[Jay Edgar]

EDGAR LINE vs THE FINAL NUMBER (5% or more ML differential)
ML PLAYS (at 1* each)
Saturday, 3-6, +1.25u
(PHI, WAS, NY, IND, BOS, MEM, DEN, MIN, NOK)
YTD 76-131, +21.34u

SAME TEAMS ATS (at 1* each)
Saturday, 4-5, -1.25u
YTD 111-96 (.536), +10.20u

TEAMS RANKED BY LAST-10-GAME POWER RATING
1 SAN, 2 HOU, 3 DAL, 4 PHX, 5 MIN
6 CHI, 7 DEN, 8 CLE, 9 WAS, 10 LAC

11 DET, 12 TOR, 13 LAX, 14 SEA, 15 MIA
16 UTH, 17 IND, 18 ORL, 19 MIL, 20 ATL

21 SAC, 22 MEM, 23 NY, 24 GS, 25 BOS
26 NJ, 27 POR, 28 NOK, 29 CHA, 30 PHI

EDGAR LINES FOR 12.10.06
(favorite-pointspread/moneyline-dog)
TOR 5.7/199 over POR
CHA 1.6/113 over PHX
SEA 5.9/211 over GS
SAC 4.5/167 over ATL
LAX 2.0/121 over SAN

GL

[moses millsap]

I think it could get very ugly for those Blazers tomorrow in that spot without their top player available.

[Jay Edgar]

True, but 9 is still a lot of points. I think it should be about 4-5 with Randolph and 7 without him.

I'm not much of a tease guy, but a Bobbers/Lakers home dog special might be worth a look.

[primo_skillz]

Jay what do you think about the Hawks tonight?

[Razz]

Bobcats look good to me.

[moses millsap]

Bobcats look good to me.

I like them too as long as Brevin suits up for this one.

[Jay Edgar]

Jay what do you think about the Hawks tonight?

Interesting spot -- like them at first glance, especially at 7.5 or 8. In recent years they had one of the biggest home/road discrepancies, but they seem to be over that hump now.

Might be worth trying to figure out what SAC has been up to in their two days off. Though I am really underwhelmed by Musselman, and so would not be all that worried about it no matter what.

[Jay Edgar]

Razz, did you have the Knicks? I held my nose and laid the 2.5, and at the end I figured they'd land on the 2 that I didn't bother to buy down to.

By the way, not sure what you thought of him as a Gator, but I love David Lee as pro. Got a chance to sit through three of his summer league games as a rookie, and I haven't taken a cheap shot at Isaiah since.

[lkravovicz]

i dont understand how one could fancy bobcats against the suns, razz care to clarify for me?

i am struggling finding anyhting worthwhile tonight again, turns out blazers +8 wouldve been a great one, but nowhere was it stated that bosh wasnt gonna play. (?)

so far looks like i might just make the Formula play for a few* ..

[Jay Edgar]

No Joe Johnson for the Hawks sent the line into a spasm shortly before post. Same with Kobe playing. Fun for scalpers and middlers, but a pain in the ass to try to track closing MLs.

For purposes of tracking this stuff, we just ignore injuries -- a play qualifies based on the line, no matter how the line gets there. Not because it's right, but because it's the only rule that can be applied practically.

EDGAR LINE vs THE FINAL NUMBER (5% or more ML differential)
ML PLAYS (at 1* each)
Sunday, 2-3, +1.77u
(POR, CHA, GS, ATL, LAX)
YTD 78-134, +23.11u

SAME TEAMS ATS (at 1* each)
Sunday, 3-2, +0.90u
YTD 114-98 (.564), +11.10u