1. 01-23-14 02:26 AM #1
    boydako13
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    Portland only -7?????...& over/under 221.5???

    They already beat nuggets.....it should have been a double digit ++ on nuggets.
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  2. 01-23-14 02:29 AM #2
    ChicagoCover
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    T.R.A.P. Game Just like the Pacers/Suns?



    Not saying it is, but maybe?
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  3. 01-23-14 02:37 AM #3
    vasilli07
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    1st game at home after 4 games road trip.
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  4. 01-23-14 07:20 AM #4
    Time is Money
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    1H over
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  5. 01-23-14 09:07 AM #5
    SharkAA
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    Under 221. Jailblazers went over 221 in only 3/20 games @ home.
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  6. 01-23-14 10:58 AM #6
    Time is Money
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    Quote Originally Posted by SharkAA View Post
    Under 221. Jailblazers went over 221 in only 3/20 games @ home.
    Are you dumb dude? More than half their home games have gone over. Fact check the shit you say next time.
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  7. 01-23-14 11:00 AM #7
    FistOfFreedom
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    Quote Originally Posted by Time is Money View Post
    Are you dumb dude? More than half their home games have gone over. Fact check the shit you say next time.
    Calmdownbro.jpg

    Nothing is for sure
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  8. 01-23-14 11:01 AM #8
    JAnthony
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    Nuggets is such a wild card with Nate Robinson and Ty Lawson. When those guys go-off there is no cure for that. Also Faried can cause a lot of trouble for opponents, if he gets decent playing time Blazers might have some trouble with their really poor defense.
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  9. 01-23-14 11:02 AM #9
    Time is Money
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    Just because they aren't eclipsing 221 doesn't mean anything, they've been killing it with overs all season both home and away. Nuggets play exclusively in 5th gear, to say "oh 221" is dumb because they almost scored that much in a game against the Pacers of all teams earlier this season at home.
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  10. 01-23-14 11:02 AM #10
    SharkAA
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    Quote Originally Posted by Time is Money View Post
    Are you dumb dude? More than half their home games have gone over. Fact check the shit you say next time.
    16.01.14 NBA Portland Trail Blazers Cleveland Cavaliers 108 : 96
    12.01.14 NBA Portland Trail Blazers Boston Celtics 112 : 104
    09.01.14 NBA Portland Trail Blazers Orlando Magic 110 : 94
    05.01.14 NBA Portland Trail Blazers Philadelphia 76ers 99 : 101
    03.01.14 NBA Portland Trail Blazers Charlotte Bobcats 134 : 104
    29.12.13 NBA Portland Trail Blazers Miami Heat 107 : 108
    27.12.13 NBA Portland Trail Blazers Los Angeles Clippers 116 : 112
    (101 : 101)
    22.12.13 NBA Portland Trail Blazers New Orleans Pelicans 110 : 107
    13.12.13 NBA Portland Trail Blazers Houston Rockets 111 : 104
    08.12.13 NBA Portland Trail Blazers Dallas Mavericks 106 : 108
    07.12.13 NBA Portland Trail Blazers Utah Jazz 130 : 98
    05.12.13 NBA Portland Trail Blazers Oklahoma City Thunder 111 : 104
    03.12.13 NBA Portland Trail Blazers Indiana Pacers 106 : 102
    26.11.13 NBA Portland Trail Blazers New York Knicks 102 : 91
    23.11.13 NBA Portland Trail Blazers Chicago Bulls 98 : 95
    14.11.13 NBA Portland Trail Blazers Phoenix Suns 90 : 89
    12.11.13 NBA Portland Trail Blazers Detroit Pistons 109 : 103
    09.11.13 NBA Portland Trail Blazers Sacramento Kings 104 : 91
    06.11.13 NBA Portland Trail Blazers Houston Rockets 101 : 116
    03.11.13 NBA Portland Trail Blazers San Antonio Spurs 115 : 105

    You wanna proceed with the insults? I clearly stated 'Over/Under 221', bitch.
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  11. 01-23-14 11:03 AM #11
    Highsaac
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    Quote Originally Posted by Time is Money View Post
    Are you dumb dude? More than half their home games have gone over. Fact check the shit you say next time.

    Wrong. More than half the blazers home games have not gone over 221.
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  12. 01-23-14 11:08 AM #12
    Time is Money
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    They've gone over the predicted totals though, I know this because I've madea killing off overs with them this season

    to sit there and spew a stat like that completely negates what Nuggets are capable of doing / have been doing.

    Are the Blazers/Celtics gonna combine for 221? of course not, but they combined for 216 last week and that's Boston. Not an offensive powerhouse.
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  13. 01-23-14 11:09 AM #13
    gambleites
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    You are both correct.

    Shark is saying they have gone OVER 221 points in 3 of 20 which he/she just proved.

    You are saying the Blazers go over whatever the posted total is, Blazers 14-6 over at Home, Blazers 29-13 OVER overall.

    You are both right just not reading the posts correctly.

    Best of luck to both of you
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  14. 01-23-14 11:12 AM #14
    FistOfFreedom
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    Quote Originally Posted by gambleites View Post
    You are both correct.

    Shark is saying they have gone OVER 221 points in 3 of 20 which he/she just proved.

    You are saying the Blazers go over whatever the posted total is, Blazers 14-6 over at Home, Blazers 29-13 OVER overall.

    You are both right just not reading the posts correctly.

    Best of luck to both of you
    Exactly. So, pretty much, those stats do nothing but confuse lol and give no insight. Just like most.
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  15. 01-23-14 11:28 AM #15
    Time is Money
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    I apologize for the direct attack, I just think that's a horrible formula to gage your bets on. you need to take into account both sides. matchups, pace, rest etc. certain teams they played at home aren't going to push the ball offensively which is why every over/under is not the same #. based on the numbers the books have given the Blazers have been eclipsing. I think that's the stat you need to look at here. BOL
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  16. 01-23-14 12:34 PM #16
    boydako13
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    BOL to all!!
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  17. 01-23-14 12:48 PM #17
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by boydako13 View Post
    BOL to all!!
    Hey T.I.M., didn't you tell me long ago NOT to take this tuff to seriously. Just to state your bet because we are all here to beat the man???? I have earned my stripes from YOUR opinion @ that time. I am now 78-38-1, and simply post, not looking for anybody to tail. JUst offering another view. BOL brother...tell me your selections for tonight please????....
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  18. 01-23-14 12:54 PM #18
    boydako13
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    Quote Originally Posted by 44 Mag View Post
    Hey T.I.M., didn't you tell me long ago NOT to take this tuff to seriously. Just to state your bet because we are all here to beat the man???? I have earned my stripes from YOUR opinion @ that time. I am now 78-38-1, and simply post, not looking for anybody to tail. JUst offering another view. BOL brother...tell me your selections for tonight please????....
    Nice record bro...BOL!!
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  19. 01-23-14 01:15 PM #19
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by boydako13 View Post
    Nice record bro...BOL!!
    TX, BRO....trying to improve and offering advice/my selections.BOL...
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  20. 01-23-14 01:21 PM #20
    MrCoso
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    Game is going OVER! remember this post fellas!!
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  21. 01-23-14 01:25 PM #21
    SharkAA
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    Quote Originally Posted by Time is Money View Post
    I apologize for the direct attack, I just think that's a horrible formula to gage your bets on. you need to take into account both sides. matchups, pace, rest etc. certain teams they played at home aren't going to push the ball offensively which is why every over/under is not the same #. based on the numbers the books have given the Blazers have been eclipsing. I think that's the stat you need to look at here. BOL
    That's ok. It's not impossible for the OVER to hit if Denver will have a very good night.
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  22. 01-23-14 02:03 PM #22
    blerpblerp
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    Portland hits the over vs the books between 67-70% of the time this yr.

    They are playing another team that can put up a ton of Pts. Both defenses are in the bottom of the nba in Pts allowed.

    This reeks of an over. This is one matchup where it's certainly possible for both teams to light it up.
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  23. 01-23-14 02:40 PM #23
    Dan Kelly
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    Quote Originally Posted by boydako13 View Post
    They already beat nuggets.....it should have been a double digit ++ on nuggets.
    So far in 13-14, there have been 5 games played in the NBA where the Home Favorite is playing its 3rd game in 4 nights, not back to back, previous game on the road, with a total greater than 213. In those games the Home Fav is 0-5 ATS, and 0-5 ATS in the 1H by an average spread margin of 15 (that's equivalent to losing the bet by 30 to the line) - small sample size, huge results. If you are going to bet this game and you don't want to take Den +4 in the 1H, then at least wait until halftime to bet Portland.

    WagerType: Date: Team: Risking / To Win Ticket#:
    Straight Jan 23 NBA [1503] 1H DEN NUGGETS +4-110 110.00 USD / 100.00 USD x


    If you only know what the books know -> they will take all of your money.

    BOL
    Last edited by Dan Kelly; 01-23-14 at 10:34 PM.
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  24. 01-23-14 02:45 PM #24
    DUBnation
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    Don't overlook the fact that they're practically begging us to take the Blazers here...7 pt spread has attracted 73% of the public (as high as 79% last night), yet the line hasn't budged all day. Portland is returning from a tough road trip, and only getting a day of rest after the long flight back from Texas, and Batum (their best perimeter defender) may have rushed back from his finger injury, as he had to convince the trainers to let him play vs. the Thunder and didn't play very well (although he had the nearly impossible task of guarding Durant). Wilson Chandler has been playing well for the Nuggets the last few games, and Batum is the only one on the Blazers with a real chance to slow him down, IMO.

    The Nuggets also play at a faster pace than the Blazers do, and their speed (especially Lawson/Robinson) and the fact that they're well rested (haven't played since Sunday) could spell trouble for the Blazers' squad which is likely exhausted. We all saw last night with the Suns vs. Pacers what a quick team can do to even the best defense when they're tired, and the Blazers have one of the worst defenses in the league. My prediction would be that the Nuggets come out shooting and build an early lead thanks to the speed of their guards, luring the Blazers into playing Nuggets ball. On a normal night this may not be a problem for the Blazers, but they've had a tough week with a lot of traveling and might struggle trying to keep up with the pace of the well-rested Nuggets.

    Also, the Nuggets don't play many nationally televised games and should be excited for this one!

    Bottom line, I'm going with Denver here. Blazers may win SU, but I think it will end up being a close game down the stretch. Should be a very high scoring game, but 221.5 is a little too high for me so I will stick with the spread.
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  25. 01-23-14 04:15 PM #25
    oiler
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    well Portland is 7-1 vs Denver so im liking Portland
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  26. 01-23-14 04:47 PM #26
    Hench
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    I took Heat ML.
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  27. 01-23-14 04:47 PM #27
    inZane
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    Quote Originally Posted by oiler View Post
    well Portland is 7-1 vs Denver so im liking Portland
    Well Denver has beaten them straight up 3 out of the last 4. Two at Denver, 1 at Portland. I'm liking Dubnations logic and rolling with the dog. Good luck to all who deserve it!
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  28. 01-23-14 04:48 PM #28
    SharkAA
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    BOL to everyone on tonight's games.
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  29. 01-23-14 09:49 PM #29
    Time is Money
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    Quote Originally Posted by 44 Mag View Post
    Hey T.I.M., didn't you tell me long ago NOT to take this tuff to seriously. Just to state your bet because we are all here to beat the man???? I have earned my stripes from YOUR opinion @ that time. I am now 78-38-1, and simply post, not looking for anybody to tail. JUst offering another view. BOL brother...tell me your selections for tonight please????....
    sorry boss, never came back to this thread until just now. on post #4 in here I said I feel the 1H will go over, got it @112

    Nice record, you should set up a season long tracking thread
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  30. 01-23-14 09:52 PM #30
    FistOfFreedom
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    slow start...
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  31. 01-23-14 10:00 PM #31
    Time is Money
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    picking up. on pace for around 56 this Q
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  32. 01-23-14 10:19 PM #32
    flyingcarbs
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    Live lines showing o/u 216
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  33. 01-23-14 10:32 PM #33
    boydako13
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    Seems gonna go under on 1st half....then gonna be a shootout on 2nd half...just like heat/lakers game
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  34. 01-23-14 10:37 PM #34
    Dan Kelly
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Kelly View Post
    So far in 13-14, there have been 5 games played in the NBA where the Home Favorite is playing its 3rd game in 4 nights, not back to back, previous game on the road, with a total greater than 213. In those games the Home Fav is 0-5 ATS, and 0-5 ATS in the 1H by an average spread margin of 15 (that's equivalent to losing the bet by 30 to the line) - small sample size, huge results. If you are going to bet this game and you don't want to take Den +4 in the 1H, then at least wait until halftime to bet Portland.

    WagerType: Date: Team: Risking / To Win Ticket#:
    Straight Jan 23 NBA [1503] 1H DEN NUGGETS +4-110 110.00 USD / 100.00 USD x


    If you only know what the books know -> they will take all of your money.

    BOL
    Those same 5 games have all gone Under in the 2H by an average of 11 points.

    BOL
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  35. 01-23-14 10:39 PM #35
    FistOfFreedom
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Kelly View Post
    Those same 5 games have all gone Under in the 2H by an average of 11 points.

    BOL
    What are your 2H plays?
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