5%-OFF TEAMS vs. MONEYLINE (risking 1u on dogs; betting to win 1u on favorites)
Thursday, 1-0, +2.90u
(MIL) YTD 251-461, +38.69u
(since the ASB: 42-96, -27.02u)
SAME TEAMS ATS (1.05u to win 1.00u)
Thursday, 1-0, +1.00u YTD 373-327 (.533) +29.65u
(since the ASB: 65-70 (.481) -8.50u)
POWER RATINGS OVER LAST TEN GAMES
1 SAN 71
2 CLE 67
3 DAL 65
4 MIA 65
5 UTH 65
6 CHI 62
7 PHX 61
8 DET 60
9 GS 54
10 MIL 54
11 HOU 53
12 DEN 52
13 TOR 52
14 PHI 52
15 POR 49
16 ORL 47
17 WAS 47
18 NJ 46
19 BOS 46
20 NY 46
21 LAC 45
22 SAC 44
23 ATL 44
24 SEA 44
25 NOK 41
26 CHA 38
27 MIN 36
28 MEM 35
29 LAX 31
30 IND 31
EDGAR LINES FOR 03.16.07
(favorite-spread/moneyline-dog)
CHA 3.0/138 over LAC
PHI 1.8/118 over UTH
TOR 2.7/130 over HOU
NY 3.9/157 over NOK
MIA 6.2/224 over SAC
DAL 4.7/171 over BOS
PHX 3.6/148 over DET
LAX 0.6/105 over POR
GS 6.0/215 over MIN
STRIKE PRICES (5%-OFF MARKER)
(At this moneyline or better, team is a play both SU and ATS under 5%-ML-OFF method.)
Every game on the board qualified for a play.
That's probably not the best way to run a railroad.
One of the projects for the summer is going to be to pore over the 06-07 data and develop a way to throw some of these qualifying plays overboard, or at least develop an objective method for weighting them.
% TEAM ATS ML
5 MIA WIN 100
7 MIN LOSS -100
8 DET WIN 200
13 NY LOSS -100
15 TOR LOSS -100
16 CHA LOSS -100
18 PHI WIN 174
24 POR WIN -100
29 BOS WIN -100
Through Friday 03.16.07
5%-OFF TEAMS vs. MONEYLINE (risking 1u on dogs; betting to win 1u on favorites)
Friday, 3-6, -1.26u
(CHA, PHI, TOR, NY, MIA, BOD, DET, POR, MIN) YTD 254-467, +37.43u
(since the ASB: 45-102, -28.28u)
SAME TEAMS ATS (1.05u to win 1.00u)
Friday, 5-4, +0.80u YTD 378-331 (.533) +30.45u
(since the ASB: 70-74 (.486) -7.70u)