[Jay Edgar]

EDGAR LINE vs THE FINAL NUMBER
(playing all teams whose estimated win % is 5% or more higher in the Edgar line than in the closing Pinny line)

MONEYLINE PLAYS (at 1* each)
Friday, 5-6, +3.77u
(TOR, NY, MIA, BOS, SEA, PHI, ATL, MIL, SAC, GS, POR)
YTD 90-159, +21.37u
(NY and MIL just qualified at 5% OFF, unfortunately)

SAME TEAMS ATS (at 1* each)
Friday, 8-2-1, +5.90u
YTD 134-114 (.540), +14.30u


POWER RATINGS OVER LAST 10 GAMES
1 SAN 78
2 PHX 68
3 WAS 65
4 CHI 62
5 MIN 60
6 HOU 60
7 LAX 60
8 UTH 60
9 CLE 57
10 DAL 57
11 MIA 53
12 GS 52
13 BOS 52
14 DET 52
15 POR 52
16 IND 51
17 SAC 48
18 MIL 47
19 DEN 46
20 SEA 46
21 TOR 45
22 NJ 43
23 LAC 43
24 NY 40
25 ATL 39
26 NOK 36
27 ORL 34
28 CHA 31
29 MEM 31
30 PHI 26

EDGAR LINES FOR 12.16.06
(favorite-spread/ML-dog)

ORL 1.9/116 over CLE

ATL 1.7/115 over CHI

CHA 0.5/104 over BOS

MIA 8.9/380 over MEM

NY 5.2/183 over DEN

NOK 0.5/104 over DAL

SA 13.1/1047 over PHI

NJ 2.5/126 over DET

MIL 1.8/118 over MIN

SAC 2.6/127 over PHX


STRIKE PRICES
(at this ML or better, team is a play both SU and ATS under 5%-OFF method)

CLE +138, ORL +100

CHI +136, ATL +101

BOS +123, ATL +112

MEM +508, MIA -302

DEN +220, NY -153

DAL +123, NOK +113

PHI +2602, SA -629

DET +150, NJ -108

MIN +140, MIL -101

PHX +151, SAC -109

[Jay Edgar]

Neither will qualify under the 5% off method I'm sure, but I like DET and MIN both -- the Pistons especially.

[Jay Edgar]

For those who wonder (not unreasonably) whether all of these numbers are just a very-long way of saying "always play the underdog," note that the Sixers, currently at +1900, are NOT a method play. They are 4% off.

I'm pleased, and even a little proud of this.