i did not have time to get all write-ups for tonight's game done by my 7:-5 deadline. I will post the other write-ups with in the hour, but some of the games may have already started. It takes my like 30-45 minutes to cap a game and I have been capping for about the last 6 and a half hours so I am a little wired. admittedly capping this many games may have been biting off a little more than I could chew and I will try to do better tomorrow. I already have my one pick for the night and it revolves around the Pistons/Hawks game
Usual disclaimer: How things will be now is I will post my write-ups and then state my one pick for the night. I am 4 for 4. Tail me if you want, it's your money. On each of my write-ups I have my opinion at the bottom, but then at the end of all my write-ups I will have my pick of the night. This is the format I will use throughout the season. So if you go with a pick from another of my write-ups don't get pissed if it doesn't hit, since that write-up was not for my ONE PICK that night. For tonight later games may hold better value than these early games, but I am going to have some money on something non-basketball related later tonight so that is why I only handicapped the early games. FYI my ONE PICK is the one game I'll have money on each night. Good luck, all! Let's get this paper! IMPORTANT: THESE WRITE-UPS DO NOT FACTOR IN ANY ROSTER CHANGES! (This preface will be copy pasted into all my future threads)
12/26/12 write-ups:
New Orleans Hornets at Orlando Magic:
New Orleans Hornets:
1.) Avg points last 4 games: 85.5
2.) Avg points last 4 home games: 84
3.) Avg points last 4 road games: 90.25
4.) Avg points last 2 meetings: have not played this year
5.) Avg rebounds last 4 games: 40.25
6.) Avg offensive rebounds last 4 games: 11.75
7.) Free throw % last 4 games: 84.05
8.) Avg turnovers last 4 games: 14.5
9.) Avg points allowed last 4 games: 94
Orlando Magic:
1.) Avg points last 4 games: 93.75
2.) Avg points last 4 home games: 98
3.) Avg points last 4 road games: 94.25
4.) Avg points last 2 meetings: have not played this year
5.) Avg rebounds last 4 games: 45
6.) Avg offensive rebounds last 4 games: 9
7.) Free throw % last 4 games: 79.975
8.) Avg turnovers last 4 games: 16.75
9.) Avg points allowed last 4 games: 91.5
The Hornets are ahead in 3 out of 9 categories (3 out of 8, if you don’t count category 4), so the Magic should win straight up. The Hornets number is -8.5 (85.5 – 94) and the Magic 2.25 (93.75 – 91.5). So my raw spread has the Magic favored by 10.75 (2.25 - - 8.5). For my pad the Hornets have one more day of rest so lets give them a point and the game is at Orlando so let’s give the magic a point, and the pad is a wash. 5Dimes has it at Magic -3 and my spread has Magic favored by 10.75. I would either take the Magic at the spread or the Magic ML at -150.