[Jay Edgar]

MONEYLINE PLAYS (at 1* each)
Sunday 0-1, -1.00u
(TOR)
YTD 142-244, +39.46u

SAME TEAMS ATS (at 1* each)
Sunday, 1-0, +1.00u
YTD 205-176 (.538), +20.25u

POWER RATINGS OVER LAST TEN GAMES
1 PHX 73
2 HOU 67
3 DAL 65
4 ORL 65
5 CLE 64
6 SAN 61
7 CHI 58
8 NJ 58
9 MIN 58
10 TOR 56
11 NY 53
12 CHA 52
13 WAS 52
14 LAC 51
15 IND 51
16 LAX 51
17 MIL 49
18 MIA 48
19 SAC 46
20 UTH 46
21 PHI 46
22 DET 45
23 DEN 44
24 NOK 43
25 BOS 38
26 MEM 37
27 SEA 37
28 GS 35
29 ATL 30
30 POR 30

EDGAR LINES FOR 01.15.07
(favorite-spread/moneyline-dog)

WAS 5.7/201 over UTH

NY 6.1/218 over SAC

CHA 4.3/165 over MIL

ATL 1.7/114 over BOS

PHI 2.5/127 over TOR

CHI 4.6/169 over SAN

DET 0.4/103 over MIN

NJ 3.9/158 over IND

GS 2.8/132 over LAC

PHX 1.7/117 over MEM

LAX 5.8/202 over MIA

STRIKE PRICES (5%-OFF MARKER)
(at this moneyline or better, team is a play both SU and ATS under 5%-ML-OFF method)

UTH +245, WAS -167

SAC +267, NY -181

MIL +198, CHA -139

BOS +136, ATL +103

TOR +151, PHI -107

SAN +204, CHI -142

MIN +122, DET +114

IND +189, NJ -133

LAC +157, GS -112

PHX +101, MEM +139

MIA +246, LAX -168

20%-OFF MARKER
(this moneyline is now 20% away from Edgar ML. Results this far out have been subpar)

UTH +595, WAS +108

SAC +692, NY +101

MIL +429, CHA +130

BOS +259, ATL +189

TOR +296, PHI +169

SAN +445, CHI +127

MIN +229, DET +212

IND +400, NJ +136

LAC +313, GS +162

PHX +184, MEM +267

MIA +601, LAX +108

[bigboydan]

I'm just wondering how the early starts on Monday might effect some of these teams Jay.

[Jay Edgar]

I don't have data on past MLK results at hand, BBD, but I think it is well worth keeping in mind. Instinct would tell me that the teams with the worst coaches and the highest mail-in ratios will be worth steering clear from, especially if they are on the road.

[BigD]

If you look for the last couple years playing under on MLK day is a good bet. NBA players are accustom to playing at night last year I believe the under hit at 70% on MLK day. I will play a lot of first half under

[bigboydan]

Looking at that myself BigD.

I'm currently looking at the totals on the west coast teams traveling to the east coast. In fact, I'm currently trying to crunch the numbers on this Knicks/Kings game.

[Jay Edgar]

Granted it's a night game and not one of these MLK matinees, but the line in Memphis seems to overrate the extent to which the Griz are now a run-n-gun outfit.

According to Gasol, his team "has no idea what they're doing out there."

I think something more like PHX 114, MEM 90 is likely.

Griz hung up a 66-spot in CHI on Saturday.