1. #1
    ChicagoCover
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    Okc v Orl writeup + picks

    Think the bookmakers finally adjusted and got the spread correct in tonight's game. I'm saying that because in the last three contests, the Magic have covered the spread. In each of those three games, the spread has been double digits. These two teams faced off less than two months ago @ OKC and Orlando put up one hell'uva contest; only losing by three points. Something unusual I'm hammering tonight is the total. If you've been paying attention to teams who score a ton of points at home, the Magic are top of your list. The OVER has cashed in the Amway Center in three straight games, while the over is 6-1 in the last seven games & 8-1 in the last nine at the Center. That's thanks to Orlando's hot home avg of 113 points, shooting 49.2% (L3 home). That's pretty impressive for an 14-37 team; whose also shooting 48.2% in their last five home games. Speaking of impressive, the Thunder are shooting an average of 51.5% in their last three road games, which are 2-1 on the over...and that under coming to a 19 point loss at Washington. Although OKC is 3-3 SU in their last six games, I don't expect an upset here cause OKC is 5-0 su vs Orl L3 seasons. Staying away from the spread though because two key trends are smashing right into eachother, they are: OKC 6-1 ATS L7 Road games while Magic are 5-0 ATS L5 Home games. Speaking of trends minus well throw this in here... Over is 4-1 L5 games when OKC is on 1 days rest & a SU win. & Over is 7-3-1 in Magic last 11 home games vs. a team with a road winning % greater than .600, they're also 16-9 on the over at home this season. Orlando allows over, on average, of 100 pts at home -- while OKC is near that, giving up an average of 98 pts while playing on the road. I expect an 112 92 type game.
    Sorry for such a shitty write up, I'm no professional writer or grammar freak

    Pasting this from my notes, hopefully is makes sense to some:

    When OKC's last game was at home, and their next game is on the road (the last five scenarios) the over is 4-1.
    1/4/14 @Minn O207
    1/7/14 @Uta O195
    1/14/14 @Mem U196
    1/22/14 @SA O205
    1/29/14 @MIA O203

    Orl L3 Home Avg 113 49.76% (Those were all wins, vs LAK, MILW, DET) The last time Orl played a caliber team (atl,char,chi,mia) I wouldn't consider char or chi caliber, but most definitely better than lak, milw, or det. Vs those "caliber" teams, which were all played in the month of January; all went over the total. Don't know what book half of you are reading, but I consider OKC "caliber".

  2. #2
    ChicagoCover
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    over -- 200

  3. #3
    Jarman
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    Very informative write up! Thanks for all the great info. I'll be tailing for sure

  4. #4
    SEKTAUR
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    nice write up... total looks a little low but i def wouldnt play the under. good luck

  5. #5
    ChicagoCover
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    LAC -5.5 half u

  6. #6
    RollinDo
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    I'm considering Magic (Under 95 pts) for a top play today.
    OKC has held last 5 home opponents to 92 points or less.
    Last edited by RollinDo; 02-07-14 at 09:10 AM.

  7. #7
    ChicagoCover
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    $$$$$$

  8. #8
    Jago2008
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    Nice win

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