1. #1
    MexicanStallion
    MexicanStallion's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-08-08
    Posts: 20,429
    Betpoints: 11153

    Goat's NBA Playoff Thread with Film Notes

    NBA Regular Season
    135-110-9 (
    $2020.27)

    Parlays: 13-7 (
    $1232.00)

    Moneylines: 18-11 ($712.50)
    Spreads: 57-45-3 ($361.00)
    Totals: 6-4 ($325.00)
    Props: 14-9-1 (
    $51.00)

    Alt. Spreads: 3-5-1 (
    -$31.45)

    Live: 0-2 (-$160.00)
    Halves: 21-22-3 (-$204.78)
    TT: 2-5-1 (-$265.00)


    Quote Originally Posted by Goat Milk View Post
    The Clippers are my favorite to win the Western Conference without the 2nd best player in the world in the mix. Lakers an outside shot, but I feel the Clips will handle the THunder over 7 games. WIll do an in-depth writeup after the first series with memphis. 4/20/13 $200 @ +959

  2. #2
    MexicanStallion
    MexicanStallion's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-08-08
    Posts: 20,429
    Betpoints: 11153

    NBA Playoff Season
    2-6 (
    -$10.00)

    Moneylines: 1-3 ($200.00)
    Spreads: 1-3 (
    -$210.00)


    4/26: Lakers ML -$200
    4/27: Thunder PK
    +$1000
    4/30: Clippers -5.5
    -$440
    5/3: Clippers ML
    -$350
    5/3: Clippers +6
    -$220
    5/10: Spurs ML
    +$1150
    5/12: Spurts -1.5
    -$550
    5/13: Thunder ML
    -$400

    Points Awarded:

    MrXYZ gave MexicanStallion 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  3. #3
    CaVengo
    CaVengo's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-30-13
    Posts: 200


  4. #4
    ShogunRua
    Update Status
    ShogunRua's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-23-09
    Posts: 4,668

    Love the thread title

    So much for hitting 75% of playoff bets.

    Mexi, shouldn't the total lost font be in red since he's currently in the negative? Just sayin...

  5. #5
    Pauulzcappin
    Pauulzcappin's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-23-10
    Posts: 20,295
    Betpoints: 568

    i like goat the but title is funny as hell.

  6. #6
    Seto
    Jose Mourinho: simply the best
    Seto's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-16-11
    Posts: 12,906
    Betpoints: 2560

    he hit the 2 big ones at least

  7. #7
    thetrinity
    penetrate me to tears
    thetrinity's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-25-11
    Posts: 22,430
    Betpoints: 5536

    we arent gona count his series losses here

  8. #8
    alamo
    Why R.E.M. and not The Go-Betweens
    alamo's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-21-09
    Posts: 7,131
    Betpoints: 10890

    Hell of a season for Goat all the same
    135-110-9 ($2020.27)

    Silenced his critics big time

  9. #9
    JR007
    JR007's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-21-10
    Posts: 5,279

    assume we have the tickets to prove this record

  10. #10
    MexicanStallion
    MexicanStallion's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-08-08
    Posts: 20,429
    Betpoints: 11153

    Quote Originally Posted by ShogunRua View Post
    Love the thread title

    So much for hitting 75% of playoff bets.

    Mexi, shouldn't the total lost font be in red since he's currently in the negative? Just sayin...
    Correct it should be in Red. Just a slight error on my part. The thread title was Goat's title. He contacted me about two days ago.

    Quote Originally Posted by thetrinity View Post
    we arent gona count his series losses here
    I did my best to go back into his posts. I quoted a future play that he lost, but I didn't mark that in the record yet as I forgot. I think I saw one series bet through his posts, but I didn't see any bets attached with it. If I missed any bets. I"ll add them. Just what I got from his playoff bets.

  11. #11
    JR007
    JR007's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-21-10
    Posts: 5,279

    Is Goat laying 14 with his boys tonight ????, "no guts no glory" goatie

  12. #12
    MexicanStallion
    MexicanStallion's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-08-08
    Posts: 20,429
    Betpoints: 11153

    Quote Originally Posted by Goat Milk View Post
    Pacers are playing great as of late and I'm particularly impressed with their discipline. The fact that they keep feeding Hibbert down low is crucial. Last year they did that a few times and it didn't work, they got frustrated and started playing perimeter ball. The consistency of feeding the ball down low tonight will disappear, as it's inevitable MIA will start to front both west and Hibbert down low. The Pacers will get caught late in shot clocks and it will force George, Stephonson and Hill to all make plays with less than 7 seconds left on the shot clock.

    On the offensive side, I expect Wade and Lebron to combine for 50+ tonight. Bosh might be a little gimpy on that ankle so I expect him to stay on the perimeter mostly offensively. Allen hasn't had a breakthrough game yet and this may be it. Lebron will continue to post on the elbow or deeper and force INDY to collapse. Expect MIA's shooters like Battier, Allen, Cole, Chalmers, and Bosh to all get a plethora of looks tonight.

    But the main difference will be Wade. When the opposing team is forced to double both Wade and Lebron in the paint, MIA is virtually unstoppable. Wade is clearly 70%, if that, but I expect him to be very aggressive tonight and for the whistle to be in his favor as well.

    Lakerman- did you see something in the film you wanted to add? Now watch how the Pacers offense is in shambles tonight. Then come back and thank me for my contributions.

    $770 on MIA -7.5 -110
    $220 on MIA -4 (1st Half) -110
    $100 on MIA -15.5 +318 (5 dimes)
    James Points OVER 27.5 -110 Risk 110
    Wade OVER 17.5 Points +100 Risk $100
    R. Allen OVER 1.5 3s Made -130 Risk $130

    May 30th
    2-4 (
    $250.00)


    NBA Playoff Season

    4-11 (
    $40.00)

    Spreads: 2-3 ($490.00)
    Moneylines: 1-3 ($200.00)
    Alt Spreads: 0-1 (-$100.00)
    Props: 1-2 (-$130.00)
    Future: 0-1 (
    -$200.00)
    Halves: 0-1
    (-$220.00)

    4/26: Lakers ML -$200
    4/27: Thunder PK
    +$1000
    4/30: Clippers -5.5
    -$440
    5/3: Clippers ML
    -$350
    5/3: Clippers +6
    -$220
    5/10: Spurs ML
    +$1150
    5/12: Spurts -1.5
    -$550
    5/13: Thunder ML
    -$40
    0
    Last edited by MexicanStallion; 06-01-13 at 02:31 AM.

  13. #13
    MexicanStallion
    MexicanStallion's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-08-08
    Posts: 20,429
    Betpoints: 11153

    Quote Originally Posted by Goat Milk View Post

    MIAMI -350 Risk $6000
    Miami -4 -170 Risk $1000 (5 dimes line)
    MIA HT& FT -130 Risk $325 (5 dimes prop)
    MIA wins by 6-10 +310 (5 dimes line) Risk $75
    JAMES OVER 6.5 assists +110 (5 dimes line) Risk $100
    WADE OVER 16 points -110 Risking $330

    As you can see, with this amount of money on the line, I'm pretty scared to take the -7. I Think it's possible MIA squeaks out a 4 5 point win. IMO I think they win by 6. I'm not taking a -7 with that little margin for error. The Pacers are a very good team, and I suspect them to play well tonight, but just be outmatched here.

    FYI MIA ML is my biggest bet of the year.
    June 3rd
    4-2 (
    $2677.53)


    NBA Playoff Season

    8-13 (
    $2717.53)

    Moneylines: 2-3 ($1914.29)
    Spreads: 2-3 ($490.00)
    Alt Spreads: 1-1 ($488.24)
    Props: 3-4 ($245.00)
    Future: 0-1 (
    -$200.00)
    Halves: 0-1
    (-$220.00)

    4/26: Lakers ML -$200
    4/27: Thunder PK
    +$1000
    4/30: Clippers -5.5
    -$440
    5/3: Clippers ML
    -$350
    5/3: Clippers +6
    -$220
    5/10: Spurs ML
    +$1150
    5/12: Spurts -1.5
    -$550
    5/13: Thunder ML
    -$40
    0
    Points Awarded:

    Goat Milk gave MexicanStallion 20 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  14. #14
    Goat Milk
    Goat Milk's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 03-24-10
    Posts: 25,838
    Betpoints: 10176

    Mexi, sorry I just cleared by inbox. here's some tokens for your hard work. thanks boss

  15. #15
    ShogunRua
    Update Status
    ShogunRua's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-23-09
    Posts: 4,668

    Nice hit last night goat. I don't quite believe you had 6k on it as most of your previous bets were in the 50-200 range, but whatever you were right about the game. I'm glad to see going heavy on the Heat worked out for you this time as it has burned you so many times in the past. Congrats.

    Anyways, I noticed last week how many points you won in the SBR book (you were on the leaderboard at the top of the page). Don't you think now is a good time to start paying back some of those outstanding loans? You would really look like a scumbag if you lose it all in the SBR Book before paying back those friendly folks that loaned you points however long ago.

  16. #16
    JR007
    JR007's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-21-10
    Posts: 5,279

    hey, Mexi...you ran this thread, can you dig out the last ticket...this "fruit" posted

  17. #17
    MexicanStallion
    MexicanStallion's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-08-08
    Posts: 20,429
    Betpoints: 11153

    Quote Originally Posted by Goat Milk View Post
    Heat $1720 on the -215.
    Wade OVER 17 Points -110 Risk $220 (PUSH)
    Bosh OVER 14.5 Points -110 Risk $110

    Wade Series PPG OVER 16.5 -125 (5 dimes line) Risk $125
    Lebron James a tripple double in series +230 Risk $50

    June 6th

    1-2-1 (
    -$1715.00)

    *Wade Prop Pending*

    NBA Playoff Season

    9-15-1 (
    $1002.53)

    Spreads: 2-3 ($490.00)
    Alt Spreads: 1-1 ($488.24)
    Props: 4-5-1 ($250.00)
    Moneylines: 2-4 (
    $194.29)

    Future: 0-1 (
    -$200.00)
    Halves: 0-1
    (-$220.00)

  18. #18
    MexicanStallion
    MexicanStallion's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-08-08
    Posts: 20,429
    Betpoints: 11153

    Quote Originally Posted by Goat Milk View Post
    The heat let gm 1 slip right frm their grasp. Read the writeup I did and notice how everything went exactly as I suggested. Never question me. Parker going around multiple pick n rolls there at the end waiting for mike miller or bosh to switch onto him. Expect a long in depth write up for game 3. On my phone at the moment.

    550 on Miami -6 -110
    3000 to win 1000 on Miami -300
    100 on wade over 17 pts plus 100

    Miami will not lose gm 2. I'm still up these playoffs and during the season, not forcing any bets here. This is a big bet.

    June 9th

    2-1 (
    $1450.00)

    *Wade Prop Pending*

    NBA Playoff Season

    11-16-1 (
    $2452.53)

    Moneylines: 3-4 ($1194.29)
    Spreads: 3-3 ($990.00)
    Alt Spreads: 1-1 ($488.24)
    Props: 4-6-1 ($150.00)
    Future: 0-1 (
    -$200.00)
    Halves: 0-1
    (-$220.00)

  19. #19
    ShogunRua
    Update Status
    ShogunRua's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-23-09
    Posts: 4,668

    Quote Originally Posted by MexicanStallion View Post

    June 6th

    1-2-1 (
    -$1715.00)

    *Wade Prop Pending*

    NBA Playoff Season

    9-15-1 (
    $1002.53)

    Spreads: 2-3 ($490.00)
    Alt Spreads: 1-1 ($488.24)
    Props: 4-5-1 ($250.00)
    Moneylines: 2-4 (
    $194.29)

    Future: 0-1 (
    -$200.00)
    Halves: 0-1
    (-$220.00)
    Pretty sure u graded this wrong. Notice on the other bets he specifies which bets are (risk). It appears that the ML bet was not 'risking' but 'to win'.

  20. #20
    MexicanStallion
    MexicanStallion's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-08-08
    Posts: 20,429
    Betpoints: 11153

    Quote Originally Posted by ShogunRua View Post

    Pretty sure u graded this wrong. Notice on the other bets he specifies which bets are (risk). It appears that the ML bet was not 'risking' but 'to win'.
    I stuck with his normal style. Almost all of his bets have been risking through the season. On May 30th, he had a 770 bet and 220 bet, so I just counted those like risking even though he didn't specify. His 1720 bet came out to 800, so it was an even number.

  21. #21
    MexicanStallion
    MexicanStallion's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-08-08
    Posts: 20,429
    Betpoints: 11153

    Quote Originally Posted by Goat Milk View Post
    $550 on Miami +2 -110
    $1000 on Miami +115
    $100 on Wade OVER 16.5 points +100 (5 dimes line)
    $100 on Miami wins by 1-5 (5 dimes) +379
    $125 on Danny Green UNDER 10.5 pts -125
    $105 on Tony Parker FREE THROWS MADE OVER 4.5 -105 (5 dimes)
    $120 on Lebron Rebounds OVER 8.5 -120

    June 11th

    1-6 (-
    $1880.00)

    *Wade Prop Pending*

    NBA Playoff Season

    12-22-1 (
    $572.53)

    Alt Spreads: 1-1 ($488.24)
    Spreads: 3-4 ($440.00)
    Moneylines: 3-5 ($194.29)
    Series Prop: 1-0 ($50.00)
    Props: 5-10-1 (-$180.00)
    Future: 0-1 (
    -$200.00)
    Halves: 0-1
    (-$220.00)

  22. #22
    MexicanStallion
    MexicanStallion's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-08-08
    Posts: 20,429
    Betpoints: 11153

    Quote Originally Posted by Goat Milk View Post
    MIAMI +100 on the ML Risking $3000
    James OVER 27 POINTS -110 Risk $220
    Wade OVER 16.5 POINTS -110 Risk $110

    June 13th

    3-0 (
    $3300.00)

    *Wade Prop Pending*

    NBA Playoff Season

    15-22-1 (
    $3872.53)

    Moneylines: 4-5 ($3194.29)
    Alt Spreads: 1-1 ($488.24)
    Spreads: 3-4 ($440.00)
    Props: 7-10-1 (
    $120.00)

    Series Prop: 1-0 ($50.00)
    Future: 0-1 (
    -$200.00)
    Halves: 0-1
    (-$220.00)

  23. #23
    MexicanStallion
    MexicanStallion's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-08-08
    Posts: 20,429
    Betpoints: 11153

    Quote Originally Posted by Goat Milk View Post
    I look for this game to come right down to the wire, possibly even overtime. I see Wade James Allen or Chalmers hitting a big shot in the closing seconds of the 4th. The game to just as well go the Spurs's way with them winning on a nail biter at the end but when I rewatched game 4 I just saw no possible adjustments the Spurs could really make at this point in the series to disrupt the rhythm Miami has found. Can certainly play better offensively but Parker is hurt and Green and Neil are not going to keep hitting 3s, trust me. That leaves a lot on Manu Ginobli's shoulders tonight.

    $100 on MIAMI wins by 1-5 +333.

    June 16th
    0-1 (
    -$100.00)

    *Wade Prop Pending*

    NBA Playoff Season

    15-23-1 (
    $3772.53)

    Moneylines: 4-5 ($3194.29)
    Alt Spreads: 1-1 ($488.24)
    Spreads: 3-4 ($440.00)
    Series Prop: 1-0 ($50.00)
    Props: 7-11-1 ($20.00)
    Future: 0-1 (
    -$200.00)
    Halves: 0-1
    (-$220.00)

  24. #24
    MexicanStallion
    MexicanStallion's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-08-08
    Posts: 20,429
    Betpoints: 11153

    Quote Originally Posted by Goat Milk View Post
    MIAMI -120 for the Series Risk $1200
    MIAMI -300 GAME 6 Risk $900
    MIAMI -6.5 -110 GAME 6 risk $220
    MIAMI HT + MIAMI FT -130 Risk $260

    Chalmers OVER 8.5 points for 100
    June 18th
    2-2 (
    -$80.00)

    *Wade Prop Pending*
    *Miami Series Pending*


    NBA Playoff Season

    17-25-1 (
    $3692.53)

    Moneylines: 5-5 ($3494.29)
    Alt Spreads: 1-1 ($488.24)
    Spreads: 3-5 ($220.00)
    Series Prop: 1-0 ($50.00)
    Props: 8-12-1 (-$140.00)
    Future: 0-1 (
    -$200.00)
    Halves: 0-1
    (-$220.00)

  25. #25
    MexicanStallion
    MexicanStallion's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-08-08
    Posts: 20,429
    Betpoints: 11153

    Quote Originally Posted by Goat Milk View Post
    Ginobli OVER 12.5 POINTS -110 Risk $110

    Bosh OVER 14 points -110 RISK $110

    Quote Originally Posted by Goat Milk View Post
    Miami -3 1st half -110 risk $220

    SERIES BET PENDING SO NO POINT TO GO BIG ON ANYTHING.

    June 20th

    3-2 (
    $870.00)

    *Wade Prop Pending* $100
    *Miami Series Pending* $1000


    NBA Playoff Season

    20-27-1 (
    $4562.53)

    Moneylines: 5-5 ($3494.29)
    Series Prop: 3-0 ($1150.00)
    Alt Spreads: 1-1 ($488.24)
    Spreads: 3-5 ($220.00)
    Props: 9-13-1 (-$150.00)
    Future: 0-1 (
    -$200.00)
    Halves: 0-2
    (-$440.00)
    Points Awarded:

    Goat Milk gave MexicanStallion 5 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    Goat Milk gave MexicanStallion 7 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    Goat Milk gave MexicanStallion 12 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    Goat Milk gave MexicanStallion 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  26. #26
    Goat Milk
    Goat Milk's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 03-24-10
    Posts: 25,838
    Betpoints: 10176

    Stallion. Looking forward to the final update. Here are some points. Make sure you post my regular season and playoff record in tihs thread for reference purposes.

  27. #27
    JR007
    JR007's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-21-10
    Posts: 5,279

    and while your at it goat, have mexi post your regular season and playoffs for the last three or four years........this way we will have a good overview of your capping skills over time

Top