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Friday NBA - 12/1
YTD 14-16 -3.11
I must say I am a little disappointed in my start to the NBA Season. Had some bad beats and some bad decisions. I take an Under the day Kobe goes for 28 in the 3rd....Still early in the year so lets try to slowly turn this around....
1. Charlotte vs Washington Over 201 (+102)
2. Milwaukee vs Phoenix Over 216 (-104)
Last edited by austintx05; 12-01-06 at 10:31 AM.
Can Charlotte really score that many points is what i'm worried about bud.
That Mil/Phx total is currently 218.5 at Pinnacle. I happen to like the under in that one, but wish you luck anyway.
Illusion - I purchased 216 around 10:00 am this morning. I think Phoenix has had 5 Under results at home and I really see both teams running the floor here. I expect a game in the 230's.
BBD - It is a concern for me, but I think Washington will benefit enough from Charlotte's poor fg defense. Spread is a little too close for comfort, but I like the Over in both of these games.
These games fit a " total system" I developed last year.
Very simple and I use it for a guideline.
Ex - Charlotte/Washington opened up at O/U 199
Average offensive points scored by both teams is 190.7
Line opened up 8.3 points higher than what both score on average combined. I go by the opening line only.
Now of course I always take into account your 4 in 5 days, O/U teams...., but I think if I go back so far this year my totals have been hitting more so than ATS.
Now I need to go knock on wood...
199 is combined points allowed washington/charlotte, matching opening number.
So, is your system is to play over when line is signifcantly HIGHER than combined off output?
Last edited by nosuzieno; 12-01-06 at 04:02 PM.
I think you might be confused.
The opening O/U for that game was 199.
The combined offensive points for both teams is 190.7
So the fact that these 2 teams score on average a combined total of 190.7 ppg it would make sense to take the Under seeing as the O/U is 8.3 points higher than what they average.
The reverse goes for unders. Teams combine for 190+ and the total is set @ 178.5. I look for a 7+ point variance here.
Originally Posted by austintx05
YTD 14-16 -3.11
I must say I am a little disappointed in my start to the NBA Season. Had some bad beats and some bad decisions. I take an Under the day Kobe goes for 28 in the 3rd....Still early in the year so lets try to slowly turn this around....
1. Charlotte vs Washington Over 201 (+102)
2. Milwaukee vs Phoenix Over 216 (-104)
You're right, I was confused b/c as you can see, you posted playing OVER on that game. Thanks for the explanation!BBD - It is a concern for me, but I think Washington will benefit enough from Charlotte's poor fg defense. Spread is a little too close for comfort, but I like the Over in both of these games
Last edited by nosuzieno; 12-01-06 at 05:00 PM.
88-95 already and the 3rd quarter is not even over yet. great play
Slowly gettin back...
2-0 +2.02
YTD 16-16 -1.09
Both these games went over rather easy.
Very nice rebound bro
yes very nice austin. good luck on your weekend
Excellent work austin.
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