[rawzay]

Reasons:

1. Games 1 and 2 have gone under and game 3 would have gone under if it wasn't for Neal and Green's three point contest.
2. The spurs are keeping Dwade and Lebron out of the paint and making them take jumpshots.
3. Tony Parker is hobbled with a hamstring sprain
4. Gary Neal/Danny Green will not duplicate there game 3 performances.
5. The Heat will be motivated into playing better defense and closing out on shooters knowing this is basically an elimination game

The line has dropped from 187.5 to 186.5 which isn't a lot but it tells you that people think the game is going under

[snowkickz]

public picks:

heat spurs
ATS: 61% 39%
Total: O 63% U 37%
ML: 73% 27% (based on iodds)

since the heat are going to have to fight for their lives tonight this should be a pretty physical game and therefore rather low scoring imo.
in games like these i see more value in the total than putting up a pregame 50:50 bet on a team...so pregame under is gonna be my play.

ur reason 5 is gonna lead to reason 4 and fewer 3 pointers overall...
d should be written huge all over this one.
this is going to be a close one...so still be aware of ot.

lets see what the game brings and which ingame lines on both of them were gonna get.

[bigbuckthedon]

i like it

[TheMLBKing]

a teased over is more likely to hit than a teased under. that's all I'll say.

[colout]

I would not touch any Under, as long Scott Foster is the ref!

[kobstopa]

Last 12 hours, it had moved to 188.5

[snowkickz]

still cant see the over after reading all posts on sbr with pros and cons...anyway well be wiser in a few hours

[Rellik]

This game is going OVER.!!!!