PM #18
    SportsTerminator
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    wow a push, good job on not chasing
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