1. #1
    Jay Edgar
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    Jay Edgar NBA, Tuesday 11.21.06

    EDGAR LINE ML vs THE FINAL NUMBER (5% or more differential)
    ML PLAYS (at 1* each)
    Monday 2-5, -2.56u
    YTD 39-62, +5.15u

    SAME TEAMS ATS (at 1* each)
    Monday 4-3, +0.95u
    YTD, 54-47, +4.75u

    TEAMS RANKED BY LAST-10-GAMES POWER RATING
    1 UTH, 2 GS, 3 LAC, 4 SAN, 5 HOU
    6 BOS, 7 PHX, 8 DAL, 9 NY, 10 SAC

    11 CLE, 12 DET, 13 SEA, 14 NOK, 15 CHI
    16 WAS, 17 ORL, 18 LAX, 19 DEN, 20 MEM

    21 MIL, 22 PHI, 23 ATL, 24 POR, 25 TOR
    26 NJ, 27 IND, 28 MIN, 29 CHA, 30 MIA



    EDGAR LINES FOR 11.21.06
    PHI 2.3/124 over DET
    IND 3.7/150 over MIL
    CLE 6.5/246 over MEM
    NOK 6.4/238 over MIA
    DAL 2.9/134 over WAS
    DEN 4.7/172 over CHI

    counting the home-road designations:
    LAX 2.5/127 over LAC
    on a neutral court:
    LAC 2.3/129 over LAX
    Last edited by Jay Edgar; 11-21-06 at 12:09 AM.

  2. #2
    moses millsap
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    I wish I could grab a few more points with the Wiz tomorrow, because Dallas flat out sucks when Anthony Johnson is running the point for them.

  3. #3
    Jay Edgar
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    Numbers final for Tuesday. Once again on Monday, all games were priced at least 5% off the Edgar ML -- and once again, the larger gaps struck out, while the smaller gaps made money. Going to let it play out for another couple of weeks, then break it down and try to figure it out.

    Overnight for Tuesday

    No ML on DET-PHI or MIL-IND

    MEM is 13% off at +520
    NOK is 4% off at -205
    WAS is 8% off at +178 (this opened as high as +215)
    DEN is 3% off at -155

    counting it as a neutral court game,
    LAC is 3% off at -118

    GL
    Last edited by Jay Edgar; 11-21-06 at 12:25 AM.

  4. #4
    Jay Edgar
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    Quote Originally Posted by OWNED
    I wish I could grab a few more points with the Wiz tomorrow, because Dallas flat out sucks when Anthony Johnson is running the point for them.

    It's been dropping steadily -- might want to get what you can now.

  5. #5
    moses millsap
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    I probably will not play it then. If I'm backing a road dog in this range, I'd rather get 6.5 or better than a 5 or 4.5, so if the line stays steady, the only play I'd make is on the Wiz ML. Agree with your rating on NOK; I think that line is relatively low on the surface.

  6. #6
    Jay Edgar
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    1045am EST

    PHI is 11% off at +120
    MIL is 5% off at +178
    MEM is 14% off at +535
    NOK is 6% off at -186
    WAS is 7% off at +175
    DEN is 6% off at -140

    counting it as a neutral court game,
    LAC is 5% off at -110

  7. #7
    bigboydan
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    whats the status of AI tonight? I heard he was suppose to have a tooth fixed, and might miss this game.

  8. #8
    Jay Edgar
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    Quote Originally Posted by bigboydan
    whats the status of AI tonight? I heard he was suppose to have a tooth fixed, and might miss this game.
    Dunno, but money's coming in strong on Philly (down to -101 on the ML), so I'm guessing that he was at the shootaround and claims to be good to go.

  9. #9
    Jay Edgar
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    AI out, Pistons line spazzing accordingly.
    At the apex, I like Philly a little bit.

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