Originally Posted by
dosogood
Here I`ll be posting plays for basketball player prop bets for NBA and Europe basketball.
I`m betting player props for a while with a better success than team bets. During this period I realized some facts about it;
*For any over bet ( pts-rb-ast-blk ) there might be some unplanned actions during the game which will blow your bet ( believe me it happens more often than u would expect )..such as;
- early large lead in the game ,less minutes than usual
- early foul problem
- player injury during the game
*For any under bet (pts-rb-ast-blk ) all i can think of for an unplanned action is overtime.
When you have an under bet and if any of the `for any over bet`scenarios happen, it is a huge +EV...
Saying this, I`ll be focusing on only `under` player prop bets here...
One more thing about player prop bets is; books almost always open the lines around player averages with the exception of missing key player.. So here comes the most important part ` focusing on defenders ` . I`m about to complete a full defender list with some nice stats...
Have a wonderful year everyone..
If u would like to add or discuss anything about this system,please do... I`ll be posting plays as soon as I decide what bankroll system i will use...