1. #1
    LT Profits
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    Basketball Parlay of the Day - Saturday, 2/03/07

    Post your 2 best basketball plays each day, NBA and CBB full-game Sides & Totals allowed only, no halves. Same game Side/Total parlays are ok.

    All parlays will be graded as 10.00 to win 26.00, and I will do the standings for the month of February at least.

    The Catch: You must have SOME ANALYSIS for each play. Only needs to be one sentence, no big deal, although full paragraphs are ok too. Plays submitted with no analysis will NOT COUNT toward standings.

  2. #2
    imgv94
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    Wyoming/Air Force UNDER 130
    Wyoming is missing two key players and will likely not score more than 50 in here. With this being a complete blowout expect a slower than usual played game and second string to come in to keep the score down eventually..


    Stanford PK
    Stanford will not let Cal sweep them this season. Stanford might even be better on the road look at their SU and ATS records on the road and you will see. Cal's season is already over while Stanford still has something to play for. Love Stanford here as they avoid the sweep and the Lopez brothers take advantage of Cal.

  3. #3
    dave11486
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    South Florida +5.5
    Funny to me that this Irish team wins one game on the road and people are already back on them. This squad got lucky at Syracuse, but they are still playing pretty awful. Plus I get 5 and a half, so that'll do.

    Central Michigan +5
    Haha the Bobcats suck on the road and they are still giving up 5. They also struggle to win by comfortable margins. I like my chances with a bad team against an awful road team getting 5.


  4. #4
    Razz
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    I thought about giving you another OVC parlay, but I don't trust JSU enough to combine them with Tennessee State. I thought I'd go with two other home dogs that I expect to win outright.

    Michigan State +1.5
    I'm really surprised Michigan State hasn't yet moved to being the favorite in this game. I really believe they will be shortly, but that's beside the point. The Spartans just played Ohio State very competitively, totally dominating the second half, and that tells me Izzo found something against them. Izzo has done one of his best coaching jobs in years, and I think he continues it with a win today. The Spartans have won 25 of 26 conference home games off a loss - and here they are in one of my favorite situations, a good team that went on the road and lost consecutive games. Coming home, I expect a focused effort and an impressive victory.

    Iowa +2.5
    I actually got 3 here, but I don't think it will matter. Win or lose, this is one of the worst lines the oddsmakers have posted since the start of conference play. For me, it is completely inexcusable that Indiana is favored in this game. This is another strong situational play. Both teams are off impressive wins, but only the road favorite's win is nationally recognized while the home dog's win is equally impressive (actually more impressive to me, since I expected Indiana to beat Wisconsin, while Iowa's win over Michigan came as quite a surprise), thus the soft line. Indiana has not proven to be a very capable road team, as looking back the win at UCONN is not impressive, and there's always this going for us ...

    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/basketball...incidence.html

    Good luck everyone.

  5. #5
    Jay Edgar
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    For fun I'll do NBA totals (which I am not very good at)

    under 193 @ DAL Whether they stay competitive or not, struggling Wolves should score below par in BxB. Can see either a 104-80 blowout or a 93-91 nailbiter.

    under 213.5 @ CHA Two BxB teams, with Bobbers injury-ravaged. Number inflated due to their 131-105 meeting last week in which GS shot 56% overall and made 59% of their 3s.
    Last edited by Jay Edgar; 02-03-07 at 10:24 AM.

  6. #6
    Hulu
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    GSW/CHA u214 This total is just a bit too high for me. I think Charlotte is not in good enough shape to score a lot of points in this one.

    New Orleans +10 Too many points to give Houston, even at home.

    Good luck everybody!

  7. #7
    LT Profits
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    CENTRAL MICHIGAN +5: Ohio has the obvious talent advantage here, but it has been like two different teams home and away, going 1-6 on the road as opposed to 9-0 at home. The Bobcats are getting outscored in those road affairs by an average of -5.6 points, a variance of more than 10 points from this line. The Chippewas may not be much, but they are a half-decent 4-5 SU in their last nine game and they may be in position to extract some revenge on a Bobcat team that has beaten them four straight times.

    SOUTH FLORIDA +5.5: The Bulls have been a pesky club at home this year, and we look for them to give 18-4 Notre Dame all that it can handle here. South Florida is 6-3 ATS in its lined home games thanks to a stingy defense that is allowing just 62.9 points per game on only 39.4 percent shooting here in this building. The Irish exploded for 61 first-half points on Monday, but we doubt they will be as successful from three-point land in consecutive road games. Also Notre Dame has been terrible defensively on the road this year, surrendering 82.5 points per game on a generous 49.8 percent shooting.

  8. #8
    Hemlock21
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    Towson St. +11 Why; 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road. G. Neal has simply been unstoppable in the CAA. Giving 11 is alot in my opinion.

    Ohio St. PK Why; Oden, Conely Jr and Cook will be too much for the Spartans plus they are 5-0 SU in its last 5 games. In a pick 'em I always pick the superior team.

  9. #9
    cadillacb
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    Auburn -1 Tigers are improving every week and with two out of the next three on the road and a .500 mark in SEC play, they NEED this one.

    South Carolina +11', Cocks coming off home loss to auburn, while tide had upset win at LSU. I believe the line is a little inflated here because of that. Also note that south carolina has won two of the last three and should have no fear as they won in starkville last week.

  10. #10
    EaglesPhan36
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    Ohio State - PICK
    I don't buy into the home hype in the Big 10. Quality teams can beat opponents on the road and while, Michigan State has been dominant (14-0) at home, they have not played anyone the likes of OSU at home. I also think playing the close game in Columbus will help OSU avoid the trap of not being "up" for this game.

    Appalachian St. -3.5
    App.State has been a surprise team all year and they've played well on the road, going 6-4 SU and 7-4 ATS. Furman is just 2-4 ATS at home and App.State won by 9 at home in the 1st match-up between these teams. App.State is a better shooting team and I think that will be the deciding factor in a close game.

  11. #11
    dave11486
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits
    CENTRAL MICHIGAN +5: Ohio has the obvious talent advantage here, but it has been like two different teams home and away, going 1-6 on the road as opposed to 9-0 at home. The Bobcats are getting outscored in those road affairs by an average of -5.6 points, a variance of more than 10 points from this line. The Chippewas may not be much, but they are a half-decent 4-5 SU in their last nine game and they may be in position to extract some revenge on a Bobcat team that has beaten them four straight times.

    SOUTH FLORIDA +5.5: The Bulls have been a pesky club at home this year, and we look for them to give 18-4 Notre Dame all that it can handle here. South Florida is 6-3 ATS in its lined home games thanks to a stingy defense that is allowing just 62.9 points per game on only 39.4 percent shooting here in this building. The Irish exploded for 61 first-half points on Monday, but we doubt they will be as successful from three-point land in consecutive road games. Also Notre Dame has been terrible defensively on the road this year, surrendering 82.5 points per game on a generous 49.8 percent shooting.
    LT what the hell? Good luck with your parlay...I hope both win

  12. #12
    LT Profits
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    dave,

    HOLY CHIT! LOL

    I didn't even notice your plays before I posted that! Brilliant minds...

    GL2U

  13. #13
    durito
    escarabajo negro
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    Houston Rockets -9.5:

    Houston will be looking for revenge here after losing at New Orleans on November 5th. Chris Paul is in his third game back for NO, but they actually played much better when he was hurt. Yao is still out for Houston, but they've played just as well without him. With NO having played last night I favor Houston by 13.5pts in this game.

    Denver Nuggets +7:

    I lost on Denver last night and the Nuggets had to travel to Sacramento after an OT game last night. They will also be without Iverson again tonight. Denver has also not won in Sacramento for several years. However, I still cannot see how to justify a line of Sacramento by 7 here. Even in this situation, the home court advantage cannot be more than 5.5pts, and Denver is a better team than Sacramento. I think this line should be 4.5.

  14. #14
    freeneasy
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    wash st -7 to beat 0-9 az st at home by 12
    loy md +8 marist to win by 3 and loy. is a 5-0 rd dog
    Last edited by freeneasy; 02-03-07 at 06:05 PM.

  15. #15
    MBENZ
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    Quote Originally Posted by freeneasy
    wash st -7
    loy md +8
    Hint,give an explanation or it don't count.Only telling you that because between your towson pick and loyola pick,me thinks you might be a fello marylander,if not you still gotta say why.

  16. #16
    LT Profits
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    It's ok MBENZ. If you read between the lines, he is fading Arizona State because they are 0-9 in conference, and he is playing Loyola because they are 5-0 ATS as a road dog.

  17. #17
    Razz
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    Nice job gentlemen.

  18. #18
    imgv94
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    Quote Originally Posted by imgv94
    Wyoming/Air Force UNDER 130
    Wyoming is missing two key players and will likely not score more than 50 in here. With this being a complete blowout expect a slower than usual played game and second string to come in to keep the score down eventually..


    Stanford PK
    Stanford will not let Cal sweep them this season. Stanford might even be better on the road look at their SU and ATS records on the road and you will see. Cal's season is already over while Stanford still has something to play for. Love Stanford here as they avoid the sweep and the Lopez brothers take advantage of Cal.

    Even though I had 2 units on each I bet a $20 Parlay on this just for the hell of it..

    Can't believe this didn't win.. 1 fvckin point

  19. #19
    LT Profits
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    Code:
    STANDINGS 
    Name            W       L       W/P     Units
    Dave11486	1	0	0	26
    Hemlock21	1	0	0	26
    Jay Edgar	1	0	0	26
    Razz       	1	1	0	16
    Hulu        	1	1	0	16
    LT Profits	1	2	0	6
    cadillacb	0	1	0	-10
    img94      	0	1	0	-10
    DarkProdigy	0	1	0	-10
    durito      	0	2	0	-20
    EaglesPhan36	0	2	0	-20
    freeneasy	0	2	0	-20
    
    
    
    
    
    GAME-BY-GAME 
    Name            W       L       P        Pct
    Dave11486	2	0	0	100.0%
    Hemlock21	2	0	0	100.0%
    Jay Edgar	2	0	0	100.0%
    Razz       	3	1	0	75.0%
    Hulu        	3	1	0	75.0%
    LT Profits	4	2	0	66.7%
    EaglesPhan36	2	2	0	50.0%
    DarkProdigy	1	1	0	50.0%
    cadillacb	1	1	0	50.0%
    img94      	1	1	0	50.0%
    durito      	1	2	1	33.3%
    freeneasy	1	3	0	25.0%
    Last edited by LT Profits; 02-04-07 at 04:17 AM.

  20. #20
    imgv94
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    Thanks for doing this LT...

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