[Jay Edgar]

Tough night. (Thanks to UMass for saving it for me.)

Won’t get any easier Saturday, with 13 teams on a BxB and God knows who deciding to come to play.

EDGAR LINE vs THE FINAL NUMBER (5% or more ML differential)
ML PLAYS (at 1* each)
Friday, 1-9, -7.98u
(CHA, POR, BOS, LAC, MIN, PHI, TOR, MEM, ATL, MIA)
YTD 73-125, +20.17u

SAME TEAMS ATS (at 1* each)
Friday, 2-8, -6.30u
YTD 107-91 (.540), +11.55u

TEAMS RANKED BY LAST-10-GAME POWER RATING
1 SAN, 2 HOU, 3 DAL, 4 PHX, 5 CHI
6 DEN, 7 MIN, 8 IND, 9 DET, 10 WAS

11 TOR, 12 LAX, 13 LAC, 14 SEA, 15 ORL
16 MIA, 17 UTH, 18 MIL, 19 MEM, 20 CLE

21 ATL, 22 SAC, 23 NY, 24 GS, 25 NOK
26 NJ, 27 BOS, 28 POR, 29 CHA, 30 PHI

EDGAR LINES FOR 12.09.06
(favorite-pointspread/moneyline-dog)
ORL 7.9/325 over PHI
WAS 2.8/132 over HOU
NY 5.5/191 over MIL
CLE 5.0/178 over IND
NJ 5.4/189 over BOS
MEM 4.3/166 over LAC
DAL 6.1/221 over DEN
CHI 5.6/194 over MIN
GS 5.2/182 over NOK

STRIKE PRICES FOR 5%-OFF METHOD
(Under 5%-OFF method, ML at this price or better calls for a play on that team both SU and ATS)
PHI +420, ORL -261
HOU +157, WAS -113
MIL +230, NY -158
IND +213, CLE -149
BOS +227, NJ -157
LAC +197, MEM -140
DEN +269, DAL -181
MIN +235. CHI -161
NOK +219, GS -152

GL

[Razz]

Well, the game that really interests me is the NYK (gulp). Depends on how NCAAs are going as to whether or not I play them, but I would like to get your thoughts anyway. Good luck bud.

[lkravovicz]

Man, I am having trouble seeing any solid picks tonight. Feels like everything has about equal chance to go either way.

[Jay Edgar]

I'm so tired of being on the Knicks while they soil themselves at home. I'll probably have something on it, but without much enthusiasm. If you've read anything suggesting that they put their extra day off to good use, I'd love to see it.

The play that jumps out at me is MIN. Bulls have been getting fat and happy on some woeful opposition, while the Wolves have been grinding out decent results against the elite. They've got three road wins under their belt already and I give them a decent chance to get one more here. 7 or 8 is too many for just about any east team to be giving any west team, IMO.

[Jay Edgar]

Minor bounce-back night on the ML method, with every game at least 5% off. Once again, the two teams more than 15% off were losers (IND, MEM). Two +300 winners and the one I really liked independently (MIN) never in doubt. Webber missed a layup for the Sixers that would have made for a great night.

EDGAR LINE vs THE FINAL NUMBER (5% or more ML differential)
ML PLAYS (at 1* each)
Saturday, 3-6, +1.25u
(PHI, WAS, NY, IND, BOS, MEM, DEN, MIN, NOK)
YTD 76-131, +21.34u

SAME TEAMS ATS (at 1* each)
Saturday, 4-5, -1.25u
YTD 111-96 (.536), +10.20u

[lkravovicz]

awesome JE, i got inspired and made the following west over east plays:

2* min +8
2* lac -2.5
1.5* min-chi U189

3-0!