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Picks from Mexico 13-feb-2013 :)
ATS 36-26
Totals 23-14
Letīs take a look at todays card:
Atlanta at Orlando +3: Atlanta is a fade or no play for me, even though they have a nice 54.5% ATS as away fav the Hawks seem to find trhe way to screw everything up, thereīs no way I feel any good neither betting Orlando, pass.
Spurs at Cleveland +7: We know already what is capable to do Spurs without their stars, on the other hand Cleveland has shown no defense at all lately, with Spurs playing a nice 73.9% ATS in nonconference games, 58.6% away from home, while Cavs play an ugly 37.5% ATS at home, My lean here Spurs -7.
Bobcats at Indiana -10.5: DD game , even I expect Indiana to win at least by 15 no play for me.
Denver at Nets -2.5: Very interesting game here, Denver plays great on b2b 63.6% ATS, and 63% ATS after a loss, problem here and a great spot to fade them is that they were shorthanded yesterday and gave everything they had to try t win the game, they are playing their 4th in 5 and is the last away from home. Nets have some good stats to back them up 53.8% ATS after a win. My lean Nets -2.5.
Wizards at Detroit -2: This is another intriguing game, wizards come from an easy win vs Cleveland while Detroit lost easy to Hornets, Washington has become one of the best ATS , I like the spot here for the Pistons, there are 2 things that will make me think more about it, Piston have already beaten Wizards by 9 and 32 pts, Pistons play an ugly 33.3%ATS as home fav. My lean Pistons -2. Also see good value here playing the UNder 191.
Toronto at Knicks -9: toronto owns an amazing 81.8% ATS on b2b, they are really motivated now, only thing that concerns me here is the porr 25% ATS in division games, and the fact they are facing a well rested NY team that play 66.7% ATS after 2-3 days off, I see this game being decided by 9 or 10, too close to call.
Chicago at Boston -2: Question here is , has Cīs lost their momentum, they are banged up with injuries and Bulls play way better ATS away from home, a nice 62.5% ATS as raod dog, and 58.3% away from home makes my lean Bulls +2, also like here the totals, mhy lean Over 181.5.
Utah at Minnesota -2.5: Utah is a fade or no play material away from home, and playing on b2b after a huge win for them vs OKc this spot might be a flat one, My lean Minnesota -2.5.
Portland at Hornets -5: This seems to be a rough spot for Portland on b2b afer a heartbreaking lose to Miami last night, playing their last of 6 away from home, and vs NOrleams that have been playing way better lately, only thing that concerns me here is the fact that Hornest is playing their first at home after a 3 game road trip, My lean Hornets -5.
76ers at Bucks -5.5: Rough spot for the 76ers, first away from hom eafter a 8 game stand actually from last 14 12 have been at home for them, they play 38.1% ATS away from home, and 33.3% as away dog, Bucks have been struggling lately I see them getting into track today, my lean Bucks -5.5. I see a good value here on th UNder 194.5
Kings at Dallas -10: Even though I see Dallas destroying the Kings that play 4th in 5, and b2b, itīs a DD game no play for me. Will think about it may break my rule in this game, also like the totals here leaning Under 209.5.
Houston at Clippers -10.5: DD game no play.
Will be back shortly to post final plays
GLTA
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Originally Posted by altieriflyers
Hope to see you after the break.
mitch51 gave Artieaa 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.
