MONEYLINE PLAYS (betting 1u on dogs; betting to win 1u on favorites)
Tuesday, 1-2, -1.00u
(BOS, NY, SEA) YTD 177-306, +60.81u
SAME TEAMS ATS (1.05u to win 1.00u)
Tuesday, 2-1, +0.95u YTD 264-213 (.553), +40.35u
POWER RATINGS OVER LAST TEN GAMES
1 DAL 65
2 HOU 64
3 PHX 64
4 CHI 60
5 NJ 59
6 NOK 57
7 MIA 56
8 DET 56
9 IND 56
10 WAS 55
11 SAN 55
12 NY 53
13 UTH 52
14 LAC 50
15 DEN 50
16 SAC 50
17 MIN 50
18 TOR 49
19 GS 46
20 LAX 44
21 POR 44
22 CLE 44
23 CHA 44
24 PHI 42
25 ATL 42
26 SEA 41
27 MEM 41
28 ORL 39
29 MIL 38
30 BOS 35
EDGAR LINES FOR 01.31.07
(favorite-spread/moneyline-dog)
TOR 3.3/142 over WAS
ATL 5.1/180 over GS
ORL 4.6/169 over MIL
CHA 4.6/169 over NY
NJ 6.2/230 over DET
BOS 0.6/105 over LAX
NOK 5.5/189 over PHI
MEM 1.7/116 over DAL
HOU 7.3/285 over SEA
MIN 3.5/145 over SAC
UTH 3.3/141 over SAN
POR 3.2/141 over DEN
LAC 3.5/144 over CHI
STRIKE PRICES (5%-OFF MARKER)
(At this moneyline or better, team is a play both SU and ATS under 5%-ML-OFF method.)
WAS +170, TOR -120
GS +217, ATL -150
MIL +203, ORL -142
NY +203, CHA -142
DET +283, NJ -190
LAX +124, BOS +113
PHI +229, NOK -158
DAL +137, MEM +102
SEA +359, HOU -231
SAC +174, MIN -123
SA +169, UTH -119
DEN +168, POR -119
CHI +171, LAC -121
20%-OFF MARKER
(This moneyline is now 20% away from Edgar ML. Results this far out have been subpar.)
Get ready for some line-movement fireworks in the PHI-NOK game:
===
Chris Paul still had a head of hair at this morning's shootaround, which could say everything about his status for tonight's game against the Sixers or could say nothing at all.
Paul is letting his hair grow until he returns to the lineup. He still has plenty of time to get a haircut before tonight's game. A few games ago Tyson Chandler was getting a haircut inside the Ford Center about an hour before the game.
It's no telling whether Paul plays tonight. After talking to the folks at shootaround this morning I left feeling that there's a 51 percent chance that he will play and 49 percent chance of him sitting out.
Instead of just committing to a decision, everybody involved is taking a wait-and-see approach. Chris says he doesn't know. Byron Scott says he would prefer for him to have one more practice but "isn't ruling him in or out" of tonight's game. Chandler said he doesn't think he'll play because he's only had one practice. Team trainer Terry Kofler wouldn't say anything.
Before the shootaround began this morning, Paul said he didn't feel any pain in his right ankle, which he sprained over a month ago. He said after returning to practice Tuesday that he doesn't have any soreness in the foot a day later and feels good.
"I still don't know. It'll be probably 7 o'clock before I know if I can play," Paul said. "This won't be only my decision. It will be my decision, coach and the trainers."
Scott, however, says the final decision rests with Paul.
"If he says tonight that I'm ready to go, then it just (depends on) his tone of voice," Scott said. "Basically it comes down to, do I really believe him? Last year when he got hurt, he said (he was ready to come back) with such conviction that I knew he was ready. He has to convince me that way. Yesterday and this morning he said he feels good. But it wasn't as convincing as it was last year.
"But obviously the final choice is his. I've already stated what I would like to do as far as getting one more practice in. I don't think that's going to hurt him at all. I think it's just going to help him. I know how competitive he is. I know how much he wants to play. But sometimes you got to sit back and kind of let nature take it's course."
GAP TEAM ATS ML
6 SAC WIN 178
6 WAS LOSS -100
6 PHI WIN 243
10 SEA PUSH -100
11 ATL WIN 100
16 POR WIN 130
16 MIL LOSS -100
19 NJ LOSS -107
24 BOS LOSS -100
25 UTH WIN 187
26 MEM WIN -100
==========================
MONEYLINE PLAYS (betting 1u on dogs; betting to win 1u on favorites)
Wednesday, 5-6, +2.31u
(WAS, ATL, MIL, NJ, BOS, PHI, MEM, SEA, SAC, UTH, POR) YTD 182-312, +63.12u
SAME TEAMS ATS (1.05u to win 1.00u)
Wednesday, 6-4-1, +1.80u YTD 270-217 (.554), +42.15u
================================ RESULTS FOR MONTH OF JANUARY
MONEYLINE PLAYS
5%-19% OFF
51-80, +25.94u
20%+ OFF
13-37, -0.57u
ALL PLAYS
64-117, +25.42u
POINTSPREAD PLAYS
5%-19% OFF
80-48 (.625) +29.60u
20%+ OFF
23-26 (.469) -4.30u
ALL PLAYS
103-74 (.582) +25.30u
A great month.
I'd be surprised (pleasantly!!) if the method kept up that kind of pace.
New in January:
ATS plays did as well as ML plays
Continuing in January:
The 20%+ plays struggled some more.