Originally Posted by
twincities77
Hello again looks like I'm treading into dangerous ground with all road teams today,
ATS
NO +7.5 - Same as usual here, value play betting against the public Lakers. The line appears about 2.5 to 3 points too high. Also, the Lakers still have no Bynum or Gasol.
GS -3.5 - Sacramento coming off a back to back (and a surprising win); they're still without their leading scorer. Golden State is better than their record indicates and coming off of an embarrassing loss to the Clippers. Like the zigzag action here.
ML
Pho (I'm going to wait and fade the line movement to see if I can get a better price) - this is an odd game. All the numbers I use (and I mean literally all of them) have Phoenix winning this by at least 2 points, with the average being Pho -3.5 (this generallly never happens for me). Usually I would expect a Pho -5 type line to start here, then sharps pounding Was down. However, the line opened fairly sharp at Pho -2 and is now getting hit towards Washington, who's still without Arenas and now Mike Miller. Zigzag goes against Phoenix here, and they're likely the more high profile team, I just can't figure out this line. Thoughts welcome here before I lay the bet.
O/U
Pho/Was: U216
GS/Sac: U215.5