1. #1
    Ratzz
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    • NBA Payday •

    hello gents,

    okay, so i have completed five trial runs of a larger scale experiment involving several different methods of handicapping.

    i did okay with some earlier projects, and then poorly with later ones (pretty obvious which ones) but am exhibiting improved success with my last generation combining serious old school and some new school strats that i developed myself.

    i was doing very well with 3Q's wagers, but over time found them to be a little short on time, borderline unpleasant.*

    I decided to focus more on 1Q's and Full Games (won't release picks until i know what i am doing) but i feel good about 1Q's and went 5-0 in my last five attempts. Winning each by more than a bucket (important). If you win by less than a bucket, it is money in your bank, but it was not really a good pick.

    *let's see if we can improve on the last installment, which went 15-5-1, with a (.750) Win/Loss percentage.

    If it works out, maybe we can all safely generate a little more income in this difficult world.

    i wish all you guys luck, cheers, ®

    Precision 1.0 (8-5)

    Precision 2.0 (6-3)

    Precision 3.0 (0-3) a dismal failure.*i aborted that quickly.

    Precision 4.0 (3-6) adjustments clearly did not work,

    Precision 5.0 (15-5-1)*will stick with this, and explore this more

  2. #2
    Ratzz
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    Jan 15th

    1) CHI/ORL__OVER 45.5__1ST QTR



    2) CHA/PHI__UNDER 53__1ST QTR

  3. #3
    DarkEraNYSports
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    Very nice man. Been keeping track of your plays. Keep up the great work!

  4. #4
    Ratzz
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    Jan 15th


    3) HOU/NOH__OVER 51.5__1ST QTR


  5. #5
    tonywayne
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    Nice job

    Dude, nice call on the 1st two (Chi/Orl, Cha/Phi). Giving #3 (Hou/NO) a shot...

    What would it take to find out a little more about your system?

  6. #6
    Ratzz
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    Jan 15th

    4) MEM/MIL__UNDER 47.5__1ST QTR


  7. #7
    Ratzz
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    Quote Originally Posted by DarkEraNYSports View Post
    Very nice man. Been keeping track of your plays. Keep up the great work!
    thanks!! will do, buddy..

    just gonna keep 'capping my head off (and posting prognostics)..

    Let's get it

  8. #8
    Ratzz
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    Quote Originally Posted by tonywayne View Post
    Dude, nice call on the 1st two (Chi/Orl, Cha/Phi). Giving #3 (Hou/NO) a shot...
    Quote Originally Posted by tonywayne View Post


    What would it take to find out a little more about your system?



    thank you, Tony


    to answer your question, i guess buy my book,*


    best way to learn how i trained my mind to look at what created losing picks..
    not to repeat mistakes.. to train the mind to observe itself. To look in, and not just out.
    and what it does.. and asks you to do.. (especially that)

    gamblers need to seriously be aware of all that stuff..


    there is a great deal of processes involved in our decision-making
    (most of which are unaware of entirely)


    i have spent the last few years studying Psychology, Behaviorism, and Neurobiology.
    it helps so much in careful decision-making, and eliminating bad impulse bets.
    and other bad decisions in life.



    i am creating a site, will have it up real soon, the book costs $20


    years of research, but creates a winning mind.. it did for me at least

    cheers, ®

  9. #9
    Ratzz
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    capping the late games... Den/GSW and Dal/LAC

    let's see if anything good

  10. #10
    Ratzz
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ratzz View Post
    Jan 15th



    1) CHI/ORL__OVER 45.5__1ST QTR (W)


    2) CHA/PHI__UNDER 53__1ST QTR (W)


    3) HOU/NOH__OVER 51.5__1ST QTR (L)


    4) MEM/MIL__UNDER 47.5__1ST QTR (W)



    LATE GAMES: nope. i see a couple of leans in the late games..
    but also, one factor in each game that i don't like.. so i will sit down.


    okay, i went back, i think i found the error in the loss, eliminate that for the future.
    let's see if we can maintain.. or climb over the .750 threshold.



    NBA Payday is 3-1 (.750)


    cheers folks
    Last edited by Ratzz; 01-15-14 at 09:12 PM.

  11. #11
    tonywayne
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    3-1 is a good day. Thanks for these. Will be watching your picks in the future.

  12. #12
    Ratzz
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    Jan 16th (Early Game)_

    5) BKN__pick 'em__1ST QTR *
    over Atl.


  13. #13
    Allsportscapper
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    Good job.sir

  14. #14
    John7
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    Can I know over by how many point for nets/hawks game (1st quarter) thanks.

  15. #15
    Ratzz
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    Quote Originally Posted by Allsportscapper View Post
    Good job.sir
    thank you ASC, i do try... and give it 100%

    hope we stay where we are or advance, cheers*

  16. #16
    Allsportscapper
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    Nice hit what's next

  17. #17
    Ratzz
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ratzz View Post
    Jan 16th (Early Game)_

    5) BKN__pick 'em__1ST QTR *
    over Atl. (W)

    LONDON: okay.. got this one.. what a turnaround in scoring last 6 min.
    looked like mud for the first 6 min.

    Let's take a look see what leans there are
    later this evening

    NBA Payday*is*4-1*(.800)

  18. #18
    DarkEraNYSports
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    Thanks again brotha! Your post about betting advice was spot on and appreciated. I'll def look into the book.

    One question is do you ever wager different units or your wagering on everything uniform?

  19. #19
    Ratzz
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    Quote Originally Posted by DarkEraNYSports View Post
    Thanks again brotha! Your post about betting advice was spot on and appreciated. I'll def look into the book.

    One question is do you ever wager different units or your wagering on everything uniform?
    i really feel it is better for gamblers to stay with fixed unit wagers until they are well over .660%
    (win percentage)

    placing one's focus on units will almost invariably lead to gambling problems, because the mind then becomes occupied with "when to go large?" rather than "what is the best wager available?"

    so, a person, then goes large at the wrong time... (normal)*
    and tries to win it all back by going larger next time..*

    the odds of losing a second bet, when the motive is to recoup the first is extraordinarily high.

    i say a gambler should get his game together first... always. Learn one's trade.

    just as a driver should be an expert driver, before they engage in speeding.
    Speeding will get anyone to their destination quicker, but tends to create many more accidents,
    especially in novice drivers.

    I like single units bets.. keeps my mind sharp and focused on the right outcome,
    rather than what i am going to get back *

  20. #20
    Allsportscapper
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    Well said ....Do you have any leans for tonite

  21. #21
    Ratzz
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    Jan 16th

    6) NYK__+2.5__1ST QTR** over Indy

    Knicks playing better of late, they might come out a bit harder than usual.
    Like matchups

  22. #22
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ratzz View Post
    Jan 16th

    6) NYK__+2.5__1ST QTR** over Indy

    Knicks playing better of late, they might come out a bit harder than usual.
    Like matchups
    You got a horrible #, Jed. Hope it doesn't matter. There are +3.5's out there.

  23. #23
    tonywayne
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    Dang, I missed the picks today. Argh. I just looked at NYK and you got that one (after getting BRK earlier). 2-0 today so far. Nice work.

  24. #24
    Ratzz
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    You got a horrible #, Jed. Hope it doesn't matter. There are +3.5's out there.
    wow.. +3.5.. makes one want to bet larger..but i really don't do that..glad i we lucked out and got away with it. I will try to do better to find best number tho'.it's a good habit.thx Dr. No

  25. #25
    Ratzz
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    Quote Originally Posted by tonywayne View Post
    Dang, I missed the picks today. Argh. I just looked at NYK and you got that one (after getting BRK earlier). 2-0 today so far. Nice work.
    lol.. don't sweat it.. Tony,as long as there is b-ball... there is more angles/picks

  26. #26
    tonywayne
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    Book? (Sorry, I'm new to the site, so not sure where to look if you have a profile or something...)

  27. #27
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ratzz View Post
    wow.. +3.5.. makes one want to bet larger..but i really don't do that..glad i we lucked out and got away with it. I will try to do better to find best number tho'.it's a good habit.thx Dr. No
    Nice hit.

  28. #28
    Ratzz
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ratzz View Post
    Jan 16th

    6) NYK__+2.5__1ST QTR** over Indy (W)
    Knicks playing better of late, they might come out a bit harder than usual.
    Like matchups
    okay.. Knicks came in, they scored well..
    and Pacers started real slow.. but they sure sped up at the end of the 1Q (mini-yikes)


    I am glad the clock ran out to kill the comeback


    looking at OKC/Houston.. trying to figure out how it will start


    NBA Payday is 5-1 (.833)

    cheers, ®

  29. #29
    Ratzz
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    Quote Originally Posted by tonywayne View Post
    Book? (Sorry, I'm new to the site, so not sure where to look if you have a profile or something...)
    hi Tony,

    i am designing the website now... will be up shortly.. i will post it when it's up.
    Great info about the human brain, gambling and how it impacts (sometimes very dangerously)
    our decision-making

    i learned a ton, researching it, and even more writing it.
    Turned my 'capping around

    good read. Will post it soon.

    cheers, r*

  30. #30
    Allsportscapper
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    Thanks bro looking forward to the okc game

  31. #31
    Ratzz
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Nice hit.
    thank you, always like that extra point of bullet-proof vest.
    (especially in 1Q's) time so short

  32. #32
    Allsportscapper
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    Any play on okc

  33. #33
    Allsportscapper
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    Look forward to reading your website your insight is very interesting

  34. #34
    Ratzz
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    Quote Originally Posted by Allsportscapper View Post
    Look forward to reading your website your insight is very interesting
    it's good stuff... my best work so far.. dropping it soon

    it's tough dividing my time, between designing that.. my book editor..
    and 'capping all these games..

    i do feel like i know what i am doing (finally), but it's still not quick work... a great deal of data-crunching–

    so many games tonite.. i guess brew another pot of coffee and get started*
    Last edited by Ratzz; 01-17-14 at 10:27 AM.

  35. #35
    Allsportscapper
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    Well lets $$$$ again

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