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Picks from Mexico 8-jan-2013 :)
Overall record 16-6
I took som time today to write a bit about every game final plays will come later on:
Miami at Indiana +2.5 : This match appears equal on paper with a slight edge for the home team, in confrence games Indiana is hitting a 50% ATS vs 47.1% from Heat, what I like more here is the poor 33.3 % from the Heat as road favorites vs 50% (2games) from INdiana as Dogs. I see Indiana winning SU this one or maybe losing for a bucket. Lean Indiana +2.5
Nets at 76ers -1.5: A nice spot for 76ers here facing a very unpredictable Nets team here, while Nets is only 20% ATS with 2 days off vs 57.1% from 76ers with same 2 days off, problem comes when we match Nets 40% ATS as road dog vs the poor 36.4% from 76ers as Home favorites. I see a small advantage for the 76ers here, though personally I will leave this game alone.
Atlanta at Minnesota +1: This is basically a PK play, what I love here is Minnesota 50% ATS after 2 days rest vs the ridiculous 0% (0-6) from Atlanta after 2 days off, the only edge concerning me is that Wolves are 33.3% ATS as home dogs vs 62.5% from Hawks as road fav. Do not be surprised if this game goes to OT, lean Atlanta -1.
Suns at Bucks -6: This should be a no brainer picking Bucks at home, thoug there are 2 things that concerned me a lot, 1st.- coach change in Milwuakee and 2nd the low 10% from Bucks ATS in non conference games (1-9), will leave this game alone.
Lakers at Houston -7: You gotta love all good stats favoring Houston vs Laker so - so numbers, what concerns me is that this could be a let down spot for the Rockets, even though I see 35% more chances from Houston to cover will think a lil more before pulling the trigger. Lean Houston -7
Hope this can help a bit to make your picks.
Cya later!!!
GLTA
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Originally Posted by Italy
