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Picks from Mexico 23-jan-2013
ATS record 23-15
Totals record 7-3
Here is a lil about today´s card:
Atlanta at charlotte +3.5: Originally line was at 5 , teh short handed Hawks visit the Bobcats, while charlotte is really bad the hawks are struggling with injuries and low performance, I would fade the Hawks if were not the bobcats, I don´t feel good betting money on them, will leave this alone.
Toronto at Miami: I don´t like to play games in DD, though I see a very good value here with the total for the game, Miami is scoring 105.8 at home , both teams run a similar pace plus the Raptors are not good on def away from home, My lean here Over 195.5
Detroit at Chicago: Pistons is 44.4% ATS on b2b, we all know how bad Cicago has been ATS at home playing a porr 22% ATS, even with those numbers I still see Chicago winning by 7 line is at 6.5 too close to make a call, I´ll pass.
Nets at Minnesota: Can´t see any clear path either on the ATS or the Totals, even I like the way Nets have been playing I still don´t trust them enough to make a play here, Pass.
LAkers At Memphis: Only 4pts do I have to lay vs the Lakers?, hmmm, First gotta be sure Memphis is not falling into pieces with all kind of distractions. Leave this alone.
Denver at Houston: how fast Vegas and ppl forgot that Houston was riding a longgggg losing streak, now thay are favorites, I know they play home where they have been playing a nice 61.9% ATS, have the gut feeling here that they will lose vs a better rounded team in the Nuggets, plus Denver is playing a nice 65.5% ATS in conference games, My lean Denver +3.
Hornets at Spurs: Hornets is playing their best basketball of the season, they are playing a great 68.4% ATS as a dog on the road, Spurs is a team that if they want they can blowout almost every team, question here is tonight´s is playing the high octane Spurs or the team we saw last monday vs 76ers.? I prefer to find out without putting money on it, I´ll pass.
Wizards at Utah: fthis game faces the best team ATS on the road Wizards 68.4% ATS and the best at home 70.6% Jazz, washington plays a superb 68.4 % ATS as road dog while Utah a nice 61.5% as home fav. being honest this game is too close to make a call, though I like the pace both teams use and the points both teams allow, My lean here under 194.
Suns at Sacramento: Ats seems as close as possible I see difference between these 2 team of no more than 1.5 points, what a I like here is the line at 203, even though both teams allow more than 100 pts per game away and at home, I see 2 teams playing a slower pace that I would imagine, My lean here UNder 203.
Indiana at Portland: Ohhh boy here comes the due factor(blazers), both teams play well inside, too much facts to conclude that line is too close to make a call, pass.
OKC at GState: Oklahoma on b2b, Big win yesterday, playing a team that is well rested and like to play a fast pace might be a factor for OKC and they could find themselves tired at the beggining of 4th qtr, .....despite of all those factors I don´t feel like betting against the best team in basketball at the moment. I´ll pass.
Will be back in 1 hr to post final plays.
GLTA
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Originally Posted by NittanyLionsFan
