1. #1
    Italy
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    Dallas @ Portland

    I don't have much time to study this game.. just had a look at some stats..ok stats don't help always..but I think you have to check them to take a decision..

    so..


    ATS Team Trends

    Record DAL POR
    All Games 24-20-0 20-22-2
    After A Win 9-9-0 9-12-1
    After A Loss 14-11-0 10-10-1
    As Home Team 11-10-0 11-10-2
    As Away Team 13-10-0 9-12-0
    As Favorite 10-8-0 5-11-1
    As Underdog 14-12-0
    15-11-1
    As Home Favorite 8-6-0 5-9-1
    As Home Underdog 3-4-0 6-1-1
    As Away Favorite 2-2-0 0-2-0
    As Away Underdog 11-8-0 9-10-0
    No Rest 5-5-0 6-5-0
    1 Day Off 13-11-0
    7-12-1
    2-3 Days Off 5-3-0 6-5-1
    4+ Days Off 0-1-0 --
    Conference Games 14-12-0 12-11-2
    Non-Conference Games 10-8-0 8-11-0
    Division Games 4-4-0 4-1-1
    Non-Division Games 20-16-0
    16-21-1

    http://www.teamrankings.com/

    furthermore 4th game in 6 days for portland...dallas play bettere lately...


    so dallas could have some chances..but it's a risky bet I think..portland is strong at home..

    anyway I think I just became a mavericks fan so my mind could be clouded...so I opened this thread to know your opinion...I will came back this evening(italy evening) to check if someone left some thoughts..thanks



    actualy I am leaning dallas +2,5..
    Last edited by Italy; 01-29-13 at 09:49 AM.
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  2. #2
    Italy
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    ok...let's have a look at scoring stats:

    dalla played 2 of the last 3 games at home..portland too

    points in paint per game: last 3: dallas 49.3 portland 35.3

    percent of points from 2 pointers: last 3: dallas 68.9 portland 64.8

    percent of points from 3 pointers : last 3 dalls 17 portland 16.9

    percent of pints from free throws: last 2 dallas 13.7 portland 18.3


    defensive rebound % last 3 : dallas 82.9 portland 72.7

  3. #3
    SBRMAN23
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    I like Dallas also Bol

  4. #4
    Nhan4ever
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    Take the home team -3

  5. #5
    Spoon19xx
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    Portland is not going to win this game

  6. #6
    PAULYPOKER
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  7. #7
    PAULYPOKER
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    Tails it is,

    Portland is the play..............

  8. #8
    Italy
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    Does anyone know where is the public?on portland?thanks

  9. #9
    Zii
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    Quote Originally Posted by Italy View Post
    Does anyone know where is the public?on portland?thanks
    68% Dallas, 32% Portland - according to Vegas Insider

  10. #10
    Jeff Grant
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    Line movement scares me a bit in this contest - don't really think the Blazers should be favored - something to watch the rest of the day



  11. #11
    PAULYPOKER
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    Always use the possible rig factor when capping games or you will be consistently buried.........
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    HardCore gave PAULYPOKER 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  12. #12
    noveggies
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    I like the mavs to win it SU, but since they are getting 3.5, and I don't trust myself, I'm just going to sit it out and then bitch to my wife about it when the Mavs win by 10.

  13. #13
    aireent777
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    Good job man. Dallas is the play.

  14. #14
    Italy
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    Thanks i am on my phone...so the public on dallas but the line moves against dallas?this should scare people who back dallas..right?

  15. #15
    Nhan4ever
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    All in on over Lakers tonight (194.5)

  16. #16
    PAULYPOKER
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    Quote Originally Posted by Nhan4ever View Post
    All in on over Lakers tonight (194.5)
    Serenity now................

  17. #17
    Italy
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    Quote Originally Posted by aireent777 View Post
    Good job man. Dallas is the play.

    Hi aireent777! I always pay attention to your thoughts!

  18. #18
    PAULYPOKER
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    Bang!








    Quote Originally Posted by PAULYPOKER View Post
    BoomStick!
    Quote Originally Posted by PAULYPOKER View Post
    Tails it is,

    Portland is the play..............

  19. #19
    HardCore
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    Quote Originally Posted by PAULYPOKER View Post
    Bang!









    BoomStick!

  20. #20
    Gnutti
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    that was close

  21. #21
    Italy
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    glad if someone tailed dallas +2.5 see you tomorrow

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