[Artieaa]

ATS 49-48
Totals 39-28-1

Big card for tomorrow, Will post write ups now and update when final lines are post tomorrow:

MIami at Cleveland : Miami is on last game of a 5 game road trip, I expect a line in DD, Cleveland plays an ugly 39.1% ATS as road dog, want to see the Totals line, spot for both teams could be good to play the over.

Toronto at Bobcats +6 / 195: This should be a no brainer to lay the pts with Toronto right?, there is 1 fact that concerns me here, Toronto is coming from a 2 days off where they play a mediocre 44.4% ATS, I am early lening Toronto -6.

Bucks at Atlanta -5/ 207: Bucks is on b2b where they play an ugly 33.3% ATS, Atlanta should win this outright, but question is will they cover here?, I could see better value on the totals 69.2% of HAwks games as home fav have gone Over, 60.6% in general, My early lean Over 207.

Orlando at Knicks : No line here yet, I guess NY will be fav by 9 or even DD, Orlando is on b2b and last of 4 away from home, NY is playing 1st at home after a 5 game road trip, want to see the Totals line Orlandoīs games have gone OVer 63.6% on a b2b.

Boston at NOrleans: Boston should be fav here, and that concerns me cuase they are playing an ugly 33.3% ATS as road fav and 38.7% away from home. I donīt see any reason to back up Hornets neither.

Nets at Dallas -4/198: I like the spot for both teams regarding the totals, Dallas is playing first at home after a 6 game roadtrip, I will think about going ATS with Dallas, I like as I mentioned the totals, leaning Dallas -4 and Over 198.

Utah at Houston -6.5/211: Utah plays an ugly 30.8% ATS as road dog and 36.4% away from home, on the other hand has some nice stats at this spot 63% ATS as home fav, 64.3% after 2-3 days off, I like spot for both teams as well regarding the totals, My leans Houston -6.5 and Over 211.

OKC at Memphis +1.5 / 191.5: Will keep this simple a coin toss IMO, pass.

Gstate at SAntonio -8.5/ 203.5: Shouldnīt be a problem for Spurs to lay the points even with 3 days off they play a nice 70% ATS after 2-3 days off, I could see some value here with the totals as well, my leans Spurs -8.5 and UNder 203.5

Wizards at Suns -1/191 : A pk game and I think Wizards is the better team here, also like the spot for both teams to play the totals, I just hope Wizards do not come as last game vs Charlotte , my leans Wizards +1 and Under 191.

76 ers at Clippers -10/195: Clippers were embarrassed tonight, they will come to make someone pay, Sixers may have been playin better but that was at home, on the road is another history for them, also 76ers seem to struggle vs West teams, they are playing 36% ATS in non conference games, while Clippers play 58.1% as home fav, 59.3% in non conference, my lean Clippers -10.

Will Update tomorrow when lines are relased

GLTA.

[ItsMeMrMattE]

with you on the clippers. you wouldnt happen to know of a site or a post on here that keeps track of how many times the highest ATS fav on the card has hit so far this season. if not i think its going to be something i start tracking.

[Artieaa]

with you on the clippers. you wouldnt happen to know of a site or a post on here that keeps track of how many times the highest ATS fav on the card has hit so far this season. if not i think its going to be something i start tracking.

The model I am putting together is some like that, though for that had to write very single % ATS for everyday the stat I am posting follow this lines is about above 54% ATS in 5 categories (thatīs teh team you back up) and less than 40%( the team you fade) in my model you skip games where both teams have any of the 5 categories above 54 or less than 40, or you skip as well when a team has 1 or more categories above 54 and one or more less than 40. I donpt know if I made myself clear, hit me any question you have regarding this model, I stronlgy believe in numbers and will stand still to play the reamaining of the season that way.

From january 7th to date:

ATS
WIN	LOSE
64	46		58.18%
TOTALS
WIN	LOSE
26	12		68.42%
OVERALL
WIN	LOSE
90	58		60.81%

[Artieaa]

ok lines are updated as follow:
Leans are coming from the model I am starting to fully use today:

Miami at Cleveland +11.5: Lean Over 197.5
Toronto at Charlotte +6.5: No play
Bucks at Atlanta -6: Lean Over 206
Orlando at Knicks -11: Lean Over 196.5
Boston at NOrleans +4.5: No play
Nets at Dallas -4: Lean Over 198
Utah at Houston -7.5: Lean Houston -7.5
OKC at Memphis -1.5: No play
Gstate at Spurs -8.5: No play
Wizards at Suns -1.5: lean Wizards +1.5 and Under 193
76ers at Clippers -10.5: Lean Clippers -10.5

Will come back to post final plays.

GLTA

[Artieaa]

My bad Lean on Houston Over 209 as well missed to type it!!!!

[Artieaa]

OK here is the deal I am taking 900 from my nba bankrol to put intoplay with the model I will start using today , I will keep posting plays on the regular record since I started to post here, so from starting today will be plays for the model and regular plays, just for the record the plays I will be posting as regular plays will never go vs my model plays or will be double bet, there will be days like today with many plays for the model and so it will be days with no plays at all.

Wish me luck and letīs see how this works out

GLTA

[Artieaa]

so here we go :

Regular picks record stands:

ATS 49-48
Totals 39-28-1

Picks for today :

Houston -7.5
Wizards Under 193

Model picks
Starting Bank rol $900

Record 0-0

Plays for today:

Miami/Cavs Over 198
Bucks/Hawks Over 205
Magic/Knicks Over 196.5
Nets/Dallas over 198
Utah/Rockets Over 209
Wizards PK
Clippers -10.5

All plays are to win $10
At risk $77.00



GLTA

[ItsMeMrMattE]

GL with the model. i'll be watchin it. hope it works out. coming up with a successful system can be so rewarding not just monetarily, but more so mentally imo.

[cockblocker]

You might want to scratch that Houston play.

Rockets gave Jazz their worst home loss in franchise history a few weeks ago.

Jazz will be playing with a lot of extra incentive tonight. Maybe even win outright.

[Artieaa]

You might want to scratch that Houston play.

Rockets gave Jazz their worst home loss in franchise history a few weeks ago.

Jazz will be playing with a lot of extra incentive tonight. Maybe even win outright.

Model is about numbers mate, not feelings involved, Houston is way better numbers wise at this spot than Utah, anyway thanks for the advice !!!!!

[Artieaa]

GL with the model. i'll be watchin it. hope it works out. coming up with a successful system can be so rewarding not just monetarily, but more so mentally imo.

Thanks mate, and agree with you If you are able to come up with a model or system that gives you at least 60% for sure will feel great into the pocket and personally,

[figue]

buena suerte amigo

[Artieaa]

buena suerte amigo

Gracias !!!!!

[Artieaa]

Houston -7.5 weird end of game beaten by the hook !!!!
Wizards Under 193

Model picks

Miami/Cavs Over 198 what a fking weird game
Bucks/Hawks Over 205 way offff target
Magic/Knicks Over 196.5
Nets/Dallas over 198
Utah/Rockets Over 209 another one way offffffff target
Wizards PK that was easy
Clippers -10.5 easiest one !!!!!!

[Artieaa]

so 1-1 for regular plays

4-3 model plays

Records

ATS 49-49
Totals 40-28-1

Model
4-3
Bankroll $907

I did put a ticket to minimize loses just in case


Hav a good one
GLTA

[figue]