i find some systems could you help me with the sdql ?? do you used any of them ??
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Baseball's Departing Dogs
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What we're looking for in this system is an underdog that won the previous game as an underdog, while allowing six hits or less, and the game being played is the final game in the series.
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High Scoring Favorites System Baseball betting is certainly a different animal than football or basketball, as there is no point spread involved. You simply pick the winner of the game, although that's easier said than done in many cases.
Everybody can pick the obvious big favorites, although you'll be asked to lay such a high price on them it can be counterproductive to wager on these teams.
Bettors still tend to over-react a bit to the previous game and naturally like to bet the favorites, so this system looks to take advantage of both situations. It's shown a healthy profit, despite a low winning percentage, so obviously it will be on a lot of bigger underdogs.
Since the start of the 2010 season, home favorites off a win in which they scored six or more runs are 378-287, which is a winning percentage of roughly 57 percent. But those teams are favored by an avaerage price of -155, which makes them a terrible betting proposition.
On the other side of the equation, taking the opposite side at an average price of +145 would show a profit of 24.30 units since the start of the 2010 season, which is solid for such an easy to use method.
That's all there is to it. Simply take away underdogs playing an opponent who is off a victory in which they scored six or more runs.
Obviously this method will yield quite a few plays and is for those who like lots of action. If history repeats itself, you'll also be up a fair amount at the end of the year.
Series Starter System
This week we'll look at another system that typically will have us on the underdog, although it does pick favorites now and then. It did show a small profit for the 2009 season, which we have discussed on a number of occasions.
The system did much better in 2010 and is off to a solid start in 2011.
The situation we're looking for are teams off a win in a game in which they had 10 or more hits and are now at home in the first game of a new series. We'll look to bet against these teams.
Because the team is at home they'll more often that not be the favorite and since they're coming off a win in which they hit the ball fairly well, the line may be slightly inflated. It doesn't matter if the game in which they won with the 10 or more hits was at home or away. All we're looking for is a qualifying win.
The Yearly Breakdown
2009 74-84 +505
2010 88-85 +2536
2010 30-28 +773
The game in question could have been played the previous day or two days prior if they had a day off.
It's another fairly simple system that has fared well over the past few years with an overall record since the start of the 2009 season of 192-197, but with an average price of +126, so it's shown a profit of 38.14 units, which is solid for such an easy method.
Baseball's Low Scoring Winners
So far each of our weekly systems have dealt with underdogs, but this week we'll look at a method that pertains to both underdogs and favorites. Our only requirement is that the team we're backing is at home.
This is one of those methods that is embarrassingly simple, yet has produced a decent profit in each of the last three seasons. So far in the 2011 season it is showing a slight loss, which is somewhat expected as it does tend to back favorites more than underdogs, and ass we have mentioned, the best time for wagering on underdogs is typically during the first half of the year.
This is somewhat of an offshoot of our earlier underdog system,
Baseball's Low Scoring Underdog Winners, however now, we're simply looking at the home team.
This simple system tells us to back any home team that won its previous game while scoring three runs or less. That's all there is to it.
Such a simple method has produced the following results:
2008 140-92 +2115
2009 129-87 +2170
2010 145-112 +948
2011 18-17 -134
As mentioned above, this is a method that I would expect to do better the second half of the season than the first, so the 18-17 record through the first month of April isn't really troubling.
Remember, the team in question can be favored or be tabbed as the underdog. Our only requirement is that they are the home team.
This method will give you more plays than our typical underdog system and is good for those who like to wager on more games. Good luck.
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