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Picks from Mexico 1-mar-2013 :)
ATS 43-34
Totals 25-19
Big card tonight with loads of ineteresting games, letīs take a look:
Knicks at Wizards +2.5: Early action has ppl jumping all on NY, Ny have been struggling lately, they have failed to cover last 8 games, while they play an ugly 37.5% ATS as road fav, Wizards play an amazing 70% as home dog, 60.7% at home, 54.5% in conference games, I like the chances for Wizards here, my lean Wizards +2.5.
Indiana at Toronto +1.5: Indiana loss a tough one yesterday, they play 62.5% ATS on b2b, 71.4% after a loss, 80% as road fav, on the other hand Toronto is riding a 2 game losing streak, they play nice % numbers ATS in this spot, 57.6% after a loss, 58.1% in cinference games, and 57.1% as home dog, I see this game very close to call, pass.
Houston at Orlando +8.5: This shpuld be a no brainer laying the pts here, well there are 2 facts that make me walk from this game, Houston is 37% ATS after a loss and 25% ATS as road fav, I wouldnīt be surprised if they donīt cover, I will take a deeper look at 1st qtr line I may play some there.
Clippers at Cleveland +7: The suddenly hot Cavs get to square at home vs the Clippers that play 50% ATS on b2b, and 63.4% after a win, thereīs no much about Cleveland ATS % in this spot, 44.4% as home dog, 52.6% after a win are maybe the most siginificant numbers to write about, where I could see some value here is in the totals, b2b games usually are run in a slower pace, I strongly believe Clippers will try to force a slow tempo here, my lean Under 200.
GState at Boston -4: Gstate is coming from a tough loss despite Curryīs performance, they got Lee back on the roster tonight, Boston is playing at home after a road trip, I see a game too close to call here, pass.
Memphis at Miami -8: I will put it simple here, betting against any of the 2 hottest teams at the moment in nba is not smart IMO, pass, I could see more value here playing the totals, Memphis scores more away from home and they actually play a faster pace on the road, Miami likes to play a mid pace, I see this game around 190 pts, my lean Over 186.
Dallas at Nets -3.5: One of the best teams ATS Dallas visiting an inconsistent team NEts, Dallas play 62.5% ATS as road dog, 61.3% after a loss, Nets 42.9% as home fav, I see the 2 days off from Nets could be a problem vs a team that likes to play a fast pace, My lean Dallas +3.5.
Detroit at NOrleans -3.5: Hornets is riding a 2 game losing streak, Pistons come from a win at Washington, I still donīt buy it from the Pistons , only fact that makes me hesitate here is that NOrleans play an ugly 39.1% ATS in non conference games, on the ther hand Detroit plays also a bad 38.1% in non conference games, will think about it, my lean Hornets -3.5.
KINgs at SAntonio -15: DD game no play for me.
Atlanta at Suns +4: Atlanta has been a fade or no play, surprisingly thay have been playiing solid basketball lately, I am afraid that if I back them up here they will find I way to screw it up, despite playing an excellent 61.5% ATS as away fav, and Suns playin an ugly 35.7% as home dog and after a big win at Spurs plus 2 straight games in OT, I pass.
Charlotte at Utah -9: Utah is struggling lately, many injuries and poor performance have them digging a hole, this game shuould be the one to get on track, they play a nice 58.6% ATS at home while the Bobcats simply suck at this spot, my lean Utah -9.
OKC at Denver 1.5: for sure this should be an interesting match to watch, both teams excell at this spot, both are coming after a win where OKC plays 57.5% ATS vs 68.3% from Denver, OKC plays 65.7% in conference games, Denver 68.6%, OKC 62.5% in division games, Denver 54.5%, too close to call but surely great to watch. pass.
Will be back later to post final plays.
GLTA
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Originally Posted by SpreadSniper
