1. 04-10-13 07:37 AM #1
    LT Profits
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    NBA - Wednesday, 4/10/13

    1 NBA Play Wednesday


    Bucks / Magic UNDER 201 -110 (Bookmaker)


    YTD: 190-198-2, -8.20
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  2. 04-10-13 08:45 AM #2
    RJKing
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    You keep taking the magic to go under.???? You know they suck on defense, you go out of your way to point it out then you constantly take the magic under and you lose.
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  3. 04-10-13 12:16 PM #3
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    Quote Originally Posted by RJKing View Post
    You keep taking the magic to go under.???? You know they suck on defense, you go out of your way to point it out then you constantly take the magic under and you lose.
    Are you going to keep pointing that out every time I take an Orlando Under? Take a look at the last two weeks or so, Magic are trending toward an 'under' team because they can't score but they have actually played better defense since playing all the youngsters. And I think I cashed a Magic Under or two during that time (Spurs game comes to mind, may have been more).
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  4. 04-10-13 12:27 PM #4
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    Quote Originally Posted by RJKing View Post
    You keep taking the magic to go under.???? You know they suck on defense, you go out of your way to point it out then you constantly take the magic under and you lose.
    I am 2-1 with Orlando 'unders' since Alfalo was lost for the season, won vs. Spurs and Thunder, lost vs. Heat.
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  5. 04-10-13 01:17 PM #5
    Sport_Fish
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    u went from -16 units down to now -8....do we start fading you now?
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  6. 04-10-13 01:17 PM #6
    LT Profits
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    I am actually considering adding Magic side. Bucks may limit starters in second of back-to-back, they know they won't catch Boston for 7th.
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  7. 04-10-13 01:18 PM #7
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sport_Fish View Post
    u went from -16 units down to now -8....do we start fading you now?
    More likely to approach 0, winning season still very possible. Remember 4 winning NBA seasons out of 5 at SBR (26 of 37 all sports)
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  8. 04-10-13 01:24 PM #8
    Sport_Fish
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    More likely to approach 0, winning season still very possible. Remember 4 winning NBA seasons out of 5 at SBR (26 of 37 all sports)
    possible...but its just been a trend a few times i've noticed. Go up, then go down. etc.

    Oh well lets wait n see

    And 4 of 5 winning seasons? So that means by theory you will have 1 winning season out of ur next 5 (50%)...this could be variance kicking in and this year will likely be one of those losing ones?
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  9. 04-10-13 01:33 PM #9
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sport_Fish View Post
    possible...but its just been a trend a few times i've noticed. Go up, then go down. etc.

    Oh well lets wait n see

    And 4 of 5 winning seasons? So that means by theory you will have 1 winning season out of ur next 5 (50%)...this could be variance kicking in and this year will likely be one of those losing ones?
    Gamblers fallacy, regression takes place over infinity, if it were as easy as looking at drop-in-the-bucket periods like 5-year intervals, we would all be rich. That aside, I don't consider myself a 50-50 or coin-flip capper, as 26-of-37 it a truer representation than 4-of-5 NBA or the 0-for-3 so far on current sports. Let's just see how everything plays out.
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  10. 04-10-13 02:18 PM #10
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    NBA Triple Play

    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    1 NBA Play Wednesday


    Bucks / Magic UNDER 201 -110 (Bookmaker)


    YTD: 190-198-2, -8.20
    Adding:

    Magic +4.5 -103 (5 Dimes)
    Nets / Celtics UNDER 191.5 +103 (5 Dimes)


    NBA Card Complete
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  11. 04-10-13 08:33 PM #11
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    Under screwed by OT in Orlando. Now need Magic to cover.
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  12. 04-10-13 08:34 PM #12
    kobstopa
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    Bucks/magics go OT, the magics could have iced the game with a free threw at end of regulation. But he missed it
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  13. 04-10-13 09:12 PM #13
    El Sol
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Gamblers fallacy, regression takes place over infinity, if it were as easy as looking at drop-in-the-bucket periods like 5-year intervals, we would all be rich. That aside, I don't consider myself a 50-50 or coin-flip capper, as 26-of-37 it a truer representation than 4-of-5 NBA or the 0-for-3 so far on current sports. Let's just see how everything plays out.
    Very few people here fully understand what the term 'gamblers fallacy' actually means. I tried to explain this to many gamblers including veterans and they still insist that random events in the past effect random events in the future...
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  14. 04-10-13 09:17 PM #14
    Bman1991
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Under screwed by OT in Orlando. Now need Magic to cover.
    Tobias Harris is a cheater, he shouldn't have shot the three.
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  15. 04-10-13 09:36 PM #15
    ThaTopMoron
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    1 NBA Play Wednesday


    Bucks / Magic UNDER 201 -110 (Bookmaker)

    YTD: 190-198-2, -8.20

    Bucks / Magic UNDER 201...

    another under busted in the NBA, jeez LT.... what did I tell you?

    Under 191.5 in Boston... YOU JUST LOST IT WITH 8 SECONDS LEFT WITH A MEANINGLESS 3 IN THE CORNER THAT THE NETS DIDN'T EVEN CONTEST....

    what did I tell you about late season unders?
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  16. 04-10-13 11:03 PM #16
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    Quote Originally Posted by ThaTopMoron View Post
    Bucks / Magic UNDER 201...

    another under busted in the NBA, jeez LT.... what did I tell you?

    Under 191.5 in Boston... YOU JUST LOST IT WITH 8 SECONDS LEFT WITH A MEANINGLESS 3 IN THE CORNER THAT THE NETS DIDN'T EVEN CONTEST....

    what did I tell you about late season unders?
    Meh, I could have easily been 3-0 tonight, shit happens. And you are wrong about late season Unders. Since 2007, the Under is 50.9 percent in all regular season games. In APRIL regular season games during that time, it is 52.2 percent.
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  17. 04-10-13 11:06 PM #17
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    By the way, 'under' is 54.1 percent in playoffs since 2008 (actually 2007-08 season).
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