1. #1
    Jay Edgar
    Jay Edgar's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-08-06
    Posts: 1,576

    Jay Edgar NBA, Wednesday 01.24.07

    Beaten like a drum by the Mavs and Suns -- again.
    And then by everyone else for the hell of it,

    MONEYLINE PLAYS (at 1* each)
    Tuesday, 0-6, -6.00u
    (WAS, ORL, NOK, ATL, MIL, SEA)
    YTD 158-283, +28.06u

    SAME TEAMS ATS (at 1* each)
    Tuesday, 1-5, -4.25u
    YTD 235-200 (.540), +22.95u


    POWER RATINGS OVER LAST TEN GAMES
    1 DAL 72
    2 PHX 70
    3 NJ 62
    4 DEN 58
    5 SAN 58
    6 UTH 57
    7 MIA 57
    8 HOU 55
    9 CHI 54
    10 NY 53
    11 IND 52
    12 WAS 51
    13 TOR 51
    14 SEA 51
    15 NOK 51
    16 DET 50
    17 CHA 50
    18 LAX 50
    19 ORL 49
    20 LAC 49
    21 SAC 49
    22 CLE 44
    23 POR 44
    24 GS 40
    25 PHI 39
    26 MIN 39
    27 BOS 39
    28 ATL 37
    29 MIL 37
    30 MEM 35


    EDGAR LINES FOR 01.24.07
    (favorite-spread/moneyline-dog)

    CHA 2.8/134 over DET

    CLE 5.7/200 over PHI

    IND 3.7/150 over MIA

    TOR 5.0/179 over NOK

    BOS 3.7/152 over ATL

    NY 2.8/133 over PHX

    UTH 7.7/316 over MEM

    SAN 4.0/161 over HOU

    SAC 7.2/281 over MIL

    POR 2.8/134 over MIN

    GS 1.9/119 over NJ


    STRIKE PRICES (5%-OFF MARKER)
    (At this moneyline or better, team is a play both SU and ATS under 5%-ML-OFF method.)

    DET +159, CHA -113

    PHI +243, CLE -166

    MIA +180, IND -127

    NOK +216, TOR -150

    ATL +182, BOS -128

    PHX +159, NY -113

    MEM +405, UTH -254

    HOU +193, SAN -135

    MIL +359, SAC -228

    MIN +159, POR -113

    NJ +141, GS +100

    20%-OFF MARKER
    (This moneyline is now 20% away from Edgar ML. Results this far out have been subpar.)

    DET +317, CHA +160

    PHI +588, CLE +109

    MIA +373, IND +142

    NOK +486, TOR +121

    ATL +380, BOS +141

    PHX +316, NY +161

    MEM +1818, UTH -134

    HOU +412, SAN +133

    MIL +1243, SAC -123

    MIN +316, POR +161

    NJ +271, GS +182
    Last edited by Jay Edgar; 01-25-07 at 04:08 PM.

  2. #2
    Jay Edgar
    Jay Edgar's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-08-06
    Posts: 1,576

    Pistons are -6 at Charlotte and the numbers say Charlotte.
    Remember though that CHA has beaten DET twice this year, including at Auburn Hills. If DET is still potent enough to smack somebody down on principle, Wednesday might be the night. We'll see.

  3. #3
    bigboydan
    bigboydan's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-10-05
    Posts: 55,425

    Looks like the Bucks/Sac game is gonna get me too Jay.

  4. #4
    Jay Edgar
    Jay Edgar's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-08-06
    Posts: 1,576

    Bucks need it to avoid an 0-fer on the road trip.

    They look completely lost, but this is a spot that road dogs seem to deliver in.

  5. #5
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Jay,

    I would normally agree, but all of the Milwaukee injuries are keeping me off this one, and I also think this is their 4th game in 5 nights.

  6. #6
    Jay Edgar
    Jay Edgar's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-08-06
    Posts: 1,576

    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits
    Jay,

    I would normally agree, but all of the Milwaukee injuries are keeping me off this one, and I also think this is their 4th game in 5 nights.
    It's an ugly duckling, that's for sure.
    But I've played worse.

  7. #7
    Jay Edgar
    Jay Edgar's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-08-06
    Posts: 1,576

    Quote Originally Posted by Jay Edgar
    I've played worse.
    For example --

    PHI +735

    MEM +760


  8. #8
    Jay Edgar
    Jay Edgar's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-08-06
    Posts: 1,576

    By way of recap, I'll try to stick something like this at the conclusion of the daily thread.

    Might as well start with a good one:

    GAP TEAM ATS ML
    11 MIL WIN -100
    11 POR WIN 113
    12 NJ WIN -100
    13 MEM WIN 760
    16 NOK WIN -100
    18 HOU WIN 370
    22 PHI WIN 735
    32 CHA LOSS -100
    38 NY WIN -100

Top