1. #1
    Jay Edgar
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    Jay Edgar NBA, Wednesday 11.22.06

    EDGAR LINE ML vs THE FINAL NUMBER (5% or more differential)

    ML PLAYS (at 1* each)
    Tuesday, 2-2, 0.00u (PHI, MEM, NOK, DEN)
    YTD 41-64, +5.15u

    SAME TEAMS ATS (at 1* each)
    Tuesday, 3-1, +1.95u
    YTD, 57-48, +6.60u

    TEAMS RANKED BY LAST-10-GAMES POWER RATING
    1 UTH, 2 GS, 3 SAN, 4 DAL, 5 HOU
    6 LAC, 7 DET, 8 BOS, 9 PHX, 10 NY

    11 SAC, 12 LAX, 13 CLE, 14 SEA, 15 NOK
    16 ORL, 17 MEM, 18 DEN, 19 WAS, 20 CHI

    21 ATL, 22 POR, 23 PHI, 24 TOR, 25 IND
    26 MIL, 27 NJ, 28 MIN, 29 CHA, 30 MIA

    EDGAR LINES for 11.22.06
    ORL 6.2/227 over ORL
    CHA 0.6/105 over BOS
    TOR 4.3/165 over CLE
    DET 5.6/192 over ATL
    SAN 10.1/511 over MIA
    MIL 4.5/167 over PHI
    MIN 1.8/117 over NY
    HOU 6.4/243 over WAS
    PHX 5.5/192 over NOK
    POR 4.5/167 over NJ
    SAC 2.9/135 over UTH
    GS 7.8/320 over DEN
    LAC 4.1/163 over SEA
    Last edited by Jay Edgar; 11-22-06 at 12:47 AM.

  2. #2
    Jay Edgar
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    Numbers complete for Wednesday.

    I like TOR and I would love them beyond anything else this year if they'd been given one more day off since returning from their road trip. They've played very well against tough opponents and should be hungry. Yes their home court ad is weak, but it should not take much to topple the fat and happy Cavs, who have been winning unimpressively against weak opposition. CLE's last six games have come against teams that I ranked like this at the time:

    28, 27, 23, 27, 21, 20

    GL
    Last edited by Jay Edgar; 11-22-06 at 01:03 PM.

  3. #3
    Jay Edgar
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    STRIKE PRICES
    (At what price will a team be 5% off the Edgar ML?)
    (Note that these calculations are blind to injury issues)

    IND at +274 or better
    CHA at +109 or better
    TOR at -141 or better
    ATL at +227 or better
    MIA at +740 or better
    PHI at +194 or better
    NY at +135 or better
    WAS at +291 or better
    NOK at +127 or better
    POR at -143 or better
    UTH at +158 or better
    GS at -261 or better
    SEA at +188 or better

  4. #4
    Jay Edgar
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    IND is 4% off at +260
    CHA is 3% off at +100
    TOR is 18% off at +121
    ATL is 6% off at +250
    MIA is 3% off at +600
    PHI is 13% off at +300
    NY is 13% off at +187
    WAS is 2% off at +260
    NOK is 14% off at +385
    POR is 22% off at +143
    UTH is 5% off at +160
    GS is 18% off at -142
    SEA is 6% off at +200

  5. #5
    Jay Edgar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jay Edgar
    STRIKE PRICES
    (At what price will a team be 5% off the Edgar ML?)
    (Note that these calculations are blind to injury issues)

    IND at +274 or better (no play)
    CHA at +109 or better (WINNER but a no play- did qualify earlier in day)
    TOR at -141 or better ATS/SU WINNER
    ATL at +227 or better ATS WINNER
    MIA at +740 or better (no play)
    PHI at +194 or better ATS WINNER
    NY at +135 or better ATS/SU loser
    WAS at +291 or better (no play)
    NOK at +127 or better ATS/SU LOSER
    POR at -143 or better ATS/SU WINNER
    UTH at +158 or better ATS/SU WINNER
    GS at -261 or better ATS/SU LOSER
    SEA at +188 or better ATS/SU WINNER
    I've been playing both ATS and SU -- tonight was a night to be happy to have the points.
    Last edited by Jay Edgar; 11-23-06 at 12:52 AM.

  6. #6
    moses millsap
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    Utah is playing insane at the moment and the Kings are the complete opposite, totally useless.

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