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Picks from Mexico 26-jan-2013 :)
ATS record 23-15
Totals 11-3
Letīs take a look at todays card:
Cavs at Toronto: Even toronto is 3rd ATS as home fav (63.6%) 4th ATS in conference games 61.9% ATS, and 2nd as home team ATS 65%, I see a game being decided by 7 - 8 pts, prefer to walk away.
Knicks at 76ers: some pll may think this is a no brainer and lay the pts, Knicks is only 46.2% ATS as road fav vs 66.7% ATS from 76ers as home dogs, Knicks is 50% in division games, 76ers is 54.5, whatr concerns me here is teh fact that 76ers had 3days off and they may come asleep (Dallas anyone?) prefer to sit and watch.
Bulls at Wizards: this game has real value for me in the total, both teams run a similar pace surprisingly specially for the Bulls, both allow more than 95 per game, My lean Over 185.
Wolves at Bobcats: Wolves are not getting respect here against the worst team on NBA, Wolves own every %ATS category you name here, I see them winning by 6, lean Wolves +2.5.
Nets at Huston: Houston played really well yesterday or I may say N.Orleans was in a letdown spot? donīt know, here is the deal line is at 4 and I see this game being decided y 3 or 4 pts, too close to call, pass.
G.State at Bucks: Value here is the similar pace and defense both teams play, I really donīt see this game going all the way up to 208, actually I see this game under 200, my lean UNder 208.5
Suns at Spurs: I donīt play DD
Kings at Denver: same no DD
Indiana at Utah -2: This game is really hard to find a clear path for either team, though will be fun to watch, the best team at Home ATS, vs the second best defense in the league. Pass.
Clippers at Portland +1: This is amazing I see Clippers winning by 6, have to think about this, cause lot of money will be going to Clipps for sure, my lean Clippers -1.
Will be back in 1 hr to post final plays
GLTA!!!!
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Originally Posted by nappa
