[mattyg93]

Not sure what the Knicks are doing this year. Need some more shots being put up in the 4th in the spurs game.

[Ralphalph]

Omgosh!!! This is it...if Sacramento Wins by 3pts then I collect $1,000. If they lose by no less than 5pts, then I collect $500. Go Kings!!!!!

[Ralphalph]

Niceee!! Got it! I made about $600 for the whole day

[mattyg93]

Overall Record: 20-15
ytd: +3.26u

Live betting hurts me as normal.

congrats ralph

[Ralphalph]

Sorry Matty. Live betting does suck sometimes. You did good today with Houston and Heat win.

I'm actually kinda lazy to write up the whole analysis. Here are my basic thoughts. The picks in bold stick out to me the most. I need to sit and think about the rest of the picks for a while.

Boston and Jazz Over 184.5 looks great tomorrow. I think we now know the capability of this Jazz team. I think both teams will pick up the pace to each get their badly needed win.
Indiana -2.5 I don't like this game much. Bulls are fickle and there is some rivalry here that can easily sway one way...Rose could finally have his real debut. However, If I had to choose, i'd go with Pacers because Bulls are taking their sweet time finding their identity with Rose as their #1 man.
Toronto -2.5 Toronto is going to roll Charlotte. Toronto has the determination to win, unlike the knicks. I expect Toronto to win by at least 10pts.
Pelicans +7.5 SOLID! Pelicans aren't THAT bad...They can keep up with Memphis. I wouldn't be surprised if Pelicans take them straight up.
Golden State +1 Golden state is just a better team than Minnesota. Playin and simple. There is a slight caution in that Minnesota can tear this game out of Golden State's hands if their not careful.
Wizards -2 & Wizards and Sixers Under 206 Revenge ball! Sixers take game 1 and then Wizards take game 2!
Clippers and Orlando Under 208.5 Way too many points. Clippers will play good defense finally.

[mattyg93]

1x Cavs -1.5 @-110
1x Celtics under 185 @-105
1x Bulls over 182 @-115
1x Mavs over 211 @-105
1x Wizards -2.5 @-110
Teaser: 1x Suns +21 Jazz +12 Magic +15 @-110


Will most likely be adding a Wizards play when I get my line.

[Ralphalph]

Good idea with the teaser Matty

So far I put money on:
Teaser: Phoenix +21, Wizards +5.5, and Toronto +5.5

Toronto -2.5

And Sixers team only under 101.5

[mattyg93]

Those look pretty solid. I really like the wizards line tonight. Just added them

[Ralphalph]

Matty are you strict on playing NBA? I like to play everything. Tennis, Hockey, NBA, NCAA, NFL, MLB...you name it.

I think Ball State -21 is a super solid. Think about it.

[mattyg93]

NBA is the only sport I follow religiously. I bet on the NFL also. Up 10u this year but wouldn't trust myself with the picks.

[Ralphalph]

Matty...Why do you think the Boston and Jazz are going Under 185? I'm strongly feel the contrary. Not only that but I think the best bet of the day is Utah Over 90.5...I'm 60% sure Jazz is gonna win this matchup outright.

I was planning to bet Jazz team only Over big time. What are your thoughts?

[mattyg93]

Both teams play extremely slow and score at terrible rates. I think both teams are pretty desperate for a win and defense will be played extremely tight. I like the under here. Don't have time for much more of a write up. In my once a week night class. Hopefully I don't jump out the window before it ends.

[Ralphalph]

loL! I hope you don't jump out the window either, but I put $345 on Jazz at 90.5 on the over.

GL!

[mattyg93]

weird first half right there in the Celts game. At this point the Jazz should not get to 90 sorry to say unless the Celtics just stop playing defense. Would like to see the Jazz play some better d though and cover on my teaser
Desperate for more fast break chances in bulls game. I expect slow pace but I thought Rose and George would like to run a little.

[Ralphalph]

I figured that Jazz may not get the over 90.5, so I hedged the bet to put 330 on Boston to score over 45.5pts. If I lose both, I lose $675. If I win the boston bet, then I obviously break even...but if I win...I collect about $1,200. We'll see.

[Ralphalph]

Desperate for more fast break chances in bulls game. I expect slow pace but I thought Rose and George would like to run a little.

I hope you get it...but both teams SUPER powers when it comes to defense. Don't think it'll happen :0(

[Ralphalph]

Hey...I think this Jazz over 90.5 might work still I just need 12pts from boston to win that half time bet.

[mattyg93]

I speak too soon

[Ralphalph]

Friggen' Sixers score last minute bucket...just for kicks. Even when they knowing they are gonna lose by some double digit figure...and I lose my under bet by a point

[Ralphalph]

omgosh, please shoot me if I lose both bets in the Jazz game. This game sucks. It's so slow and sloppy. Almost like they don't care. Yuck.

[Ralphalph]

lol wow....crazy game! Good job. Just got it under a point!

[mattyg93]

[Ralphalph]

I put $400 on Phoenix to lose by no more than 9.5pts in the second half.

[mattyg93]

Should be fine. Gotta hope Suns don't cool off. Not watching that game though.

[Ralphalph]

Yes!! Bet Online can suck it!!!!! I'm up $500 for the day. I put another $175 on Dallas +2.5 for the second half.

I think that's 4 days in a row now that i've won. I deposited $200 on Friday night and I've turned into $3,000.

[Ralphalph]

Damn it. Lost $175 that Dallas bet.

Tomorrow's menu is really small. All I really like is Denver -3...Atlanta is trash. Their strength of schedule has been so weak and they have just eeked out each win. I think Denver is gonna come out guns loaded and with some grit. To top it off they got home crowd. Annnd that is a good recipe for a big bet.

Or I'm also considering a teaser: Houston -5.5, Heat +3.5, and Denver +5.

What do you think?

[mattyg93]

Will respond later.

Overall Record: 23-18
ytd: +3.12u

[imarkp]

Yes!! Bet Online can suck it!!!!! I'm up $500 for the day. I put another $175 on Dallas +2.5 for the second half.

I think that's 4 days in a row now that i've won. I deposited $200 on Friday night and I've turned into $3,000.

heck of a run. might want to consider unit betting if you want to do this for awhile. discipline and money management are key. the rush of a good run feels good. speaking from experience, be careful of feeling invincible and with teasers. especially the ones where you're crossing 0. 2 and 7 are considered key numbers in bb. not as significant as 3 and 7 in football. nba can be fickle. gl

[Ralphalph]

Thanks for the heads up Mark...I'm sure you do know a thing or two about making a good run and believe me, i've had better runs than this. I think i'm at a point where i've been in the biz long enough to know myself and to know how not to piss it ALL away. I've done it plenty times before and I still see it from others all the time... I agree discipline is a major key to betting, but I can't do unit betting. That's too slow for me...I think it works best for NHL and MLB, but i'm not down NFL and NBA. It's just another theory and way to organize your ideas if you don't possess that already.

But stick around mark, and I'll give you some really good picks to make you a winner

These look really good:

Heat and Clippers Under. Still sitting on this one.
Houston Team only over 115.5. Still sitting on this one also.
Atlanta and Denver on the Over at 203.5. I took this one for now.

[Ralphalph]

I got it right here...Pick of the day! Very unusual pick for an unusual game: Dwight Howard over 18pts -140...High price but it's a sure thing.

GL!

[mattyg93]

Damn thats some big juice ralph

1x Hawks under 203 @-105
1x Heat under 208 @-110
1x 2nd half lakers over 108 @-120
1x 2nd half lakers +12 @-110

All the plays for today. Don't like that teaser at all also. Could see Miami game or Denver game not going in any direction tonight. Sorry for posting so late

[imarkp]

k ralph, usually keep those thoughts to myself, for some reason thought you were relatively new to this. we're all big boys and have our own styles. if its not broken no need to fix it... like howard bet but not available to me. like mia -5.5. think its time for heat to start hitting their stride. bosh back in line up after wife having baby. clips 0-5 ats last 5 gms in mia. not that big of trend guy but sounds good lol. enjoy reading your posts. gl again

[Ralphalph]

Thanks for giving me the benefit of the doubt Mark. I think it's important as a to "Know thyself" in order to maintain that discipline, and it's especially important to know what happens to yourself before it all comes crashing down. Been there and done that. I think and I am programmed a bit differently after those harsh defeats.

All in all, I guess you might say I play with units more or less. My average bet is about $110. Usually however, when i'm up, I risk more. At the end of the day, if I lose "big", i've just broke even for the day. Not so bad, aint it?

Miami -6...I dunno Mark. They obviously can do it, no doubt. Clippers were exposed yesterday by Orlando. But I wouldn't count the clippers out on this one. Clippers tonight could be bullish over last night's upset. If I had to pick, I would pick Miami. But again, the thing that gets me is the certainty on this bet. How certain are you that Miami will hit their stride tonight? To me, this bet feels like a "gamble"...To be honest, I might bet it anyway, just for kicks... I'm guessing first half will be relatively high scoring. I think the wisest bet is the Under on the second half. GOOD LUCK!

[imarkp]

yeah, clips last night were probably looking ahead to tonight's game. when heat bear down they're tough. they obviously took philly lightly. home crowd, national tv, lac team they know is coming to play hard. kind of game that should bring out their best. better team wins. hopefully by at least 6. more of a feeling than any capping.

[Ralphalph]

I took Heat -3 for first half for $90