1. #1
    nj1035
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    Spurs ML +260 tonight???? Wow....

    There is no reason in hell to take Miami based on the actual game and matchups. Makes me think there's a lot of money coming in on the "Joey Crawford" factor.

    I think I'll take the Spurs on value alone - I know they are going to bring it tonight. Only way they lose is if Miami brings it and the refs bring it.

  2. #2
    BlacK_HazE
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    Quote Originally Posted by nj1035 View Post
    There is no reason in hell to take Miami based on the actual game and matchups. Makes me think there's a lot of money coming in on the "Joey Crawford" factor.

    I think I'll take the Spurs on value alone - I know they are going to bring it tonight. Only way they lose is if Miami brings it and the refs bring it.
    I believe thats what everyone thought/felt going into game 7 after Miami got smoked game 6 by Indiana.. Dont bet emotionally and expect the game to playout exactly like game 1.. Heat at home, no way they drop them both, esp in sterns last year as commish with his boy Joe Crawford out there

  3. #3
    nj1035
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    I just think the Spurs have a better than 27% chance of winning. The refs can't take a 50% chance down to a 27% chance. So the only say there could be value on the Heat is if you actually think they are the better team, which I don't.

  4. #4
    hotelis
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    isnt "over" a better bet then? quite few FTs were shot in the 1st game

  5. #5
    Shafted69
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  6. #6
    YouHave2outs
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    Quote Originally Posted by nj1035 View Post
    There is no reason in hell to take Miami based on the actual game and matchups. Makes me think there's a lot of money coming in on the "Joey Crawford" factor.

    I think I'll take the Spurs on value alone - I know they are going to bring it tonight. Only way they lose is if Miami brings it and the refs bring it.
    the NBA is rigged, this is documented.

  7. #7
    hockey216
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    joey crawford and ed malloy are gonna rig the game for miami. handicap it like a WWE match.

  8. #8
    csknight3
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    Quote Originally Posted by nj1035 View Post
    There is no reason in hell to take Miami based on the actual game and matchups. Makes me think there's a lot of money coming in on the "Joey Crawford" factor.

    I think I'll take the Spurs on value alone - I know they are going to bring it tonight. Only way they lose is if Miami brings it and the refs bring it.
    Agree with what everyone else says but agree with your logic more. The VALUE is great. If anything you could hedge your bet live if the Spurs go up big in the beginning and then its guaranteed profit. And if not and you lose the bet it was still a bet worth taking because if you took +260 for 3 games in a row Spurs Vs Heat there is no way the spurs would lose all of them. Even if the Spurs lost 2 and you were down 2 units. You would still make a .6 profit on the third game by betting 1 unit. So logically GREAT VALUE. Which is why I am also on the ML. If it loses then whatever, still great value compared to anything else on the board.

  9. #9
    KiDBaZkiT
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    Quote Originally Posted by nj1035 View Post
    I just think the Spurs have a better than 27% chance of winning. The refs can't take a 50% chance down to a 27% chance. So the only say there could be value on the Heat is if you actually think they are the better team, which I don't.
    The refs could easily do that and you couldnt do shit but yell at your tv and lose.

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