1. 03-15-13 04:25 PM #1
    MAZ Sports
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    MAZ NBA Halftime Picks -

    Hi
    A friend and I have observed certain patterns and trends in professional (and college) sports that seem to repeat. We have recently pooled our efforts in formulating these ideas into mathematical betting systems and are pretty excited about the results.


    For the rest of this season, we will be posting our computer selections in this forum so as to get a public track record. For now this will only involve NBA halftime plays. Historically these have won at a rate of 55% on small plays, 57% on medium plays and 60% on large plays. Small plays should be around 1 in 3 NBA games, medium around 1 in 5 NBA games and large plays around 1 in 12 NBA games.. If you do the math, this is.....attractive. We will post in this thread, a few minutes after halftime, our NBA plays which we are playing ourselves for 1/3 unit, 1 unit and 2 units respectively.

    Will post in this thread a few minutes after games go halftime and the computer spits out its prediction. Each day I will post the day before and YTD record.

    Good luck to us and may the free throws and late fouls go (y)our way.
    MAZ
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  2. 03-15-13 07:17 PM #2
    MAZ Sports
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    Charlotte/Tor 2H Under 97 1 unit (medium) play
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  3. 03-15-13 07:24 PM #3
    MAZ Sports
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    Lakers/Pacers over 94.5 small play 1/3 unit
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  4. 03-15-13 08:11 PM #4
    MAZ Sports
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    Minn/Hou Under 106 large play - 2 units
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  5. 03-15-13 08:37 PM #5
    MAZ Sports
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    Cle/Dal Under 101 small play (1/3 unit)
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  6. 03-15-13 10:49 PM #6
    MAZ Sports
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    3/15/2013
    Small 2-0 +.66
    Medium 1-0 +1
    Large 0-1 -2.2

    3-1 -0.54 units
    YTD 3-1 -0.54 units

    (Note: I know the 1/3 unit complicates the math, but we expect to have alot of plays of that caliber and they are definitely worth playing but will not approach the win rate of the strongest plays. Ergo the 1/3, 1, 2, ratio on plays makes the most sense for this forum, though I am playing the games myself for 1%, 3% and 6% of my bankroll)
    Last edited by MAZ Sports; 03-16-13 at 08:36 AM. Reason: clarity
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  7. 03-16-13 07:18 PM #7
    MAZ Sports
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    3/16 Pho/Wash 2H over 93.5 small play (1/3 unit)
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  8. 03-16-13 07:28 PM #8
    natelli1
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    Good luck bro. Is every game gonna have a play? Or do you only play games at a certain % or higher?
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  9. 03-16-13 07:38 PM #9
    MAZ Sports
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    Ind/Phil 2H over 91.5 medium play (1 unit)
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  10. 03-16-13 07:41 PM #10
    MAZ Sports
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    Char/Bos 2H Under 93.5 medium play (1 unit)
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  11. 03-16-13 07:42 PM #11
    MAZ Sports
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    Quote Originally Posted by natelli1 View Post
    Is every game gonna have a play?
    Natelli1, about 1 in 3 games have small play, 1 in 5 games have medium play and 1 in 12 games have large play, so about 40% of games or so will have some play. Thats alot of games. I dont think i will have time to post the 'no plays', so if there is nothing posted after 5-6 minutes after game gets halftime it is likely a no play. (but Ill try to post 'no play' if that is the case)
    Last edited by MAZ Sports; 03-16-13 at 09:14 PM. Reason: reply to Natelli1
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  12. 03-16-13 08:41 PM #12
    MAZ Sports
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    3/16 cle/sa 2H no play
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  13. 03-16-13 08:43 PM #13
    pulledclear
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    Oh Lord not another shill tout!
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  14. 03-16-13 09:18 PM #14
    MAZ Sports
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    Quote Originally Posted by pulledclear View Post
    Oh Lord not another shill tout!
    pulledclear, ya I hear you, but we are not that. Just 2 guys with phds (one in computer science/math) who have created an algorithm we think works. For obvious reasons I don't intend to expand on how/why it works.

    We're not going to do alot of chatter here, its just a repository for the track record. You can follow/believe if you wish, and even be skeptical. We're pretty confident in the system hitting 57%+ on several hundred games per year (which if you bet you know is a big deal), but a) this is our first season implementing it and b) NBA halftimes have low max bets, so having others play it might eventually make sense. Check back here in a month.
    Last edited by MAZ Sports; 03-16-13 at 09:21 PM.
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  15. 03-16-13 09:47 PM #15
    pulledclear
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    Sounds like Reemer and Macdummy jerking each other off again!
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  16. 03-16-13 10:11 PM #16
    MAZ Sports
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    Mem/Utah 2H Under 92 small play (1/3 unit)
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  17. 03-16-13 10:13 PM #17
    MAZ Sports
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    det/port no play
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  18. 03-16-13 11:46 PM #18
    MAZ Sports
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    3/16/2013
    Small 2-0 +.66
    Medium 1-1 -0.1
    Large 0-0

    3/16 sum 3-1 +0.56 unit

    YTD
    Small 4-0
    Medium 2-1
    Large 0-1
    Total 6-2 +.02 units
    Last edited by MAZ Sports; 03-16-13 at 11:47 PM. Reason: 3/16 tally
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  19. 03-16-13 11:57 PM #19
    figue
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  20. 03-17-13 12:07 PM #20
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  21. 03-17-13 01:10 PM #21
    MAZ Sports
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    3/17 Orl/Mil 2H under 104.5 small play (1/3 unit)
    MIa/Tor 2H under 97 small play (1/3 unit)
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  22. 03-17-13 01:16 PM #22
    FreddieGibbs
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    Quote Originally Posted by MAZ Sports View Post
    3/17 Orl/Mil 2H under 104.5 small play (1/3 unit)
    MIa/Tor 2H under 97 small play (1/3 unit)
    Any reason no play on Miami .5?

    Good Luck!
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  23. 03-17-13 01:21 PM #23
    MAZ Sports
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    Quote Originally Posted by FreddieGibbs View Post
    Any reason no play on Miami .5?

    Good Luck!
    we only post totals (overs/unders) here, if I didnt mention that
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  24. 03-17-13 02:41 PM #24
    figue
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    damn 0-2
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  25. 03-17-13 03:42 PM #25
    MAZ Sports
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    New York Kincks vs LA Clippers
    under 94
    small play (1/3 unit)
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  26. 03-17-13 03:45 PM #26
    MAZ Sports
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    Quote Originally Posted by figue View Post
    damn 0-2
    I know - sucks. Hope we get some higher level plays and wins in the afternoon!
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  27. 03-17-13 04:01 PM #27
    figue
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  28. 03-17-13 05:04 PM #28
    figue
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    1-2
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  29. 03-17-13 07:08 PM #29
    MAZ Sports
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    GS/Hou 2H Under 107.5 Large play 2 Units
    NO/Min 2H no play
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  30. 03-17-13 07:42 PM #30
    MAZ Sports
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    OKC/Dal Under 102.5 medium play 1 unit
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  31. 03-17-13 08:04 PM #31
    MAZ Sports
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    atl/Brook 2H Under 93 Medium play - 1 unit
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  32. 03-17-13 08:09 PM #32
    figue
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  33. 03-17-13 08:22 PM #33
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  34. 03-17-13 09:41 PM #34
    MAZ Sports
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    Sac/Lakers 2H Under 107.5 medium play (1 Unit)
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  35. 03-18-13 08:13 AM #35
    MAZ Sports
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    3/17/2013
    Small 1-2 -.396
    Medium 1-2 -1.2
    Large 1-0 +2.0

    3/17 sum 3-4 +0.404 units

    YTD
    Small 5-2
    Medium 3-3
    Large 1-1
    Total 9-6 +.424 units
    Last edited by MAZ Sports; 03-18-13 at 08:13 AM. Reason: 3/17
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