1. #1
    Jay Edgar
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    Jay Edgar NBA, Wednesday 12.13.06

    EDGAR LINE vs THE FINAL NUMBER (5% or more ML differential)
    ML PLAYS (at 1* each)
    Tuesday, 0-3. -3.14u
    (ATL, SEA, HOU)
    YTD 80-142, +18.40u

    SAME TEAMS ATS (at 1* each)
    Monday, 1-2, -1.10Uu
    YTD 117-105 (.527), +6.75u

    I am ignoring injuries in tracking this, because nothing else is manageable logistically. But, to illustrate how far afield that can bring you, the Edgar Line on a full-strength Atlanta was 36% off from the Pinny closing line -- a record. (Edgar Line had ATL at 57% to win the game, real ML had them at 21%).

    POWER RATINGS OVER LAST 10 GAMES (rounded)
    1 SAN 74
    2 PHX 66
    3 HOU 65
    4 MIN 62
    5 CHI 60
    6 DAL 58
    7 DEN 58
    8 LAX 57
    9 UTH 56
    10 CLE 56
    11 WAS 55
    12 MIA 54
    13 DET 53
    14 LAC 51
    15 SEA 50
    16 GSW 49
    17 MIL 48
    18 IND 47
    19 SAC 46
    20 POR 46
    21 ORL 44
    22 BOS 42
    23 TOR 42
    24 NYY 40
    25 NJN 40
    26 MEM 40
    27 ATL 39
    28 NOK 39
    29 PHI 32
    30 CHA 28

    EDGAR LINES FOR 12.13.06
    (favorite-spread/ML-dog)
    MIA 2.6/128 over PHX
    CLE 8.8/373 over CHA
    WAS 5.7/201 over DEN
    IND 2.9/135 over DET
    PHI 0.1/101 over BOS
    ORL 3.8/154 over TOR
    NJ 4.8/172 over MIL
    NY 6.0/216 over ATL
    MEM 2.6/129 over POR
    SAN 5.5/192 over MIN
    CHI 6.0/214 over SEA
    DAL 5.3/187 over LAX
    LAC 3.6/147 over UTH

    STRIKE PRICES
    (at this ML or better, team is a play SU and ATS under 5% OFF method)
    PHX +153 (ha ha ha ha ha ha ha), MIA -110
    CHA +496, CLE -298
    DEN +245, WAS -167
    DET +162, IND -115
    BOS +118, PHI +116
    TOR +183, ORL -130
    MIL +204, NJ -145
    ATL +265, NY -177
    POR +153, MEM -110
    MIN +231, SAN -159
    SEA +264, CHI -177
    LAX +225, DAL -155
    UTH +176, LAC -125

    Lots to look at (and I haven't really started yet).
    Last edited by Jay Edgar; 12-13-06 at 12:30 AM.

  2. #2
    Jay Edgar
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    Numbers complete for Wednesday.

    This is going to be a fun one. Big favorites getting steamed into the stratosphere in the overnights. Good teams, teams that are playing pretty well, are going to be available with double digits or close to it.

    GL

  3. #3
    moses millsap
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    Good luck JE, a pretty crazy card.

  4. #4
    Peyton2MarvinN06
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    With D Wade out for his wisdom teeth I would imagine the Suns will be a 4-6 point favorite in that game??? Also, I like Detroit tonight against Indiana... Any thoughts on those games?

  5. #5
    bigboydan
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    That Miami team is like a voodoo curse to me guys. However, even without Wade tonight i'd take the 11 points.


    BTW... Good luck tonight Jay

  6. #6
    Peyton2MarvinN06
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    Quote Originally Posted by bigboydan
    That Miami team is like a voodoo curse to me guys. However, even without Wade tonight i'd take the 11 points.


    BTW... Good luck tonight Jay
    Wow, just saw that line! It's not everyday that you see a road team favored by double digits! It would be hard to bet against the Suns not covering that with the way they have played lately! I think I'll stay away from this one!
    BEST OF LUCK TONIGHT BBD, JAY, AND OWNED!


  7. #7
    Jay Edgar
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    Crazy all around.

    I stayed away from the huge lines other than small ML bets , hoping to hit one. 2 would be sweet.

    Then played the teams that the method points to by a reasonable margin -- WAS and PHI first, then a second tier of CHA, MIL, ATL, POR.

    (Last night's record --Atlanta 36% off -- didn't last long. MIA closed 43% off.)

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