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NEW TO POSTING THREADS HERE ARE MY PICKS - MIND THE HORRIBLE SPELLING. THESE ARE MY WRITE UP/NOTES COMBINED
FULL SLATE OF GAMES TODAY TO MAKE SOME CASH, AND WITH TWO DAYS IN A TWO LOSING TO THE JUICE LEAVE ME IN AN UNCOMFORTABLE POSITION, STRIVING HARDER TO MAKE SOME CASH. MY FIRST PLAY TODAY IS THE HAWKS AT THE MAGIC. I STILL DON'T KNOW WHAT THE THINK ABOUT THIS HAWKS TEAMS TOO MUCH BECAUSE THEY CAN BEAT THE HEAT AT HOME, BUT HAVE A HORRIBLE 6-13 ROAD RECORD. WHY I LIKE MY PICK TONIGHT IS FOR A FEW REASONS, ORLANDO SHOWED LAST NIGHT VS BROOKYLN THAT THEY CAN PUT POINT UP ON THE BOARD IN THE LAST PERIOD AND THAT THEY'RE A FIGHTER NO MATTER HOW BADLY THEY SUCK (34PTS IN THE 4THQ WHILE THEY HAD 35PTS IN THE 2ND&3RD COMBINED). BUT THEY'RE NOT PLAYING THE NETS, THEY TRAVEL BACK HOME WHERE THEY HAVE A WINNING O/U RECORD ON THE OVER AT 12-9-0. ODDLY ENOUGH THE HAWKS HAVE WINNING O/U RECORD ON THE ROAD TOO, AT 12-7-0. BUT WHAT REALLY POPS OUT AT ME IS ORLANDO HAS ALLOWED 9 OF ITS LAST 10 OPPONENTS TO HIT TRIPLE DIGITS. ALTHOUGH 5 POINTS DOES SEEM TASTY FOR THE HAWKS, SOMETHING IS HOLDING ME BACK CAUSE ORLANDO CAN CONTEND BUT CANNOT CLOSE. PLUS ATLANTA ATS ROAD RECORD SUCKS AND THEY ONLY THING THAT DOESN'T CONFUSE ME ABOUT THE HAWKS TEAMS IS THAT THEY CAN SCORE. AND SCORE VS ORL. 4 OUT OF THE LAST FIVE MATCHUPS VS ORL THEY'VE SCORED OVER 100PTS. FEW MORE SIDE NOTES... O/U IS 4-1 (ATL) ON 2 DAYS REST IN THEIR LAST 5 2 DAYS OF REST SCENARIOS ... OVER IS 11-2 (ATL) LAST 13 AFTER ALLOWING 100+ IN THEIR PREVIOUS GAME ... OVER IS 22-8 LAST 30 ATL ROAD GAMES. OVER 199.5
I THINK DALLAS IS GETTING SHORT CHANGED HERE BY THE ODDMAKERS HERE. THEY'RE 5-2 IN THEIR LAST SEVEN GAMES SU AND FOUR OF THOSE GAMES HAVE BEEN ON THE ROAD (WINNING 3 OF THEM, AND LOSING BY 2 @LAC) BEATING MINN, NETS AND KEEPING IT CLOSE VS MIA DURING THE MONTH OF JANUARY, TORONTO HAS SOME CREDIT, BUT THEY COULDN'T BEAT THE CELTICS NOR THE BOBCATS IN THEIR LAST FEWS GAMES, YES WHICH WERE ON THE ROAD, BUT STILL. THEY ARE A TEAM THAT CAN SCORE THOUGH, SO YOU MIGHT WANT TO LOOK AT THE OVER AS TOR IS AVERAGING 104 PTS AT HOME IN THEIR LAST 5 GAMES -- DAL 107PTS ON THE ROAD IN THEIR LAST 5 ROAD GAMES. BUT THE REASON IM STAYING AWAY FROM THE TOTAL IS BECAUSE THE TRENDS SAY THE UNDER IS 6-2 IN DALLAS LAST 8 ROAD GAMES AND FOR TOR THE UNDER IS 6-2 LAST 8 ON 1 DAYS REST. VINCE CARTER HAS QUIETLY MERGED AS THE TEAMS LEADING SCORER AVERAGING 21+ POINTS PER GAME WHILE DIRK STILL BANKS IN A GOOD 17 POINTS IF NOT MORE. DIRK DID MISS ALL 5 OF HIS 3 POINT ATT'S VS CLE, I EASILY EXPECT THAT TO CHANGE VS TOR AS THE FUTURE HALL OF FAMER CAN'T GO TOO LONG W/O DRAINING SOME THREES. ANYWAYS. I LIKE THE DOG HERE. DAL AVERAGING 111PTS LAST 5 GAMES WHILE TOR SITS AT 98PTS LAST 5. TAKE THE MONEYLINE IF YOU DON'T WANT TO SIP THE JUICE
I WOULD LOVE TO TAKE PHOENIX HERE IN THIS SPOT. THE PACERS ARE HOT YES, BUT IF THE LINE HITS 6 I MAY PULL THE TRIGGER. THE PACERS ARE 0-5 ATS IN THE LAST 5 MEETINGS..AND THE DOG IS 4-0 ATS L4 MEETINGS. CALL ME CRAZY BUT THE SUNS CAN CONTEND AT HOME..SCORING WELL OVER 100 POINTS IN EACH OF THEIR LAST FOUR HOME GAMES WITH WINS VS DEN,LAK,MILW, AND TWO LESS THAN 10PT LOSSES VS MEM AND DAL. LOOKING BACK AT THE MATCHUP HISTORY LOOK FOR YOURSELF THESE GAMES ARE CLOSE AND PHOENIX HAS COVERED THE LAST 5. THIS IS SUCH A SUCKER BET FOR THE PUBLIC CONSIDERING HOW HOT THE PACERS CLAIM TO BE RIGHT NOW. HOPEFULLY WERE SMARTER THAN THAT. IF +6, PULLING THE TRIGGER.
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Originally Posted by vasilli07
