1. #1
    chris440
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    Trying a new system

    If im not 50% or higher an 7 days i will stop betting these

    Phoenix -2
    Knicks +5.5
    Twolves +6.5
    Clippers +2

  2. #2
    chris440
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    system is 2-2 50% so far here is todays
    charlotte +4
    portland -6.5
    rockets +6.5

  3. #3
    chris440
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    Day 3
    System has been re evaluated lets see how this goes
    3-4 so far

    I am not betting these picks because i just changed the system and have to see if it is going to work

    Warriors +5.5
    Toronto -5.5
    Orlando -1
    Spurs +1.5

  4. #4
    chris440
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    2-2 not sure what is wrong. 5-6 all together.
    4 more days to go.
    system plays for tomorrow

    cleveland -1.5
    phoenix +7.5

  5. #5
    PASS IT ON
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    whats the system???

  6. #6
    chris440
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    Lots of different statistics added up into one formula to predict the exact scores of what the teams should score

  7. #7
    PASS IT ON
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    u should add the under\over to your bets aswell, maybe they will produce more winners???

  8. #8
    chris440
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    yeah, still looking into that one. hopefully will figure it out soon

  9. #9
    chris440
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    6-7 so far with 3 days more

    todays picks

    76ers -3
    orlando -15.5
    warriors +4
    atlanta +9
    sacramento +5
    denver -4

  10. #10
    BruthaMan
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    Quote Originally Posted by chris440 View Post
    6-7 so far with 3 days more

    todays picks

    76ers -3
    orlando -15.5
    warriors +4
    atlanta +9
    sacramento +5
    denver -4

    bol ...... working on a new system myself

  11. #11
    chris440
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    thank you bro. let me know how your system is working out?
    added system play
    toronto -1.5

  12. #12
    chris440
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    6-1. doing better
    12-8 now with 2 more days
    will have system plays early tomrrow

  13. #13
    chris440
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    november 14 system plays

    indiana +7
    portland -3
    utah +13.5
    miami -13
    philly +7
    minessota +9
    golden state +8
    spurs -8

  14. #14
    chris440
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    system went 5-3 yesterday
    thats 17-11

    today had 1 play
    clippers +5.5

  15. #15
    PASS IT ON
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    well done yesterday

  16. #16
    chris440
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    Thanks bro
    system now 18-11
    tomorrows picks will be posted early in the morning

  17. #17
    chris440
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    todays system picks

    atlanta -3.5
    bucks -1.5

  18. #18
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    1-1.

    i think u should do this system for the entire season then decide if your gonna put your money on it, so far it looks good, but maybe it can be made better by changing a few little things??? i dunno.

    have u worked out if its worth doing ur system for under over bets????

  19. #19
    chris440
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    19-12

    Thanks for the input. yeah, I'm gonna try this for the whole season and am going to adjust it a little bit to make it better.
    I am still working on the over/under for this. I will let you know

    Nov 17 plays. Lots of underdogs
    warriors +15.5
    new jersey +3.5
    OKC +4.5
    Clippers +2
    Phoenix +2.5
    Sacramento -1

  20. #20
    chris440
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    3-3 yesterday. so 22-15

    todays picks
    atl -7.5
    philly -3
    pacers -6.5
    thunder +12.5
    warriors +16.5
    clippers +5
    houston -5.5
    bucks -10
    toronto +9
    mavs -1.5

  21. #21
    Fizz
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    I'm definitely not a pro but working through a system myself (for better or worse ).

    Do you feel confident that those teams will win? You're playing 10 out of 12 games. Do you think those lines are way off? I'm kind of wondering what were your score predictions for Phil/Char, Hou/Minn, Nj/Mil?

    Also, if you're predicting the scores don't you like any of the over/unders? How much different must your spread from the actual spread be to play it? As in, if you predict Atlanta wins by 8 do you play it? 9? 10? 11? I like +5 so if I projected Atlanta winning by 12.5 I would take them and feel good about it.

    Just some thoughts. I'll take anything you found helpful in creating your system.
    Last edited by Fizz; 11-18-09 at 06:05 PM.

  22. #22
    chris440
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    Confident, not sure. If its a system play i will bet on it.
    philly/char 85-100
    houston/minn 103-82
    nets/bucks 82-111

    If atlanta is favored by 8, i will play it if the system said they will win by 15. so 7 extra points
    I am still working on this system, theirs a lot more work to be done. I hope to get 66% on a weekly basis

    anyways 5-5 today
    24-17 total

  23. #23
    TGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by chris440 View Post

    I am still working on this system, theirs a lot more work to be done. I hope to get 66% on a weekly basis
    I'm curious where you come up with this 66% number? The best handicappers in the world are thrilled to get 55-57%.

    66% is a great benchmark, but it's unrealistic and unsustainable over time in my opinion.

    Why? Here's one reason: a series of losses does more to bring you down than a series of wins does to push your percentages up.

    Let's say you're at 33-17, 66%. Now you lose five in a row, which puts you at 60%. Now let's say you win five in a row. You go back up to 63%. The trend toward equilibrium is down.

    It's like the old stock market adage. If you buy a stock at $100 and it falls to $50, you've lost 50%. But in order to get even the stock has to appreciate 100%.

    That being said, I hope you are able to achieve your goals.
    Last edited by TGoat; 11-19-09 at 08:54 AM.

  24. #24
    chris440
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    Thanks for info Tgoat

    Todays picks
    suns -8
    lakers -9.5

  25. #25
    chris440
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    no time to get in bets yesterday.
    currently 25-18

    todays picks
    philly +10.5
    atlanta -4.5
    bucks +3.5
    wizards +7.5

  26. #26
    alittlemoresound
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    nice man im on to this system...

    PHIL ATL MIL SAC WASH DEN UTAH PORT

    in an 8 team TEASER

    i bought a $5 ticket in a small time casino in the big LV

    lets cash baby!

  27. #27
    chris440
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    2-2 again yesterday.
    27-20 total now
    late picks today
    hornets +10
    suns -10

  28. #28
    DuncHen22
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    nice work yesterday

  29. #29
    KiDBaZkiT
    September 2021 POTM
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    Someone else tryin to crack a system.

  30. #30
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    Quote Originally Posted by KiDBaZkiT View Post
    Someone else tryin to crack a system.
    doing well so far, be good to see it continue throughout the season


  31. #31
    chris440
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    ok 29-20 right now
    no time for bets yesterday
    today i have
    golden state +13
    thunder +8
    toronto -5

  32. #32
    Jerm3462
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    Quote Originally Posted by chris440 View Post
    ok 29-20 right now
    no time for bets yesterday
    today i have
    golden state +13
    thunder +8
    toronto -5
    NICE JOB, 3 for 3 Tuesday Night.
    Look foward to your picks on Wednesday.

  33. #33
    chris440
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jerm3462 View Post
    NICE JOB, 3 for 3 Tuesday Night. Look foward to your picks on Wednesday.
    Thanks bro, I will hopefully have picks before gametime. been real busy lately

  34. #34
    chris440
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    32-20
    have 1 pick today
    atl -3.5

  35. #35
    whatsgood5
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    Wow, very impressive system whatever it is. I'll tail ya on the Hawks tonight, GL

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