Here is my write-up for tonight's game. THESE NUMBERS ARE FACTORING IN THAT DERRICK ROSE WILL NOT PLAY TONIGHT...THAT PUSSY. I tried capping NBA earlier in the year and had a good record, but then I got frustrated and stopped my thread because of a few factors: Players not always playing up to their ability (Lebron may care to beat the Knicks but not give a shit about game 38 against the 76ers), Coaches resting their good players because "It's all about the playoffs", and the NBA being rigged by Stern (bullshit calls, traveling all over the place, etc.) Well now it is the playoffs so all else held equal I am counting on the fact that the better team should win on a given not, or failing that, the better team should win their series. Here is my old thread so you can see my record:
http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/nba-basket...p-tonight.html
FYI, I try not to bet against the spread anymore. I don't count on NBA players to give a shit when it comes to the spread. Here is my write-up.
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1. Avg points last 4 games: 94.75
2. Avg points last 4 road games: 93
3. Avg 4 home games: 99.5
4. Avg last 2 meetiings: 90.5
5. Avg off rebounds 4: 10
6. Avg rebounds 4: 40
7. Avg turnovers 4: 13
8. Avg FG % 4: 46.55
9. Avg 3 FG% 4: 39.775
10. Avg free throw % 4: 72.125
11. Avg steals 4: 5.5
12. Avg blocks 4: 2.5
13. Avg personal fouls 4: 23.5
14. Avg points allowed 4: 96.75
Nets:
1. Avg points last 4 games: 100.5
2. Avg points last 4 road games: 104.5
3. Avg 4 home games: 104.75
4. Avg last 2 meetiings: 98
5. Avg off rebounds 4: 11.75
6. Avg rebounds 4: 40
7. Avg turnovers 4: 13
8. Avg FG % 4: 47.775
9. Avg 3 FG% 4: 37.4
10. Avg free throw % 4: 65.575
11. Avg steals 4: 10
12. Avg blocks 4: 3.75
13. Avg personal fouls 4: 20.75
14. Avg points allowed 4: 95.5
Nets won 10 out of 14 categories (2 categories are tied). So I recommend backing the Nets moneyline.
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