1. #1
    Jay Edgar
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    Join Date: 03-08-06
    Posts: 1,576

    Jay Edgar NBA, Friday 03.23.07

    Through Thursday 03.22.07

    5%-OFF TEAMS vs. MONEYLINE (risking 1u on dogs; betting to win 1u on favorites)
    Thursday, 0-3, -3.00u
    (MEM, DET, SAC)
    YTD 264-489, +44.37u
    (since the ASB: 55-124, -21.34u)

    SAME TEAMS ATS (1.05u to win 1.00u)
    Thursday, 1-2, -1.10u
    YTD 393-347 (.531) +28.65u
    (since the ASB: 85-90 (.486) -9.50u)

    POWER RATINGS OVER LAST TEN GAMES
    1 HOU 68
    2 DAL 66
    3 DET 66
    4 CLE 62
    5 SAN 61
    6 GS 61
    7 DEN 60
    8 UTH 59
    9 MIA 56
    10 ATL 53
    11 WAS 53
    12 PHX 52
    13 LAC 50
    14 CHI 50
    15 MIL 50
    16 ORL 48
    17 NOK 48
    18 SEA 47
    19 CHA 47
    20 BOS 46
    21 NJ 46
    22 TOR 44
    23 POR 42
    24 IND 41
    25 NY 40
    26 MIN 40
    27 PHI 37
    28 SAC 37
    29 LAX 34
    30 MEM 32

    EDGAR LINES FOR 03.23.07
    (favorite-spread/moneyline-dog)

    ORL 4.5/167 over NJ

    IND 1.0/108 over MIA

    TOR 3.9/160 over DEN

    PHI 2.6/128 over CHA

    ATL 6.4/241 over POR

    DAL 1.8/122 over BOS

    CLE 8.6/361 over NY

    SAN 5.3/185 over DET

    NOK 7.2/281 over LAX

    SEA 3.7/153 over MIN

    LAC 2.4/125 over UTH

    GS 5.8/205 over WAS



    STRIKE PRICES (5%-OFF MARKER)
    (At this moneyline or better, team is a play both SU and ATS under 5%-ML-OFF method.)

    NJ +200, ORL -140

    MIA +127, IND +110

    DEN +191, TOR -134

    CHA +152, PHI -108

    POR +298, ATL -198

    DAL -103, BOS +144

    NY +471, CLE -286

    DET +224, SAN -155

    LAX +353, NOK -228

    MIN +183, SEA -128

    UTH +149, LAC -106

    WAS +250, GS -170
    Last edited by Jay Edgar; 03-24-07 at 12:35 AM.

  2. #2
    Jay Edgar
    Jay Edgar's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-08-06
    Posts: 1,576

    53% ATS against the closing number over 750 plays should feel great.

    But not coming from where we were, which was 55.8% ATS against the closing number over the first 550 plays.

    Season can't end soon enough. Time for a break.

    GAP TEAM ATS ML
    5 ORL WIN 100
    6 DET WIN -100
    7 IND WIN 116
    9 NY LOSS -100
    9 CHA LOSS -100
    14 LAC WIN 128
    18 NOK LOSS -133
    25 BOS LOSS -100

    Through Friday 03.23.07

    5%-OFF TEAMS vs. MONEYLINE (risking 1u on dogs; betting to win 1u on favorites)
    Friday, 3-5, -1.89u
    (ORL, IND, CHA, BOS, NY, DET, NOK, LAC)
    YTD 267-494, +42.48u
    (since the ASB: 58-129, -23.23u)

    SAME TEAMS ATS (1.05u to win 1.00u)
    Friday, 4-4, -0.20u
    YTD 397-351 (.531) +28.45u
    (since the ASB: 89-94 (.461) -9.70u)
    Last edited by Jay Edgar; 03-24-07 at 01:42 AM.

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