[Jay Edgar]

Will we see LeBron Thursday?

I haven't read anything, but it wouldn't surprise me if he's on the "rest-the-toe-except-for-national-TV-games" plan.

Or the more conservative version of that, which is the "rest-the-toe-except-for-ABC-games and-TNT-games-at-the-Super-Bowl-site-during-Super-Bowl-week" plan.

=============================
MONEYLINE PLAYS (betting 1u on dogs; betting to win 1u on favorites)
Wednesday, 5-6, +2.31u
(WAS, ATL, MIL, NJ, BOS, PHI, MEM, SEA, SAC, UTH, POR)
YTD 182-312, +63.12u

SAME TEAMS ATS (1.05u to win 1.00u)
Wednesday, 6-4-1, +1.80u
YTD 270-217 (.554), +42.15u

POWER RANKINGS OVER LAST TEN GAMES
1 PHX 64
2 HOU 63
3 DAL 62
4 DET 62
5 CHI 58
6 MIA 56
7 IND 56
8 LAC 55
9 WAS 54
10 UTH 54
11 SAN 54
12 NJ 54
13 NOK 51
14 SAC 50
15 CHA 49
16 TOR 49
17 NY 49
18 MIN 49
19 DEN 47
20 PHI 47
21 POR 47
22 LAX 47
23 ATL 46
24 CLE 44
25 MEM 44
26 SEA 42
27 GS 42
28 ORL 42
29 MIL 33
30 BOS 33

EDGAR LINES FOR 02.01.07
(favorite-spread/moneyline-dog)

MIA 6.4/242 over CLE
PHX 6.8/258 over SAN


STRIKE PRICES (5%-OFF MARKER)
(At this moneyline or better, team is a play both SU and ATS under 5%-ML-OFF method.)

CLE +299, MIA -199
SAN +322, PHX -211


20%-OFF MARKER
(This moneyline is now 20% away from Edgar ML. Results this far out have been subpar.)

CLE +855, MIA -108
SAN +998, PHX -114

[bigboydan]

I haven't heard anything on Lebron as of yet either Jay. I'll see what I can find out, and post it here for you though if I do though.

[Jay Edgar]

Numbers complete for Thursday's mini-card.

Also, here is the report for the calendar month of January.
(It's pretty good.)

GL


================================
RESULTS FOR MONTH OF JANUARY

MONEYLINE PLAYS

5%-19% OFF
51-80, +25.94u

20%+ OFF
13-37, -0.57u

ALL PLAYS
64-117, +25.42u


POINTSPREAD PLAYS

5%-19% OFF
80-48 (.625) +29.60u

20%+ OFF
23-26 (.469) -4.30u

ALL PLAYS
103-74 (.582) +25.30u


A great month.

I'd be surprised (pleasantly!!) if the method kept up that kind of pace.

New in January:
ATS plays did as well as ML plays

Continuing in January:
The 20%+ plays struggled some more.

==============================

[bigboydan]

I think that spread pace will keep up till for a little bit longer. However you just always have to be cautious after the all-star break hits, because things seem to change for some reason.

[Jay Edgar]

BBD, without looking it up (because I am tired) . . .

I think we'd find that home teams had a very good month in January. As the season grinds teams down home court really means a lot, I think. There are more letdown games, and the huge majority of letdowns are by the road team.

My method puts you on the home team a lot of the time. Based on what's actually happened in the NBA over the last several years, the method gives major credit to home court. More credit than the public and linemakers seem to want to give.

[bigboydan]

I hope you keep up this pace in February Jay.

[onlooker]

That was one hell of a January Jay. I hope February is just as hot for you.

[onlooker]

Looks like a day off for this. The two games don't qualify tonight. Good luck tomorrow.

[trustbutverify]

interested to see how road selections will end up after the seasons over.