1. #1
    LT Profits
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    Basketball Parlay of the Day - Monday, 2/12/07

    Post your 2 best basketball plays each day, NBA and CBB full-game Sides & Totals allowed only, no halves. Same game Side/Total parlays are ok.

    All parlays will be graded as 10.00 to win 26.00, and I will do the standings for the month of February at least.

    The Catch: You must have SOME ANALYSIS for each play. Only needs to be one sentence, no big deal, although full paragraphs are ok too. Plays submitted with no analysis will NOT COUNT toward standings.

  2. #2
    LT Profits
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    DETROIT PISTONS -9: The favorite is 8-2-1 in the last 11 games of this head-to-head series, and we look for Detroit to extend that streak vs. the road-weary Clippers here. This is the end of a seven-game road trip for the Clips, with all of those games coming within an 11-day span. They are averaging a measly 82.3 points over the last three games of this trip, and we expect them to get dominated tonight by a Piston defense that is allowing just 92.4 points per game here at home on 43.2 percent shooting.

    SANTA CLARA/GONZAGA OVER 135: This seems like a cheap total for a Gonzaga game, especially here at home where the Zags are averaging 81.3 points per game. In fact this is the third lowest posted total of ANY Gonzaga game this season, and the two others came vs. Washington State and Butler, two methodical offenses. Santa Clara is not quite in that category, and the Broncos have been unable to slow Gonzaga down in the past, as the OVER is 7-1 in the last eight head-to-head meetings between these clubs.

  3. #3
    Razz
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    Texas -6.5
    Hmm, do I take the team dressing eight players with a walk on getting significant minutes that has played six overtimes in the past month - including two OTs on Saturday at home against a TT team that giftwrapped the win - and hasn't won a road game all season, losing by 30, 18, 12, and 7 (the last two of which were against teams inferior to Texas) in conference, or do I take the home team with game changers Augustin and Durant playing with revenge from a triple OT loss in Stillwater last month? I'll go with the latter.

    Santa Clara @ Gonzaga Under 135.5
    Let's talk about the Zags, and how important the loss of Heytfelt was. They have three players who can't create their own shot and relied on the inside-outside game to hit uncontested jumpers. Their starting big men are Sean Mallon - a guy with all the athleticism of Mo Vaughn - and Abdullahi Kuso, who started his first game against St. Mary's and finished with the improbable stat line of 4 points and 1 rebound. There's Pendergraft, who has no discernible offensive skills. They also have a French guy with four names who has been nonexistant offensively this season, and Jenero Pargo's little brother, who is the only player on the team that can create his own shot.
    Free throws and a layup at the death allowed the Zags to score 60 against St. Mary's on Saturday. Now, in comes a Santa Clara team that is much better defensively, and has always tried to slow the game with Gonzaga down. This time, Few obliges that tempo because he doesn't have the athletes to force a run n' gun game. Instead, he is stressing defensive intensity and patient offensive execution to his team.

  4. #4
    Willie Bee
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    Heads up everyone; two excellent fade ops are here!

    Oklahoma State at Texas Under 150½
    Both teams burn me quite often, so this should be a great fade for everyone Just think their triple-overtime matchup a few weeks ago has this total inflated.

    West Virginia at Georgetown Over 125
    Hoyas have been playing very well, can easily see them scoring 70+.

    Am very tempted to take both road teams as nice dogs, but I'm too chicken

  5. #5
    babaoriley
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    I'll roll with an easy to explain game involving my alma mater, the Texas Longhorns:

    TX -6.5 and the Under of 150.5
    - Yes, the total is inflated from that triple OT game (barely). Yes, this is a revenge game. Yes, OSU can't win on the road, can't even approach getting a cover on the road. Yes, TX is playing with an even larger chip on their shoulder due to recent losses to A&M and K.St. Yes, Oklahoma St. may have stolen the trophy for "most overrated team in the nation right now". So where does this leave us?

    Well, we have an Ok. St. team that is average in conference play, and in all honesty, should have a losing record in conference play. Their last road win was 2 months ago (December 9th). I know this angle has been beaten to death by every gambling forum out there, but it bears mentioning. Losing by 7 at rival Oklahoma isn't embarrassing, but losing by 12 to 6-14, dead last in the big XII, Colorado is. FADE, FADE, FADE. And given the revenge factor coupled with the need to stay in the Big XII top-tier, I do think UT's D tightens up more than usual.

    Prediction: TX wins 77-64

  6. #6
    cadillacb
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    College of Charleston pk- Cougs play this one with 81-73 revenge from earlier this year, and Wildcats have 2 game lead over Cougars in conference. Ray Charles could see who comes motivated here.

    The Citadel +1. Terriers are a dismal 0-6 on the conference road this year, and have already fallen to the bulldogs once. Look for more of the same here.

  7. #7
    dave11486
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    Georgetown -9
    Georgetown is looking so good right now. They are considerably better than they were to start the season. And, I love WVU's coming off a big win against UCLA. This should be an easy win for the Hoyas.

    Tennessee State +10
    This is a great spot for the Tigers. Basically I see their loss to Austin Peay the first time around at home as not that bad. I like tailing a few of the good cappers on here as well.


  8. #8
    LT Profits
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    Code:
    STANDINGS 
    Name            W       L       W/P     Units
    DoctorJ    	3	2	0	58
    babaoriley 	2	0	0	52
    Jay Edgar	3	3	0	48
    Hemlock21	2	1	0	42
    EaglesPhan36	3	4	0	38
    Dave11486	2	2	0	32
    cadillacb	3	5	0	28
    mapletree 	1	0	0	26
    LT Profits	4	8	0	24
    Hulu        	2	3	0	22
    Razz    	3	6	0	18
    Dbldown11	1	3	0	-4
    Dark Horse	0	1	0	-10
    DarkProdigy	0	1	0	-10
    imastud2  	0	1	0	-10
    Peyton2Marvin	0	1	0	-10
    Tchocky  	0	1	0	-10
    freeneasy	0	2	0	-20
    img94      	0	2	0	-20
    Pegasus 	0	2	0	-20
    durito      	1	5	0	-24
    rjt721      	0	3	0	-30
    Willie Bee 	0	3	0	-30
    
    
    GAME-BY-GAME 
    Name            W       L       P        Pct
    babaoriley 	4	0	0	100.0%
    mapletree 	2	0	0	100.0%
    Hemlock21	5	1	0	83.3%
    DoctorJ    	8	2	0	80.0%
    Hulu        	7	3	0	70.0%
    EaglesPhan36	9	4	1	69.2%
    Dave11486	5	3	0	62.5%
    Dbldown11	5	3	0	62.5%
    Jay Edgar	7	5	0	58.3%
    cadillacb	9	7	0	56.3%
    Razz    	10	8	0	55.6%
    LT Profits	12	10	2	54.5%
    durito      	6	5	3	54.5%
    Willie Bee 	3	3	0	50.0%
    img94      	2	2	0	50.0%
    Dark Horse	1	1	0	50.0%
    DarkProdigy	1	1	0	50.0%
    imastud2  	1	1	0	50.0%
    Tchocky  	1	1	0	50.0%
    rjt721      	2	4	0	33.3%
    freeneasy	1	3	0	25.0%
    Pegasus 	1	3	0	25.0%
    Peyton2Marvin	0	2	0	0.0%

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