[Jay Edgar]

EDGAR LINE vs THE FINAL NUMBER
(playing all teams whose estimated win % is 5% or more higher in the Edgar line than in the closing Pinny line)

MONEYLINE PLAYS (at 1* each)
Saturday, 3-6, -2.27u
(ORL, ATL, BOS, MEM, NY, NOK, NJ, MIL, SAC)
YTD 93-165, +19.10u

I'm going to look objectively at it over the next few days, but subjectively it sure seems that if we simply stayed off the Knicks and Memphis, and never went against PHX, SA, and DAL, these plays would go from profitable to wildly profitable.

Also, once again Saturday, the teams with the biggest Edgar vs Pinny gaps perform badly -- NY was 29% off and NOK was 27% off.

SAME TEAMS ATS (at 1* each)
Saturday, 4-5, -1.25u
YTD 138-119 (.537), +13.05u


POWER RATINGS OVER LAST 10 GAMES
1 SAN 75
2 PHX 67
3 WAS 65
4 CHI 60
5 HOU 60
6 LAX 60
7 UTH 60
8 MIN 57
9 DAL 57
10 CLE 55
11 BOS 53
12 DET 53
13 GS 52
14 POR 52
15 MIA 52
16 IND 51
17 MIL 49
18 SAC 48
19 DEN 47
20 SEA 46
21 TOR 45
22 LAC 43
23 NJ 42
24 ATL 40
25 ORL 37
26 NY 35
27 NOK 34
28 CHA 33
29 MEM 30
30 PHI 30

EDGAR LINES FOR 12.17.06
(favorite-spread/ML-dog)

TOR 2.6/127 over GS

IND 3.0/138 over UTH

LAC 1.5/111 over HOU

DET 2.7/131 over SEA

LAX 3.6/147 over WAS


STRIKE PRICES
(at this ML or better, team is a play both SU and ATS under 5%-OFF method)

GS +151, TOR -109

UTH +165, IND -118
(I like Utah anyway -- a lot)

HOU +132, LAC +105

SEA +157, DET -112

WAS +177, LAX -125

[bigboydan]

I'm liking the Jazz big time myself today Jay.

Good luck to you today sir