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Picks from Mexico 18-mar-2013 :)
ATS 49-46
Totals 37-27-1
Big card tonight letīs get started:
Indiana at Cleveland +7: suddenly Indiana has dropped last 2 and having some issues on defense IMO, They face today an improved Cavs team, I believe Indiana shuld win SU but donīt know about the cover, better pass.
Wizards at Bobcats +6.5: This is 1st of 4 away for the Wizards, Nba teams have an ATS record of 23-15 (60.53%) in 1st of a 4 game road trip this season, and home teams have a record of 34-39(46.58%) ATS in first of 3 home games, what concerns me here is the fact that Wizards are 0-2 as road favorites, I see better value here with the totals, with Wizards playing a slow pace on the road and Bobcats struggling to score I am leaning Under 189.
Portland at 76ers -1: A pk game here, 76ers have battled pretty damn well last 2 games at home vs Miami and Indiana winning 1 and losing 1, Portland does not excell on the road, despite Nba teams are 9-6(60%) ATS in 1st of a 5 game road trip, and 35-29(54.69) ATS in 1st after 3 games homestand, I like 76ers here, leaning 76ers -1.
Nets at Detroit +3.5: Nets are 62.5% ATS as road dog and they are playing 1st of 7 raod trip where nba teams are 1-2 ATS this season, on the other hand Detroit is riding a 8 game losing streak and playing 1st at home after 4 away where teams are 12-24 (33.3%) ATS in that situation.There shouldnīt be any problem for Nets to take this one, leaning Nets -3.5.
Dallas at Atlanta -3.5: Dallas in on b2b and 4th in 5, Hawks is on b2b where they play a nice 58.8% ATS, I think atlanta can take this one, leaning Atlanta -3.5.
Miami at Boston +5: Miami is on b2b they have improved ATS huge!!!, they are playing a nice 56.2% away from home, Boston is playing on its own court 58.1% ATS icluding a decent 50% as home dog, I like Miami here, leaning Miami -5.
Denver at Chicago +3.5: Chicago is in a very rough spot here IMo, 33.3% ATS ashome dog, 20% with 2-3 days off, 26.9% non conference games, on the other hand Denver is 56.2% ATS as road fav, 50% in 2-3 days off, I like Denver chances here, leaning Denver -3.5.
Minnesota at Memphis -13: Could look that there shouldnīt be any problem for Memphis to cover here but maybe is not that easy, Minnesota is playing an excellent 56.2% ATS on b2b, And Memphis is coming home after a 4 game road trip where teams are 12-24 (33.3%) ATS in that situation. I donīt trust Minnesota to back them up so I better pass.
GState at NORleans +3.5: NOrleans have struggled lately not just to win but to cover spreads, Gstate has become a nightmare for me to cap recently, better leave this alone.
Lakers at Suns +2.5: Lakers is pushing strong for teh reminder of the season, Suns has nothin ATS wise to make me support them, my lean LAkers -2.5.
Knicks at Utah -9.5: This is the other side of the coin Knicks have been really pathetic, I thought I would never see a team like Utah being favored against the Knicks by almost DD, but itīs true thereīs nothing ATS wise that would make me back Knicks here, and with the nice record from tha JAzz at home too temptive to let it pass, my lean Utah -9.5.
Will be back later to post final plays
GLTA
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Originally Posted by Artieaa
