1. #1
    Jay Edgar
    Jay Edgar's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-08-06
    Posts: 1,576

    Jay Edgar NBA, Thursday 12.14.06

    This is sort of unsatisfying, actually. Talk about spinning your wheels. Without any additional filters on it, the method told you to play every game, and it eeked out the smallest of profits. Which is mildly impressive, but wildly impractical.

    Again, my thought is: this data is good and reliable, but the best way to use it hasn't been determined yet (by me, at least.)

    EDGAR LINE vs THE FINAL NUMBER (5% or more difference in team's estimated win %l)
    MONEYLINE PLAYS (at 1* each)
    Wednesday, 4-9, +0.28u
    (MIA, CHA, WAS, IND, PHI, TOR, MIL, ATL, POR, MIN, SEA, LAX, LAC)
    YTD 84-151, +18.68u

    SAME TEAMS ATS (at 1* each)
    Wednesday, 7-6, +0.70u
    YTD 124-111 (.527), +7.45u

    POWER RATINGS OVER LAST 10 GAMES
    1 SAN 77
    2 PHX 68
    3 HOU 65
    4 CHI 63
    5 UTH 62
    6 WAS 60
    7 MIN 60
    8 LAX 58
    9 DAL 57
    10 MIA 54
    11 CLE 54
    12 DEN 54
    13 DET 52
    14 POR 49
    15 GSW 49
    16 IND 49
    17 SEA 48
    18 BOS 47
    19 MIL 46
    20 SAC 46
    21 LAC 45
    22 NJN 45
    23 TOR 43
    24 NYY 39
    25 NOK 39
    26 ORL 38
    27 ATL 37
    28 MEM 35
    29 CHA 28
    30 PHI 27

    EDGAR LINES FOR 12.14.06
    (favorite-spread/ML-dog)
    CHA 2.6/128 over ORL
    SAN 1.9/123 over NOK
    GS 1.6/112 over HOU

    STRIKE PRICES
    (at this ML or better, team is a play both SU and ATS under 5%-OFF method)
    ORL +153, CHA -110
    SAN -104, NOK +145
    HOU +132, GS +104

    GL
    Last edited by Jay Edgar; 12-14-06 at 08:02 AM.

  2. #2
    bigboydan
    bigboydan's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-10-05
    Posts: 55,425

    That Houston team scares me in this game Jay.

  3. #3
    Jay Edgar
    Jay Edgar's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-08-06
    Posts: 1,576

    Quote Originally Posted by bigboydan
    That Houston team scares me in this game Jay.
    BBD, are you afraid to be on them or against them?
    ("Both" is a perfectly reasonable answer.)

  4. #4
    bigboydan
    bigboydan's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-10-05
    Posts: 55,425

    I'm not sure what to think about this game due to the T-Mac factor. hence the reason why it scares the hell out of me jay.

  5. #5
    Jay Edgar
    Jay Edgar's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-08-06
    Posts: 1,576

    I think it's an interesting coach's game. Nellie may view Yao as HOU's only threat and devise some goofy strategy accordingly. I sort of lean toward a HOU/under type of 1st half, with who knows what happening after that.

  6. #6
    lkravovicz
    lkravovicz's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-06-06
    Posts: 83

    this luthor head guy seems to be all right, he had one game to adjust and if he's a player, he might be able to make a real difference to the outcome? but im on the other side of the pond not seeing the games too much, any comments welcome.

  7. #7
    goldengoat
    goldengoat's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-25-05
    Posts: 3,239
    Betpoints: 126

    i don't like your write up format

    not to be a jerk but I think it could be presented differently

  8. #8
    lkravovicz
    lkravovicz's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-06-06
    Posts: 83

    who is that comment addressed to?

  9. #9
    Jay Edgar
    Jay Edgar's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-08-06
    Posts: 1,576

    Quote Originally Posted by goldengoat
    i don't like your write up format

    not to be a jerk but I think it could be presented differently
    I'm all ears

  10. #10
    goldengoat
    goldengoat's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-25-05
    Posts: 3,239
    Betpoints: 126

    i am just used to seeing the spread lines next to the games you took when playing the spread and the categories/info spaced out more and not crammed together so much

    it gets a little confusing to me how you lay things out

    i guess i am used to how most websites lay things out and I am impatient and stubborn

  11. #11
    Jay Edgar
    Jay Edgar's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-08-06
    Posts: 1,576

    Appreciate the comments.

    I have been consciously trying to condense the info -- keeping it to a single screen view or two where possible. I can spread it out a bit.

    I'm just happy that people are actually having a look.

  12. #12
    bigboydan
    bigboydan's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-10-05
    Posts: 55,425

    Jay, You might not get a lot of replies, but I see your getting one hell of a lot of views.

    I read your threads everyday and match up my numbers with yours.

Top