Back to capping the NBA. Here is my one pick of the night. As always,
IMPORTANT: THESE WRITE-UPS DO NOT FACTOR IN ANY ROSTER CHANGES! (This preface will be copy pasted into all my future threads).
Here are my previous write-ups:
http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/nba-basketball-betting/2085382-write-ups-early-games-tonight.html
http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/nba-basket...ays-games.html
http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/nba-basket...e-morning.html
For tonight:
12/31/12:
Memphis Grizzlies at Indiana Pacers:
Memphis Grizzlies:
1.) Avg points last 4 games: 89.5
2.) Avg points last 4 road games: 92.25
3.) Avg points last4 home games: 88
4.) Avg points last two meetings: have not played this season
5.) Avg rebounds last 4 games: 42.5
6.) Avg offensive rebounds last 4 games: 14.25
7.) Avg turnovers last 4 games: 13.75
8.) Avg free throw % last 4 games: 73.975
9.) Avg points allowed last 4 games: 93.5
Indiana Pacers:
1.) Avg points last 4 games: 94.25
2.) Avg points last 4 road games: 93.25
3.) Avg points last 4 home games: 98
4.) Avg points last two meetings: have not played this season
5.) Avg rebounds last 4 games: 43
6.) Avg offensive rebounds last 4 games: 12.75
7.) Avg turnovers last 4 games: 14
8.) Avg free throw % last 4 games: 70.975
9.) Avg points allowed last 4 games: 88.75
Indiana Pacers won 5 out of 9 categories (or 5 out of 8 if you don’t count category 4). Grizzlies (89.5 – 93.5) = -4, Pacers (94.25 – 88.75) = 5.5. Raw spread has Pacers favored by 9.5 (5.5 - - 4). Pad is a wash. My spread is Pacers -9.5, 5Dimes has it at Grizzlies -2. On the most conservative play I would take Pacers +2. I think Pacers ML is a viable option as well. But, my "one pick of the day" is Pacers +2.