1. 01-07-13 11:14 PM #1
    sando
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    Miami to bury the public tomorrow...?

    Sportsbook Spy - 98% of the early money coming in on Heat ATS.

    Vegas Insider - 97% of the early money coming in on the Heat ATS.

    Sports Insights - 82% of the early money coming in on the Heat ATS.


    I smell a huge public burial tomorrow, hmmm...?
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  2. 01-07-13 11:15 PM #2
    bjb7223
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    yes
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  3. 01-07-13 11:17 PM #3
    lunchbawks
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  4. 01-07-13 11:17 PM #4
    RavensFan2k3
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    Do you guys think the under is a safer play?
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  5. 01-07-13 11:24 PM #5
    sando
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    Quote Originally Posted by RavensFan2k3 View Post
    Do you guys think the under is a safer play?
    Haven't done any analysis myself, however traditionally Miami and Indiana playing out physical defence oriented games so the under would have to be seriously considered.

    Personally I'm loving all this money on the Heat. If the Pacers get to +4 I am seriously considering pounding it, and will also be taking the m/l.
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  6. 01-08-13 12:02 AM #6
    easyliving
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    Not sure why public is on Miami here. Big game at home for Indy considering Heat eliminated them last year and the home crowd will be buzzing for this 1. Hibbert will dominate inside and have a big game. Also worth mentioning line is moving down and is at 2.5 at some places. Just the revenge factor alone would make me think public would be on Indiana. Nonetheless Pacers ML is my play here.
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  7. 01-08-13 12:10 AM #7
    vasilli07
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    Hibbert is still very inconsistent.
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  8. 01-08-13 12:29 AM #8
    jazzyj7
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    This is the type of shit that makes me think they know the outcome of games before they're played. I'm not even talking about the games being rigged, but Ouija board type knowledge. The line should be Miami -5, not -2.5
    Last edited by jazzyj7; 01-08-13 at 12:36 AM.
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  9. 01-08-13 12:37 AM #9
    sando
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    Quote Originally Posted by jazzyj7 View Post
    This is the type of shit that makes me think they know the outcome of games before they're played. The line should be Miami -5, not -2.5
    Why on earth would the line be Miami -5? If anything I think it opened a tad too high, I set this one at Miami -1.5 to -2. Have you watched the Heat play lately mate? They are not playing well by any means and are living on reputation ATM. Indiana on the other hand is playing their best ball of the season and are 12-3 at home, whilst Miami is 7-6 on the road. No chance should the Heat be -5 here.
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  10. 01-08-13 12:44 AM #10
    shimeon40
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    this is a given...ATTENTION! ACHTUNG! ..whatever..vegas will let public have this one with miami..nba integrity shot to bits after today..Shovel it on Miami..ML ..points..whatever you can get.
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  11. 01-08-13 12:45 AM #11
    jazzyj7
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    Quote Originally Posted by sando View Post
    Why on earth would the line be Miami -5? If anything I think it opened a tad too high, I set this one at Miami -1.5 to -2. Have you watched the Heat play lately mate? They are not playing well by any means and are living on reputation ATM. Indiana on the other hand is playing their best ball of the season and are 12-3 at home, whilst Miami is 7-6 on the road. No chance should the Heat be -5 here.
    This is just like the clippers, Utah line. Clippers-2.5 and clippers won by 2. Think about it from a linesmaker point of view. Any line with HEAT-2.5 the public is gonna be on the heat hard, they know that. At -5, -4, The public would still prob. be on the Heat. It's just a fishy line.
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  12. 01-08-13 12:47 AM #12
    shimeon40
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    Get on it JazzyJ..vegas ant you to think sus..miami goig to burn rubber..not $$$
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  13. 01-08-13 12:49 AM #13
    shimeon40
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    NBA need to showcase a team..miami it is is after integrity issues with okc /san antonio yesterday..read the fukkin script you guys
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  14. 01-08-13 12:51 AM #14
    davopnz
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    is that public money or big time punters though? how many of your average joe bettors bet the day before the game?
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  15. 01-08-13 12:56 AM #15
    Sport_Fish
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    Quote Originally Posted by davopnz View Post
    is that public money or big time punters though? how many of your average joe bettors bet the day before the game?
    I'd say about 5% of the average joe bets the night before.

    Too early to read wht % of bets will be on Miami - gotta wait till tomorrow.

    Heat ml will hit, not sure about spread. They won't start this road trip with a loss.
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  16. 01-08-13 12:57 AM #16
    face
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    pacers money too sharp for me, they are still just the pacers. GL staying away
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  17. 01-08-13 12:59 AM #17
    shimeon40
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    sports fish is a good judge usually
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  18. 01-08-13 01:01 AM #18
    sando
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sport_Fish View Post
    I'd say about 5% of the average joe bets the night before.

    Too early to read wht % of bets will be on Miami - gotta wait till tomorrow.

    Heat ml will hit, not sure about spread. They won't start this road trip with a loss.
    Wow you sound confident, good luck with that mate, for me the Pacers m/l is (probably) THE play tomorrow...
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  19. 01-08-13 01:02 AM #19
    bjb7223
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    Quote Originally Posted by shimeon40 View Post
    NBA need to showcase a team..miami it is is after integrity issues with okc /san antonio yesterday..read the fukkin script you guys
    I was thinking the same thing. they would be a play without all these upsets on monday. fade them and you'll probably be buried tomorrow
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  20. 01-08-13 01:11 AM #20
    jazzyj7
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    Sometimes its a freebie(Heat) to get people off trends and patterns. More times than not, when it's a fishy line, its a fishy line to bury the public. I'm on Pacers.
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  21. 01-08-13 01:16 AM #21
    suicidekings
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    Quote Originally Posted by sando View Post
    Sportsbook Spy - 98% of the early money coming in on Heat ATS.

    Vegas Insider - 97% of the early money coming in on the Heat ATS.

    Sports Insights - 82% of the early money coming in on the Heat ATS.


    I smell a huge public burial tomorrow, hmmm...?
    If you look at it a couple of hours after the line comes out, who do you think is betting then? Look at it tomorrow 2 hours before tip and then you have a more meaningful result.
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  22. 01-08-13 01:33 AM #22
    blanco
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    pacers Q1 and H1 worth considering as well
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  23. 01-08-13 02:27 AM #23
    shimeon40
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    I'm on MIAMI HEAT!
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  24. 01-08-13 02:30 AM #24
    humble
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    its getting there Sando. give a couple more hours, spread will move to 4 soon.
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  25. 01-08-13 03:31 AM #25
    ninos
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    it's the same handicap they also gave during that playoff game where public keeps pounding miami but still miami covered even without bosh and with granger in that lineup.
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  26. 01-08-13 03:51 AM #26
    Italy
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    probably I'll bet on indiana more the points (+3,5 here)
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  27. 01-08-13 04:12 AM #27
    reppin_the_847
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    Shitty teams at home should be given more points against the Heat IMO. But Miami's track record on the road against these types of teams is not too good. Look at their games @ Detroit & Milwaukee a couple weeks ago, lol.
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  28. 01-08-13 06:25 AM #28
    sando
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    Quote Originally Posted by reppin_the_847 View Post
    Shitty teams at home should be given more points against the Heat IMO. But Miami's track record on the road against these types of teams is not too good. Look at their games @ Detroit & Milwaukee a couple weeks ago, lol.
    Indiana is a shitty team? Do you even watch the NBA?
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  29. 01-08-13 07:15 AM #29
    JM92
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    Indiana will turn the ball over about 1 million times tommorow. I cant agree with you here Sando. The Heat just have not give one for most of the season. I was on them against OKC when lots of people said they weren't playing well and bam, they turned on the defensive intensity and won the game throughout. Everyone though Memphis was going to hammer the Heat inside, but Randolph and Gasol weren't big factors in that game, not even close. I don't trust Hibbert to take advantage of Bosh or whoever else the Heat put on a him and James can hang with West and will deny him the post if needed (that is if they do match-up). I think Miami will come to play and if that happens and they put their pressure on, only chance for Indy is praying they are on fire from 3.
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  30. 01-08-13 07:17 AM #30
    shimeon40
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    i think miami are coming to burn the house DOWN!
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  31. 01-08-13 07:27 AM #31
    Finch Dinero
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    This has Trap game written all over it
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  32. 01-08-13 07:28 AM #32
    Finch Dinero
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    I've been burned by Miami in so many similar spots like tonights.....I'm taking a pass.
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  33. 01-08-13 07:42 AM #33
    BabyMatrix27
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    Indiana 12-3 at home! All over the +4 but I would buy hook... Miami is not as good as they should be lately!
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  34. 01-08-13 09:10 AM #34
    HardCore
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    ok ppl go ahead n play that ind+3 lol gl and go ahead ppl play the mia-3 lol gl both these teams are suspect but at the end of the day if mia comes to play n make a statment ind loses by 10+
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  35. 01-08-13 09:31 AM #35
    Doeboy22
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    Im square tonight like last night!!
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