1. #1
    Jay Edgar
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    Join Date: 03-08-06
    Posts: 1,576

    Jay Edgar NBA, Saturday 12.23.06

    Best night in a while Friday night . . .

    EDGAR LINE vs THE FINAL NUMBER
    (playing all teams whose estimated win % is 5% or more higher in the Edgar line than in the closing Pinny line)

    MONEYLINE PLAYS (at 1* each)
    Friday, 7-4, +13.93u
    (CHA, GS, NY, ATL, MIL, BOS, NOK, HOU, LAC, DEN, WAS)
    YTD 109-182, +38.88u

    SAME TEAMS ATS (at 1* each)
    Friday, 7-4, +2.80u
    YTD 159-130 (.550), +22.50u

    POWER RATINGS OVER LAST 10 GAMES
    1 WAS 66
    2 DAL 65
    3 PHX 64
    4 SAN 62
    5 LAX 62
    6 HOU 61
    7 MIL 57
    8 CHI 56
    9 DET 56
    10 UTH 55
    11 GS 54
    12 POR 53
    13 DEN 52
    14 IND 52
    15 TOR 51
    16 CLE 48
    17 MIN 48
    18 NJ 47
    19 SAC 46
    20 MIA 46
    21 BOS 45
    22 SEA 44
    23 NY 42
    24 CHA 39
    25 ATL 39
    26 ORL 38
    27 NOK 37
    28 LAC 37
    29 MEM 37
    30 PHI 37

    EDGAR LINES FOR 12.23.06
    (favorite-spread/ML-dog)
    IND 5.6/197 over MIN

    MIA 4.2/164 over GS

    DET 7.5/307 over ATL

    CLE 7.2/279 over ORL

    PHI 3.6/148 over NY

    NOK 0.8/106 over SAN

    MEM 1.9/120 over UTH

    HOU 8.2/344 over LAC

    MIL 7.0/264 over NJ

    CHI 7.4/298 over CHA

    SEA 3.0/138 over TOR


    STRIKE PRICES
    (at this ML or better, team is a play both SU and ATS under 5%-OFF method)

    MIN +249, IND -159

    GS +204, MIA -133

    ATL +410, DET -238

    ORL +367, CLE -218

    NY +183, PHI -121

    SAN +129, NOK +115

    UTH +147, MEM +102

    LAC +470, HOU -263

    NJ +345, MIL -208

    CHA +396, CHI -222

    TOR +170, SEA -112
    Last edited by Jay Edgar; 12-23-06 at 12:44 AM.

  2. #2
    Jay Edgar
    Jay Edgar's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-08-06
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    5% -OFF method plays in the order I like them:

    TOR 9%
    ATL 10%
    MIL 10%
    GS 9%
    CHA 11%
    NOK 32%
    MEM 15%

    Also, it's been steamed up a little bit, but the ORL/CLE total still seems insanely low to me. Overly simplistic reaction to the last game between them. Magic with Nelson a different story.

  3. #3
    newb411breaker19
    newb411breaker19's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-21-05
    Posts: 421

    wow edgar, keep it up man

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